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What are the newcomers doing in Earth System Services?

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What are the newcomers doing in

Earth System Services?

(2)

From research to services

(3)
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Climate Services Knowledge Transfer Team Air Quality

Services

(5)

ESS

Earth System Services

(6)

RAW CLIMATE PREDICTIONS

FORECAST QUALITY ASSESSMENT

CLIMATE SERVICE PRODUCT

TAILORED

CLIMATE

PREDICTIONS

BIAS ADJUSTMENT

(7)

V estibulum congue

CO-EXPLORATION CO-DESIGN

CO-DEVELOPMENT

CO-EVALUATION

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V estibulum congue

CO-EXPLORATION CO-DESIGN

CO-DEVELOPMENT

CO-EVALUATION

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From climate data to climate services

Climate-informed decision-making

CLIMATE SERVICES Co-development scientists/end-users

Climate world

End-users world

Climate-sensitive

decisions

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Why does Decathlon need climate predictions?

Image source:

https://www.revistaoxigeno.es/material/por-que-es-tan-importante-material-monta na_192247_102.html

Image source:

https://elpais.com/elpais/2018/07/05/buenavida/1530805672_271996.html

Taking different advertising campaigns and prices policies

Defining when the change of season should be done

Managing properly the stock and redistribute it CLIMATE-SENSITIVE STRATEGIES AND DECISIONS

BENEFITS

Avoiding the extra-cost of keeping what is not sold

Avoiding running out of products

The stock transport is optimized (less carbon when

transporting)

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Our climate service product

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OPERATIONAL REAL-TIME SEASONAL AND SUBSEASONAL PREDICTIONS

OF THE MOST LIKELY TERCILE CATEGORY FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURE

(17)

FORECAST PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FOR THE REGIONS OF INTEREST

DEFINED BY DECATHLON (FOR SEASONAL AND SUBSEASONAL TIMESCSALE)

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Our product performance in two meteorological

great-impact events

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Image source:

https://www.elplural.com/el-telescopio/tech/espana-f ilomena-espacio_257533102 Photo: ESA

Image source:

https://www.elperiodico.com/es/economia/20210111/efectos-filomena-cubierto s-seguros-11448387

Image source:

cuidateplus.marca.com/bienestar/2021/01/12/como- prevenir-actuar-caidas-hielo-176335.htmlhttps://

Image source:

https://atalayar.com/content/sat%C3%A9lites-metop-y-msg-clave-en-la-alerta-ante-la-gran- nevada-ca%C3%ADda-en-buena-parte-de-espa%C3%B1a PHOTO/Europa Press

The Filomena event

Image source:

https://www.heraldo.es/noticias/aragon/2021/01/09/temporal-filomena-la-nieve-tiene- un-efecto-psicologico-positivo-1413878.html

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Filomena’s case study

OBSERVATIONS

vs

PREDICTED TERCILE CATEGORY FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENT WEEKS IN ADVANCE

ANOMALY MAP

WELL-PREDICTED 3 WEEKS

IN ADVANCE!

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The end January 2021 “warm” episode

ANOMALY MAP

OBSERVATIONS

vs

PREDICTED TERCILE CATEGORY FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENT WEEKS IN ADVANCE

WELL-PREDICTED 3-4 WEEKS

IN ADVANCE!

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AIR QUALITY SERVICES

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CALIOPE

URBAN

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Implementation of emission and air quality models in the region of Catalonia

CALIOPE : Air Quality Forecasting System Surveillance Service and Air Control

(www.bsc.es/caliope)

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The goal of the project

Surveillance Service and Air Control

1. Monitor exceedances

2. Pollution Warnings

3. Inform & Advice

4. Regulation

CALIOPE

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Regional Urban

Next steps of the project: CALIOPE-Urban

1st Year 2nd Year

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CALIOPE-Urban

Regional Urban

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Workflow

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Workflow

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The aim of the urban scale

CALIOPE–Urban 20mx20m resolution CALIOPE 1kmx1km resolution

Improve precision at the edges of traffic emissions

Source: Benavides et al. (2020)

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1) Analysis regulation scenarios through simulations

Why do we need high resolution?

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1) Analysis regulation scenarios through simulations 2) City air quality forecast

3) Diagnosis and study of the health impact

Why do we need high resolution?

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Perspectives

Work is already under way on implementing :

ESS

AC CES

• CALIOPE-urban on operational mode

• Statistical data fusion methodologies for bias correction

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CALIOPE

URBAN

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KNOWLEDGE

TRANSFER

SCIENCE TEAM

COMMUNICATORS SOCIAL

SCIENTISTS

ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMISTS

RESEARCH ENGINEERS

UX/UI

DESIGNERS

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UX PROCESS

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COMPETITOR ANALYSIS

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AFFINITY MAPS

(46)

INFORMATION

ARCHITECTURE

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LOW

FIDELITY

PROTOTYPE

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VISUAL

STYLE

(49)

before after

HIGH FIDELITY PROTOTYPE

(50)

HIGH FIDELITY PROTOTYPE

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HIGH FIDELITY PROTOTYPE

before after

(52)

Thank you for your attention!

Jose L. Cánovas Communications specialist

Albert Martínez Master Student Jan Mateu

Post-doctoral Researcher

Diana Urquiza UX/UI Designer

Alvaro Criado Junior Researcher Sara Octenjak

Social Scientist Konstantina Chouta

Environmental Engineer

Pep Cos

Junior Research Engineer

Carlos Delgado PhD student

Andria Nicodemou

Science Communication Specialist

Referencias

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