Opinion
article
On
the
nexus
of
air
pollution
and
health
expenditures:
new
empirical
evidence
Carla
Blázquez-Fernández
∗,
David
Cantarero-Prieto,
Marta
Pascual-Sáez
DepartmentofEconomics,UniversidaddeCantabria,Santander,Spain;GENGovernanceandEconomicsNetwork,Spain
a
r
t
i
c
l
e
i
n
f
o
Articlehistory:
Received20November2017 Accepted29January2018 Availableonline22May2018
Keywords: Airpollution Healthexpenditure Paneldata OECD
a
b
s
t
r
a
c
t
Objective:Toanalysetheimpactofpercapitaincomeandenvironmentalairqualityvariablesonhealth expendituredeterminants.
Method: Inthisstudy,weanalysetherelationshipbetweenairpollutionandhealthexpenditurein29 OECDcountriesovertheperiod1995-2014.Inaddition,wetestwhetherourfindingsdifferbetween countrieswithhigherorlowerincomes.
Results:Theeconometricresultsshowthatpercapitaincomehasapositiveeffectonhealthexpenditure, butisnotasstatisticallysignificantasexpectedwhenlag-timeisincorporated.Inaddition,ananchorage effectisobserved,whichimpliesthatabout80%-90%ofpreviousexpenditureexplaincurrent expendi-ture.Ourempiricalresultsarequiteconsistentbetweengroupsandwhencomparedwiththefullsample. Nevertheless,thereappeartobesomedifferenceswhenbrokendownbyfinancingscheme(total,public, andprivate).
Conclusions:Overall,ourfindingscouldbeusedtoclarifytheappropriatehealthexpenditurelevelorto obtainbetterenvironmentalqualityandsocialwell-being.Thatis,empiricalsupportisprovidedonhow healthmanagementandpolicymakersshouldincludemoreconsiderationsfortheuseofcleanerfuels indevelopedcountries.
©2018SESPAS.PublishedbyElsevierEspa ˜na,S.L.U.ThisisanopenaccessarticleundertheCC BY-NC-NDlicense(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Relación
entre
la
contaminación
atmosférica
y
los
gastos
sanitarios:
nueva
evidencia
empírica
Palabrasclave:
Contaminaciónatmosférica Gastosanitario
Paneldedatos OCDE
r
e
s
u
m
e
n
Objetivo:Estudiarelimpactoquetienenlarentapercápitaylasvariablesdecalidadambientalsobrelos gastossanitarios.
Método:Analizamoslarelaciónentrelacontaminaciónatmosféricayelgastosanitarioen29paísesdela OCDEduranteelperiodo1995-2014.Además,estudiamossinuestroshallazgosdifierensegúnlospaíses (coningresosmásaltosomásbajos).
Resultados: Losresultadoseconométricosmuestranquelarentapercápitatieneunefectopositivoen losgastossanitarios,peronotanestadísticamentesignificativocomoseesperabaalincorporardemoras. Además,seapreciaunefectodeanclaje,elcualimplicaquealrededordel80-90%delosgastosanteriores explicanlosactuales.Nuestrosresultadosempíricossonbastanteconcordantesentrelosgrupos consid-erados,alcompararseestosconlamuestracompleta.Sinembargo,parecenexistiralgunasdiferenciasal desglosarportipodefinanciación(total,públicayprivada).
Conclusión:Engeneral,nuestroshallazgospodríanutilizarseparaesclarecerelniveladecuadodegasto sanitario,obienparaobtenerunamejorcalidadambientalybienestarsocial.Esdecir,sebrindaapoyo empíricosobrecómolaAdministración(sanitaria)ylosresponsablesdelasdistintaspolíticaspúblicas deberíanincluirmásconsideracionesparaelusodecombustiblesmáslimpiosenlospaísesdesarrollados. ©2018SESPAS.PublicadoporElsevierEspa ˜na,S.L.U.Esteesunart´ıculoOpenAccessbajolalicencia CCBY-NC-ND(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Introduction
Nowadays, there is an extensive literature focused on the determinants of health expenditures, being income the main one.1 However,non-incomefactors likethehealth care model,
∗ Correspondingauthor.
E-mailaddress:[email protected](C.Blázquez-Fernández).
population and ageing dynamics, population lifestyles, the technologicalprogressor theenvironmentaldeterminantshave beenalsoidentified.2 Indeed,therearebothdemandandsupply
factorsthatexplainhealthexpendituresdynamics.Inthisstudy, wefocus onenvironmentalissues thatarevery muchin vogue thesedays.3–5Precisely,welookforwardtoansweringthe
follow-ingquestion:doesairpollutionaffecthealthcareexpenditures? Nowadays,manyofthemostimportantresearchersaregrappling withhow bestto characterize theeffects of environmentalair
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gaceta.2018.01.006
0213-9111/©2018SESPAS.PublishedbyElsevierEspa ˜na,S.L.U.ThisisanopenaccessarticleundertheCCBY-NC-NDlicense (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
quality,inordertohelpregulatorsanddecisionmakerscraft more-effectivepolicies,toaddressbothhealthandenvironmentalissues inacontextofscarceresources.
Whatisitwellknownisthatairpollutionisresponsibleformany adverseeffects onhealth and well-being.6 Hence,air pollution,
bothreferringhouseholdairpollutionandambientairpollution, isconsideredoneofthegreatsilentenvironmentalkillersthese days.7Actually,airpollutionisamajorcauseofnon-communicable
diseasesthatshouldbetakenintoaccounttoagreaterextent.8
Moreover,ambientairpollution,inwhichwefocusinthispaper, isresponsibleforcountlesseconomiclosses.9Mainly,associated
withhealthcareutilizationandso,healthexpenditures.Butalso, lostordelayedproductionduetoabsencefromwork.
Then,aspointedbyEckelmanandSherman10 neweffortsto
improveenvironmentalperformanceofhealthcarecouldreduce expendituresdirectlyandindirectly.Thatis,bywastereduction andenergysavings,andthroughreducingpollutionburdenon pub-lichealth,thesefactorsoughttobeincludedineffortstoimprove healthcarequalityandsafety.Indeed,aspointedbyPascaletal.11
Europeancitizensarestill exposed toconcentrationsexceeding theWorldHealthOrganizationrecommendations.Theseauthors bytheAphekomProjectproviderobustestimatesconfirmingthat reducingurbanairpollutionwouldresultinsignificanthealthand monetarygains.Moreover,bystudyingthepublichealthimpacts ofurbanairpollutionin25Europeancities,theyestimateda mon-etarygainaroundD31billionannually,includingsavingsonhealth expenditures,absenteeismandintangiblecostssuchaswell-being, lifeexpectancyandqualityoflife.
Basedonthesepreviousassumptions,thegeneralaimofour studyistoexpandtheanalysisofthedeterminantsofhealth expen-ditures.Weanalysetherelationshipbetweenhealthexpenditures andincomeattheaggregatelevel,byprovidingsomeupdateson previousrelatedstudiesfordevelopedcountriesand incorporat-ingenvironmentalfactors.Besides,mostofthestudiesmakeuseas healthexpenditurevariablethetotalhealthexpendituremadeby eachcountry,wealsodistinguishbetweenpublicandprivateones. Precisely,this studyexploitsa balanced datasetof 29 OECD selectedcountriesduringtheperiod1995-2014.Moreover,a clus-teranalysisbasedontheheterogeneityofoursampleselectedis alsoperformed.Then, froma firstspecificationin linewiththe mainarticlesonthesubject,weintroducethedescribednovelties, wherethedependentvariableisalwaysthelogarithmofpercapita totalhealthcareexpenditures,butconsideringseveralhealthcare financingschemes.Indoingso,wefirstassumealinearand homo-geneousrelationshipbetweenincome,environmentalfactorsand healthexpenditures.Nevertheless,attheend,wealsoconsidera dynamicmodelfollowingthelineproposedbyLago-Pe ˜nasetal.12
Therefore, themain contributionof this paper is theuse of recentlydataandtheintroductionofnewvariablesintheestimates thatmakeanewimageofthetraditionalstudiesinordertoprovide supportabouthowhealthmanagementandpolicymakersshould includenewinsightsfortheuseofcleanerfuelsindeveloped coun-tries.Indeed,thisresearchlineofinternationalstudiesbyanalysing complexrelationshipsamongairpollutantsandhealth(andhow itvariesacrossterritories)couldimprovepublichealthandreduce inequalitiesindevelopedcountries.Thatis,ourresultshighlight thatitismorecrucialthanevertocarryoutanappropriatepolicy analysisatthemacroeconomiclevel,whichwillallowpolicymakers tobetterallocatescarceresources.
Methods
Data
Existing studies have examined different aspects of health expendituredeterminants.Herewefocusonenvironmentalones.3
Concentration of air pollutants Climate chan
ge
Illnesses Demand for h ealth
care services Health expenditure
s
∗Increased respir
atory symptoms and illness
∗Allergic diseases
∗Asthma
∗Exarcerbated chronic hear
th and lung aging
∗Increased lung cancer r
isk
∗Increased r
isk of premature death
∗Etc.
Figure1.Pathwayeffectsofclimatechangeonhealthendpoint.(Authors’ elabora-tionadaptedfromBernardetal.15).
Inordertoworkwithacompletebalancedpaneldata,inthisstudy ourtemporalanalysisperiod is1995-2014for aselectedgroup of29OECDcountriesnamely:Australia,Austria,Belgium,Canada, CzechRepublic,Denmark,Finland,France,Germany,Greece, Hun-gary,Iceland,Ireland,Italy,Japan,Latvia,Luxembourg,Netherlands, NewZealand,Norway,Poland,Portugal,Slovenia,Spain,Sweden, Switzerland,Turkey,UnitedKingdom,andtheUnitedStates.The benefitsofusingabalancedpaneldatasetconsistinthatitallows doingtheanalysisofstationarityofthevariables.Besides,mostof thetestsrequirethatthepanelsbestronglybalanced.13
Theeconometricanalysisreliesonannualdataobtainedfrom two different data sources:the latestversions of OECD Health StatisticsandOECDEnvironmentStatistics.Informationaboutper capitahealthcareexpenditures(total,publicandprivateones)and percapitaGDParemeasuredatPurchasingPower Parity(PPPs) terms.Sulphuroxideemissions,nitrogenoxideemissions,and car-bonmonoxideemissionsareinkilospercapita.Allvariablesare convertedintonaturallogarithmicformbeforetheempirical anal-ysis.Thedefinitionofthevariablesandsummarystatisticsfinally consideredaredescribedinTableIintheonlineAppendix.
Thisresearchprovidesrigorousscientificexaminationstostudy the following issue: how air quality indicators affect health expenditures.Takingintoaccountpreviousanalysis,apositive rela-tionship betweenincome and health expenditures is expected. Additionally, we hypothesized that su, ni, and ca would also increasehealthexpenditures.
Figure1representsthepathwayeffectsofclimatechangeon
healthendpoint,becauseitmayaffecttheexposurestoair pol-lutants.Inanycase, pollutioncouldappear byboth naturaland humansources.Hereitismodelledhowair,thatcouldbe contam-inatedwithpollutants,maynegativelyaffecthealthingeneraland healthexpendituresinparticular.Thus,thehealtheffectsofair pol-lutionarediverse,andincludedirectandindirectones.Allinall, themostsensitivegroupsincludechildren,olderadultsandpeople withchronicheartorlungdisease).Theexplanationisbasedon theideathatthesethreeairpollutantsmeasureshereconsidered deteriorateairqualityandso,theywouldaffectnegativelyhealth outcomes.14
Moreover,aspointedbyBernardetal.,15healtheffectsof
expo-surestosulphurandnitrogenoxides,andcarbonmonoxides,can causereducedworkcapacity,aggravationofexisting cardiovascu-lardiseases,effectsonpulmonaryfunction,respiratoryillnesses,
Table1
Healthexpenditureregressions:linearmodelone-way.
Variable/specification hetotal hepublic heprivate
(i) (ii) (i) (ii) (i) (ii)
su − 0.271 b − 0.055 a − −0.032
(0.012) (0.013) (0.023)
ca − −0.034 − −0.024 − −0.179 a
(0.021) (0.233) (0.040)
ni − −0.021 − −0.070 b − 0.199 a
(0.028) (0.030) (0.053)
gdp 0.780 a 0.786 a 0.817 a 0.852 a 0.742 a 0.634 a
(0.013) (0.022) (0.015) (0.025) (0.026) (0.041)
constant −0.120 −0.028 −0.810 a −0.959 a −1.135 a 0.159
(0.137) (0.285) (0.154) (0.139) (0.277) (0.541)
Hausmantest FE FE FE FE RE FE
R-squared:within 0.862 0.863 0.843 0.848 0.594 0.618
R-squared:between 0.907 0.899 0.930 0.922 0.467 0.354
R-squared:overall 0.860 0.844 0.874 0.855 0.476 0.391
FE:fixedeffects;RE:randomeffects. aSignificantat1%.
bSignificantat5%.
Robuststandarderrorsarereportedinbrackets.
lungirritation,andalterationsinthelung’sdefencesystems.That is,anincreaseinutilization(demand)ofhealthcareservicesdue tobadhealthcareoutcomesisprojected.
Theseinterestingfindingscouldbeusedtoderivethe appro-priatehealth expenditure level, toobtainbetter environmental quality,andsocialwell-being.Researchneedsconsideringair pol-lution models(and theirpotentiallinkagewithclimatechange scenarios)inordertoclosegapsintheunderstandingofthe rela-tionshipbetweenairpollutionexposureandhealtheffects.Inany case,healthmanagementandpolicymakersshouldconsiderthese relationships.
Statisticalapproach
Overall, we follow recent contributions, which considerthe modellingadvanceoftherelationshipbetweenhealthand envi-ronmentalissuesasNarayanandNarayan3orQureshietal.16Our
empiricalresultsarebasedonthefollowingspecificationswithall thevariablesofinterestareconvertedinnaturallogarithmsform toallowustounderstandthemaselasticities.
Firstly,alinearone-waypaneldatamodelforhealth expendi-ture(he),asdependentvariabletobeanalysed(whileconsidering different measures of it depending on its source of financing: total,public, andprivate)basedontheacknowledgedliterature isspecified.17,18Therefore,whenincomechangesthevariationin
healthcareexpenditureitislikelytobeacombinationof multi-pleforces.Itisveryusefultoisolatetheseeffectstogainenhanced insightsintoseveralcomponents.Inamoreformalway,ourmodel hasthefollowinggeneralform:
heit=f(xit,ˇ)+εit (1)
whereheitisthelogarithmofpercapitahealthcareexpenditures atthetthobservationfortheithcountry;f(•)denoteshealthcare expenditurestructure;xitisthecorrespondingmatrixof explana-toryvariables;ˇisavectorofparameterstobeestimated(su,ni,ca
andgdp).Thetermεistheerrorboundedwiththegeneralstatistical properties.Besides,feasiblegeneralizedleastsquaresare consid-ered.Thisprocedureallowsestimationinpresenceoffirst-order autocorrelationwithinpanelsandcross-sectionalcorrelation,and heteroscedasticityacrosspanels.
Secondly,adynamicpaneldataapproachisapplied.Thatis,we includeontheright-handsideofequation(1)thelaggeddependent variable,inordertocapturetheinertiaofhealthcareexpenditures. Inotherwords,wetrytodisentangleifthelogarithmofpercapita
healthcareexpendituresonayearisconditionedbytheprevious one:
heit=x′itˇ+heit−1+εit (2)
Results
Preliminarytest
Beforepresentingtheresultsfromtheestimationofthe above-mentionedspecifications,wefirstanalyseallvariablestoensure accurate estimates. That is, to obtain empirical findings that are not spurious and have economic sense.Precisely, first and second generation of panel unit root tests are employed here.
TablesIIand IIIin theonlineAppendix showthis typeof tests.
Firstly,weappliedpanelunitroottestsassumingcross-sectional independence.RegardingLevinetal.19andImetal.20,mixedresults
concerningvariablesbeingstationaryareshowed.Statisticforthe logarithmofourvariableswhentheADFregressionhasan inter-ceptonlyandaninterceptandalineartimetrend,arepresented. Nevertheless,acommonfeatureoftheseeconometrictestsisthat theylosepowerasindividualspecifictrendsareincluded.13Inall
cases,thelagorderp,wasselectedusingtheAkaikeinformation criterion.Then,wealsoapplytheBreitung21testthatindicatesthe
hypothesisthatvariablescontainsunitrootisneverrejected. Con-sideringallofthis,weturnedtoPesaran22secondgenerationtest
thatattemptstoremovecross-sectionaldependence.Wepresent resultsforlagordersp=0,1,2and3,findingthatinmostofthe casesourvariablesofinterestareintegratedoforder1,I(1).
Empiricalresults
Theestimationofthespecificationdescribedyieldstheresults reportedinTables1-4.Thefirsttwotablesconsidering(1)whereas thelatest(2).Coefficientsarehighlysignificant,andthegoodness offitisveryhighinallcases.Ourmainfindingscanbesummarized asfollows.FigureIintheonlineAppendix,plotstheresidualsfrom
Table1specification(ii)toassessthegoodnessoffitofthemodel andthusexaminetheexistenceofnon-linearityand,ifthatcase, toimproveourspecificationandestimates.
Firstly,percapitaGDPhasa positive effectonhealth. How-ever,weshowsomedifferenceswhendesegregatingbyhealthcare financingschemes.Itshouldalsobenotedthatthe‘unit’rulehas limitations,especially,whenelasticitiesof0.01and0.99areboth
Table2
Healthexpenditureregressions:linearmodeltwo-way.
Variable hetotal hepublic heprivate
su −0.032 a −0.033 a −0.043 b
(0.012) (0.013) c (0.019)
ca 0.032 0.036 0.043
(0.020) (0.022) (0.033)
ni −0.001 0.009 0.140 a
(0.031) (0.033) (0.053)
gdp 1.027 a 1.027 a 0.617 a
(0.043) (0.045) (0.074)
constant −2.561 a −2.937 a 0.048 b
(0.399) (0.412) (0.698)
Waldchi2 1540.75 1496.59 394.11 Prob>chi2 0.000 0.000 0.000
aSignificantat1%. b Significantat5%. c Significantat10%.
Standarderrorsarereportedinbrackets.
Table3
Healthexpenditureregressions:dynamicmodel.
Variable hetotal hepublic heprivate
het-1 0.940 a 0.890 a 0.815 a
(0.026) (0.033) (0.047)
su 0.009 0.018 −0.014
(0.012) (0.017) (0.014)
ca −0.044 a −0.056 c −0.085 b
(0.07) (0.031) (0.036)
ni 0.044 0.057 c 0.095 a
(0.021) (0.031) (0.037)
gdp 0.003 0.075 b 0.024
(0.034) (0.035) (0.026)
Waldchi2 11707.22 6356.67 1727.51 Prob>chi2 0.000 0.000 0.000
aSignificantat1%. b Significantat5%. c Significantat10%.
Standarderrorsarereportedinbrackets.
classifiedas‘necessities’.Thesenumbersareeconomicallyand sta-tisticallyquitedifferent.
Atthisregard,higherelasticitiesareobtainedforpublichealth expenditures.Therefore,thesmallestareforprivateones.Overall, incomeelasticityisnotasstatisticallysignificantwhen incorpo-ratinglags.Thatis,ananchorageeffectisappreciated(0.80-0.90). In other words, about 80% of a year’s health expenditure is
conditionedby theprevious one despitethe presenceof other explanatoryvariables.
Secondly,littleeffectsarefoundforairqualityvariablesasthe mostimportantfactoragain,andinaccordancewithprevious evi-dence,appeartobeincome.23
Asforairpollutantsvariables,themostimportantfactoristhe oneregardingsuinthelinearestimations,whereascaisforthe dynamicone.Thesevariablesexplainmoreprivateexpenditures.A surprisinglyfacthereisthereverseeffectofenvironmentalfactors hereconsidered.Forexample,whereassuaffectexpendituresina positivewayinthelinearone-wayestimates,thereverseeffectis obtainedforthetwo-way.Neitherstablesresultsareobtainedfor
ni.Butregardingcaones,stablenegativeeffectsareshown.
Robustnessofresults
Hereandnow,webrieflytesttherobustnessoftheresults.We noticedthat theempiricalmodel previouslyestimated imposes commoneffects forallthecountriesin thesample.Tobemore specific,Table4containstheresults,whileFigure2plotsthem.
Definitely,wecheckthesensitivityoftheestimatestoincome heterogeneityinthesampleof29OECDselectedcountries con-sidered. Indoing so,we split thesample ofcountriesinto two groupsbasedonakmeansandkmedianspartitioncluster analy-sisforincome(considering2005baseyear,halfoftheperiod).Both methodsarewidelyusedforexploratorydataanalysis.Precisely, thesepartitionmethodsbreaktheobservationsintoadistinct num-berofnon-overlappinggroups.
Thefirst,groupI,consistof19OECDcountries:Australia, Aus-tria,Belgium,Canada,Denmark,Finland,France,Germany,Iceland, Ireland,Italy,Japan,Luxembourg,Netherlands,Norway,Sweden, Switzerland,UnitedKingdom,andUnitedStates.While,10OECD countries constitute the second one, group II: Czech Republic, Greece,Hungary,Latvia,NewZealand,Poland,Portugal,Slovenia, Spain,andTurkey.
Specially,resultshighlightedtheabove-mentionedregarding therelevanceofhealthexpenditureinthepreviousperiod.Again, littledifferencesarefoundbyhealthcarefinancingscheme.
Whendistinguishingbyclusters,morestatisticallysignificant resultsareshownforgroupI.However,ourfindingsareconsisted betweengroupsandwhencomparingwiththefullsample anal-ysis.nishouldbeatmainaction agendaoutlines,especially for groupII,wherehigherelasticitiesarefounded(i.e.,0.034versus 0.136).
Table4
Sensitivitytoalternativesamples.
Variable hetotal hepublic heprivate
GroupI GroupII GroupI GroupII GroupI GroupII
het-1 0.853 a 0.842 a 0.831 a 0.783 a 0.720 a 0.848 a
(0.038) (0.050) (0.029) (0.036) (0.092) (0.030)
su 0.004 0.006 0.015 0.007 −0.025 0.005
(0.017) (0.007) (0.018) (0.011) (0.035) (0.022)
ca −0.058 a −0.016 −0.075 a 0.003 −0.081 −0.050
(0.023) (0.038) (0.025) (0.062) (0.089) (0.061)
ni 0.048 a 0.094 b 0.034 a 0.136 a 0.105 b 0.084
(0.011) (0.040) (0.038) (0.051) (0.048) (0.134)
gdp 0.060 b 0.087 0.080 b 0.175 a 0.087 0.037
(0.027) (0.059) (0.038) (0.055) (0.056) (0.028)
Waldchi2 3132.62 14337.65 10142.75 37707.36 1022.70 5338.90
Prob>chi2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
aSignificantat1%. b Significantat5%.
Standarderrorsarereportedinbrackets.
Numberofobservations:361and190,forgroupsIandII,respectively.GroupI:Australia,Austria,Belgium,Canada,Denmark,Finland,France,Germany,Iceland,Ireland, Italy,Japan,Luxembourg,Netherlands,Norway,Sweden,Switzerland,UnitedKingdom,andUnitedStates.GroupII:CzechRepublic,Greece,Hungary,Latvia,NewZealand, Poland,Portugal,Slovenia,Spain,andTurkey.
0.200 0.900
0.850
0.800
0.750
0.700
0.650 0.150
0.100
0.050
0.000
-0.050
-0.100
su Group I
he_total he_public he_private
Group I Group I
Group II Group II Group II
ca ni gdp he(t-1)
Figure2. Elasticitiesbyincomegroupandfinancingscheme.Lefty-axisrepresentsairqualityelasticities.Righty-axisrepresentsanchorageeffect.
One of the implications of these interesting findings is that future health expenditure would increase as eco-nomic growth does, and the air quality indicators would do.
TableIVintheonlineAppendixalsotestedhowparametersforsu,
ni,andcaaredifferentforcountrieswithalowerorhigherincome by introducing interaction effects. DGDPi would be a dummy variable coded 1 for observations corresponding to countries in groupIand 0 otherwise.Hence, generalpublicpolicies,and especiallythoseonesthatcontainshealthexpenditureestimates, shouldcontainreliablehealthcareexpenditureprojections.That is,forecastsshouldtakeintoaccountbothtraditionaldeterminants (asincome),includingrecentfactorsaspopulationdynamics, pop-ulationlifestylesorthetechnologicalprogress;andotherdrivers, liketheoneshereanalysed(airqualityvariables).24
Discussion
In viewofouroutcomes,it maybeconcludedthat we con-tribute tostudy the ecologicaland health economicsliterature regardingtheimpactofpercapitaincomeandenvironmentalair qualityvariablesonhealthexpendituredeterminants.Precisely,we trytosolvethequestionregardinghowairpollutioncouldaffect healthcareexpenditures.Followingrecentliterature,westudied therelationship between health expenditures and income (per capita),nitrogen,sulphuroxide,andcarbonmonoxideemissions. Indoingso,weconsidereda balancedpaneldataof29selected OECDcountriesfortheperiod1995-2014.Besides,ourmain find-ingsarealsopresentedtakingintoaccountheterogeneitybetween countries.
Inthisspirit,ourpaperalsoprovidesagreaterunderstandingof theunderlyingeconomicframeworknestedwithintheliteratureof healthexpendituremodels.1,2Ourresultsareinaccordancewith
previouscontributions.Severalmeasureshereconsidered deterio-rateairqualityandso,negativelywouldaffecthealthoutcomes.3,5
However,ithasbeenhighlightedtheimportanceoftheeconomic conditions. Moreover,in ouranalysis nitrogen oxideemissions wouldhave moresignificance than sulphuroxideemissions,or carbonmonoxideonesthatwereconsideredinearlierstudies.24,25
Thecostsavingsofthehealthco-benefitsachieved(health sta-tus,healthcareutilizationandhealthexpenditures)26,27bypolicies
tocutpollutantsemissionsareactuallylarge.28,29Thisis
particu-larlyimportantinthecontexthereconsideredwherehealthcare expendituresarestillgrowing.Inanyeconomicassessmentofthe costsof mitigationand adaptation,it shouldbeconsideredthe
healthbonusonsavings.Inspiteofthevastevidenceonhealth careexpendituredeterminants,thereisstillaneedoffurther infor-mation.Scienceandpublicpolicywouldbenefitfromadditional researchthatintegratestheoryandpracticefrombothairpollution effectstogainabetterunderstandingofthisissue.
Hence,inthisstudymoreempiricalsupportisprovidedabout howhealthmanagementpoliciesshouldincludeconsiderationsfor theuseofcleanerfuelsintheOECDcountries.Overall,ourresults highlightthatitismorecrucialthanevertocarryoutanappropriate policyanalysisatthemacroeconomiclevel,whichwillallow poli-cymakerstobetterallocatescarceresources.Inanenvironmentof financialconstraints,everyeffortisshort.Nonetheless,samehealth policiescanhavedifferenteffects,dependingonthefiscalpolicy frameworksinwhichtheyareimplemented.
Allinall,itisimportanttohighlighttheresearchlimitations andextensionsofthisstudy.Butinsteadofdampeningresearchers’ spirits,limitationsshouldserve tospurfurtherresearchintoan issueof vital importance.Limitations aremainly relatedto the OECD sample used (regions/countries,period and variables). In general,futureresearchcouldincludemoreenvironmental qual-ityvariables(moreaspectsthanthoseassociatedtoairpollution) relatedwithhealthcareexpenditures(besides,morehealth out-putsshouldbetakeninmind)whenconsideringallOECDcountries orbearinginminddifferencesbetweendevelopedanddeveloping countries.Whenmoredatawouldbeavailable,distinguishingby subperiodsoftimecouldbeinteresting,asforexample,to con-siderotherfactorsthatleadtoexhibitasignificantassociationover thelatesteconomiccrisis.Theseandotherissues couldbe con-sideredasconcernsofthisinterestingrelationshipthatremains unexplained.
Editorincharge
CristinaLinaresGil.
Transparencydeclaration
Thecorrespondingauthoronbehalfoftheotherauthors guar-antee the accuracy, transparency and honesty of the data and informationcontainedinthestudy,thatnorelevantinformation hasbeenomittedandthatalldiscrepanciesbetweenauthorshave beenadequatelyresolvedanddescribed.
Whatisknownaboutthetopic?
Researchersaregrapplingwithhowbesttocharacterizethe effectsofenvironmentalairqualitytoaddressbothhealthand environmentalissuesinacontextofscarceresources.What isitwellknownisthatairpollutionisresponsibleformany adverseeffectsonhealthandwell-being.
Whatdoesthisstudyaddtotheliterature?
Weuserecentlydataandintroducenewvariablesin esti-matesthatmakeanewimageofthetraditionalonesinorder toprovidesupportabouthowhealthmanagementandpolicy makersshouldincludenewinsightsfortheuseofcleanerfuels.
Authorshipcontributions
Allauthorsdevelopedtheideaandcontributedtotheconcept anddesign.Allauthorscontributedtothewritingofthemanuscript andreadandapprovedthefinalmanuscript.
Conflictsofinterests
ApreviousversionofthepaperwaspresentedattheXXXVII JornadasdeEconomíadelaSaludorganizedbytheSpanishHealth EconomicsAssociationandtheSpanishEpidemiologicalSocietyin Barcelona,6to8September2017.Wearegratefulforthecomments receivedfortheparticipants.
Carla Blázquez-Fernández thanks Spanish Health Economics Association(AES)-TravelExpensesforattendingXXXVIIJornadas AES(Barcelona).
None. None.
AppendixA. Supplementarydata
Supplementarydataassociatedwiththisarticlecanbefound,in theonlineversion,atdoi:10.1016/j.gaceta.2018.01.006.
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