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Ensemble spread and systematic errors in the medium-range predictions during the Indian summer monsoon

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Academic year: 2019

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Figure

Fig. 1. A flow diagram describing different  steps of the medium-range forecasting
Figure 3a shows averaged rainfall forecasts of all day-4 (96-hours) for JJAS 2005 obtained from  data assimilation forecast system at T170L28 resolution
Fig 3. Average of all day-4 (96 hours) rainfall forecast for JJAS 2005 obtained from data assimilation  forecast system (a) at T170L28 resolution; (b) control runs at T80L18 resolution
Fig. 4. Day-1 (a) to day-6 (f) rainfall forecasts over Gangetic Plains (averaged over 70-90E and  20N-30N) from ensemble mean, and observed rainfall
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