• No se han encontrado resultados

Physical Vulnerability Index before the Landsliding Hazard in Houses Located in the Locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe, Bogotá D.C.

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2020

Share "Physical Vulnerability Index before the Landsliding Hazard in Houses Located in the Locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe, Bogotá D.C."

Copied!
10
0
0

Texto completo

(1)

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18180/tecciencia.2019.27.1

R E G U L A R A R T I C L E

E n g i n e e r i n g

Physical Vulnerability Index before the Landsliding Hazard

in Houses Located in the Locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe,

Bogotá D.C.

Índice de Vulnerabilidad Física ante la Amenaza de Deslizamiento de Suelos en Viviendas

Ubicadas la Localidad de Rafael Uribe Uribe Bogotá D.C.

Yamith Acosta Jiménez

ID 1*

| Carlos Arturo Peña Rincón

ID 2*

1Secretaria Distrital de Planeación,

Bogotá-Colombia

2Universidad Sergio Arboleda,

Bogotá-Colombia

Correspondence

Carlos Arturo Peña Rincón, Universidad Sergio Arboleda, Bogotá, Colombia Email: [email protected]

Copyright :Licencia de Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial 4.0 Interna.

The publication of this journal is funded by Universidad ECCI, Bogotá-Colombia. Editors: Robert Paul Salazar, Germán Chaparro Molano.

Editorial assistant : Luz Adriana Suáres Suáres.

How to cite

Acosta Y., Peña C.,Physical Vulnerability Index before the Landsliding Hazard in Houses Located in the Locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe, Bogotá D.C., TECCIENCIA, Vol. 14, No. 27, 1-9, 2019

DOI:http://dx.doi.org/10.18180/tecciencia.2019.27.1

ABSTRACT.The present work carried out an analysis study of the physical vul-nerability index for the hazard of landslide for the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality in Bogotá DC, using the Leona methodology with historical data of mass removal be-tween the years 2008 to 2015, with a registry of 454 events, of which 426 are considered, given that the rest corresponds to rock falls, which may also affect gen-eral vulnerability, the methodology used does not apply. Technical concepts have been designed for the competent entities in the sectors that have presented the phenomenon of the mass removal in Rafael Uribe Uribe and the existing techni-cal sheets for each of them, as well as the delimitation of each of the polygons, was carried out on a local map with 31 polygons that historically have presented a phenomenon of mass removal. The physical vulnerability index of the elements exposed to the situation of the events that can be classified as deformations or lat-eral displacements, which can be classified as moderate, is adjusted, however, the periods of rain, the solicitations may present deformations very fast.

keywords:Physical Vulnerability Index, Landslide, Leone Methodology.

RESUMEN.El presente trabajo realizó un estudio del índice de vulnerabilidad física para la amenaza de deslizamiento de suelos para la localidad Rafael Uribe Uribe en Bogotá D.C., utilizando la metodología Leone con datos históricos de remoción en masa entre los años 2008 al 2015, con un registro de 454 eventos, de los cuales se consideraron 426, dado que el resto corresponde a caídas de rocas, que aunque también pueden generar vulnerabilidad física, no aplica la metodología utilizada. Se consideró conceptos técnicos generados por la entidades competentes en los sec-tores que han presentado fenómeno de remoción en masa en la localidad de Rafael Uribe Uribe y las Fichas técnicas existentes para cada uno de ellos, así como la de-limitación de cada polígono, se realizó un mapa local con 31 polígonos que históri-camente han presentado fenómeno de remoción en masa. Se estableció el índice de vulnerabilidad física de los elementos expuestos considerando la magnitud de los eventos (solicitación) que corresponde a deformaciones o desplazamientos lat-erales, que se pueden catalogar como moderados, sin embargo en los periodos de lluvias, las solicitaciones pueden presentar deformaciones muy rápidas.

Palabras clave:Indice de Vulnerabilidad física, Deslizamiento de Suelos, Metodología Leone.

(2)

1 | INTRODUCTION

Bogotá’s urban growth has implied a higher demand on housing, utilities, road infrastructure and social assis-tance in recent decades [1]. This represents a social pressure on the ecologic structure of the city, since the urbanization in hillside areas, mostly have been developed without any planning, but motivated by the families’ need to obtain housing in sectors dedicated to extraction of construction materials and, without the approval of the competent authority, promoting a progressive environmental deterioration, altering the stability condi-tions in the hillsides and zones with presence of mass removal phenomena, such as landslides, mud flows and rock downfalls.

The causes of mass removal phenomena in the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality are directly associated to water infiltration that generate the washing of soil fine material, causing landslides that generate damage to estate and that generate physical vulnerability for the people that live there [2]. Relating the intensity of the mass that can be displaced with the fragility of exposed elements, one can stablish damage levels for each building, and based on this damage levels, physical vulnerability categories are defined such as they give input to the vulnerability zoning map [3].

The Rafael Uribe Uribe locality has a total aera of 820,82 ha in zones threatened mass removal, where 1412 blocks are located. From that total, there are 191 blocks that occupy an area of 123.2 ha, classified as high risk removal zones; additionally 1104 blocks occupying 461.3 ha are classified as medium risk removal zones, and 117 blocks in a 236.3 ha area that are classified as low risk removal zones [4].

According to the population projections reported up to 2017, in the locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe, it is considered that the Zonal Planning Units (UPZ) where mass removal phenomena is present are No. 53 Marco Fidel Suárez with population of 60885, No. 54 Marruecos 91748 inhabitants, and No. 55 Diana Turbay with 70322 inhabitants, which is the most vulnerable population, exposed directly or indirectly to this hazard [5].

Geomorphology is constituted by the La Regadera sandstones sector: formed with quartz, slightly resistant ferruginous cement sands; corresponding to zones of strongly inclined topography. The clayey friable sand-stones sector: low to medium resistance, from the lower and superior floors of Usme’s formation; here the sandstones underground exploits are located. However, in natural conditions, this rocks present good stabil-ity, a high humidity content makes them lose completely their cohesion and shear resistance, reason why the urbanization of such areas requires the previous elimination of sand extractors, specially those underground, located in the neighborhoods of Villa Gladys, Bochica, Marco Fidel Suárez and Marruecos [4].

The risk for mass removal in the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality has a dynamic factor without urban growth planning. Producing emergency situations from the mass removal hazard and the present fragility in the hous-ing construction for the community; events that have been attended by the Emergency Attention and Rescue organisms in Bogotá.

2 | MATERIAL AND METHODS

In the development for the methodology a base line was considered with the technical information for each of the 31 polygons and applying the Leone methodology, as shown on Fig.1. The base line was considered starting from 2008, with data generated by the corresponding public entities, such as the District Institute for Risk Management (IDIGER), the Rafael Uribe Uribe Local Mayor’s office, and the official fire department. Table1shows the consolidated compiled secondary data.

Events by mass removal phenomena in the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality have coincided with climate phenom-ena that produce the increase in precipitations according to technical studies from the Institute for Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (IDEAM), institution responsible for the surveillance of the national climate system. In 2009 and first semester of 2010, El Niño phenomenon was present, and produced a signif-icant decrease in rains. For the second semester of 2010, 2011 and up to the first semester of 2012, la Niña produced the increase in precipitations, coinciding with the increase in mass removal events in the locality.

(3)

to the polygons declared in Risk by Mass Removal in the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality, whose registers are of official character from the Prevention and Emergency Attention Fund (FOPAE) between 2011 and 2012, these were concerted and approved by the Local Council for Emergency (CLE). With this data we present a local map with 31 polygons and the historical mass removal events [6] (Fig.3).

Methodology

1. Collection of incident data 2. Determination of the degree of physical vulnerability

Inventory of events from a baseline

sire 2008-2015 Debugging and analyzing data for each polygon

Reports on the study of technical concepts of 31 polygons, FOPAE 2006-2012

Type of solicitations

Determination of the Physical Vulnerability Index according to the methodology of Leone1999. Study of technical sheets and

annexes, FOPAE 2011-2012

Housing Typology

F I G . 1 Methodologic framework.

F I G . 2 Average of the annual pluvial precipitation Vs Number of mass removal events in the studied area.

Data taken from IDIGER 2016 [6].

However, Fig.3does not include zones that has a use restriction by urban regulations, because they are grounds with protection for landslide hazard, such as the case of the Nueva Esperanza sector, which was attached to the Mountain District Park Entrenubes, where 1205 family nuclei were relocated, and the Socorro sector, where mining exploits were performed until 20 years ago and where the brickworks were located, and in consequence, the ground is unstable [4].

The reading of registered information in the technical sheets indicate that is necessary an update of the map for the risk of mass removal zones from the District Secretary of Planning and the IDEGER (Previously FOPAE) in some polygons catalogued and delimited as low or medium risk zones, since they do not correspond to the risk level given the high number of mass removal events presented in latter years, specifically in those with the most pluvial precipitation levels (2010, 2011 and 2012) and the number of affected families and with a great number of relocations, such as Los Puentes, Diana Turbay Cultivos, Rincón del Valle, Bosques de San Carlos, La Merced, La Arbolera and Colinas neighborhoods. Is important to include the previous information in the map of historic events for mass removal for the locality, according to events registered in the technical sheets for each of the polygons and the number of landslide incidents reported in latter years by the SIRE [7].

2.1 | Determination of the Vulnerability Index

Based on the technical concepts reported by IDIGER and the local mayor’s office, in the ZPU 55 Diana Turbay is located the largest quantity of families included in the resettlement program, where a considerable amount of processes of mass removal have materialized by different factors, followed by the ZPU 53 Marco Fidel Suárez and 54 Marruecos with a lower proportion of identified properties with High non mitigable risk [6][8].

TA B L E 1 Annual report of events caused by mass removal phenomena in the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality [7].

Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total

Total Events per Mass Removal 20 10 53 252 86 12 11 10 454

(4)

respect to the exposition of different requests. In Fig.4, two zones are distinguished, an upper zone (in the body of the landslide) or direct influence zone, the damages that the houses could suffer can be related to lateral displacements (LD) that, also, depend on the velocity of the movement (the faster the movement, the greater the damage).

F I G . 3 Map of historic events for mass removal with secondary data reported by the corresponding

authorities (By Authors).

F I G . 4 Schematic for a landslide [8]

F I G . 5 Relation between normalized damage and displaced volume in lateral displacements.

For the movement velocity characterization, the scale proposed by Cruden and Varnes, consigned in Table3

[11]. In the lower zone (below the body of the landslide) or Indirect Influence zone, the damages in the houses can be related to the lateral pressures (LP) that, likewise, can be associated with height achieved by material accumulation against the building, as shown on Table2.

TA B L E 2 Categories for lateral pressures Description Class Characteristics

High lateral pressure PL 1 Greater than 2/3 of the building’s height Medium lateral pressure PL 2 Between 1/3 and 2/3 of the building’s height Low lateral pressure PL 3 Lesser than 1/3 of the building’s height

(5)

as the methodology proposed by Leone [12], and modified by Soler [13]. The work consists on calculating the physical vulnerability indexes, depending on the type of movement, intensity of requests and characteristics on the exposed element (houses).

TA B L E 3 Velocity ranges for a landslide

Description Clase Velocidad características Very Fast VM1 Greater than 50 mm/s Fast VM2 Between 0.5 mm/s and 50 mm/s Moderate VM3 Between 0.05 mm/s and 0.5 mm/s Slow VM4 Between 0.005 mm/s and 0.05mm/s Very Slow VM5 Lesser than 0.005 mm/s.

F I G . 6 Relation between normalized damage and displaced volume for lateral pressures.

TA B L E 4 Structure resistance criteria

Request Type Damage modes Structure resistance criterio

Lateral Displacements Transport. Deformation. Settlement. Rupture. Ground foundation depth. Structure drag.

Lateral pressures Deformation. Rupture. Structure height. Ground foundation depth.

Leone’s methodology is oriented to evaluating the physical vulnerability in order to quantitatively estimat-ing the risk, for which the exposed elements are reduced to two groups: physical goods and people’s integrity. Characterization of exposed elements: Starting from the primary information consulted in the diagnostics for each polygon, as well as the technical sheets, the characterization for the conditions of the ground and hill-sides and delimiting each polygon, we will carry out the phase on characterizing the exposed elements. Each identified and located element must be described and categorized in function of their characteristics such as typology, exposition and fragility (Table4).

TA B L E 5 Classification for housing typology

Building type Description

B1 Houses built of recycled material. B2 House in masonry without structure.

B2 Prefabricated House.

B3 Buildings of up to two (2) levels of Good quality construction (with structure). B4 Buildings of over two (2) levels of good quality construction (with structural reinforcement).

(6)

TA B L E 6 Classification of damages according to the DRM.

Damage Index Damage type Damage percentage I Light non-structural damage. 0.0 - 0.1 II Walls cracking. Fissures. 0.2 - 0.3 III Significant deformations. 0.4 - 0.6 IV Structure fracture. 0.7 - 0.8 V Partial or Total collapse. 0.9 - 1.0

TA B L E 7 Methodologic framework.

VULNERABILITY CATEGORY CRITERIA

HIGH Average IVF≥0.65

MEDIUM 0.35≤Average IVF < 0.65

LOW Average IVF < 0.35

The damage normalized value was compared with the volume of slipped material, in order to identify the relation between the landslide magnitude measure and the damage caused by the landslide on the exposed houses (Figs.5and6). These representations are known as fragility, vulnerability or damage curves, with which one can determine from hazard conditions the physical risk indexes by mass removal phenomena. Starting from the technical sheets on the 31 polygons in the Rafael Uribe Uribe locality that had presented a mass removal phenomena, we were able to identify the existence of a relation between the type and magnitude of the landslide with the damage in structures. Although is not a uniform trend, in Figs.5and6a line is traced which could represent a trend, more clearly shown in Fig.5, which represents the levels of damage generated by lateral displacements. Even though these are present with less frequency than the lateral pressures, still can induce greater damage in the structures.

TA B L E 8 Damage matrix for structures or houses

Event magnitude or class

B1 B2 B3 B4

Building typology

Lateral

displacement

VM1 > 50mm/s

V

V

V

IV

VM2

∈ [

0

.

5

,

50

]

mm/s

V

V

IV IV

VM3

∈ [

0

.

05

,

0

.

5

]

mm/s

V

IV

III

III

VM4

∈ [

0

.

005

,

0

.

05

]

mm/s

IV

III

III

II

VM5 <

0

.

005

mm/s

III

II

I

I

Lateral force

PL1 > 2h/3 with

h

:=housing height V

IV

III

III

PL2

∈ [

h

/

3

,

2

h

/

3

]

V

IV

III

II

PL3

<

h

/

3

IV

III

II

I

(7)

TA B L E 9 Estimate for the degree of physical vulnerability in the polygons declared as threatened by mass removal phenomena in the locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe

No. Polygon Request

Type Building Typology Damage Index Physical Vulnerability

1 Playón Playita VM1 PL3 B2 B2 V III High Medium

2 Molinos De La Caracas N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B4 I Low

3 La Merced Sur VM1 B2 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

4 La Marquesa VM1 B2 V High

N/A N/A N/A N/A

5 San Ignacio - Villa Neiza N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B3 III Medium

6 Diana Turbay Sector Cultivos I N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B3 II Low

7 Rincón Del Valle N/A PL2 N/A B2 N/A III N/A Medium

8 Marco Fidel Suarez N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL2 B3 III Medium

9 Diana Turbay Sector Cultivos - II N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B3 II Low

10 Diana Turbay Sector Cultivos - Torre VM1 B4 V High

N/A N/A N/A N/A

11 El Consuelo VM1 B3 V High

PL3 B3 II Low

12 El Rosal Rafael Uribe Uribe N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B3 II Low

13 Colinas VM1 B2 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

14 Granjas de San Pablo VM1 B2 V High

PL2 B2 IV High

15 Mirador de Marrocos, VM1 B2 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

16 Villas del Recuerdo VM2 B2 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

17 Callejón De Santa Barbara Sur Y III VM2 B2 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

18 Hospital San Carlos N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B4 I Low

19 Colegio María Cano (El Rosal)-

Barrio Zarazota

VM1 B2 V High

PL3 B4 I Low

20 Socorro III - Urbanización Francisco

Vega

VM1 B3 V High

PL3 B4 I Low

21 El Portal II VM1 B3 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

22 Mirador Sur l y ll VM1 B2 V High

N/A N/A N/A N/A

23 Providencia Alta N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B3 II Low

24 Arboleda Sur VM1 B2 V High

PL3 B2 III Medium

25 Madrid N/A N/A N/A N/A

PL3 B2 III Medium

26 Rio de Janeiro - Pesebre VM1 B3 V High

PL3 B3 II Low

27 Nueva Esperanza VM1 B1 V High

PL2 B1 V High

3 | CONCLUSIONS

(8)

was present. This is characterized by an increase in precipitations, which generated an increase in landslide events (Fig.2). This allows to consider a strong relation between the precipitations as a main trigger for mass removl phenomena in the locality, propitiating affectations such as partial or total collapse in the buildings, compromising the habitability and structural stability at short and medium terms, and hence, the integrity of the people inhabiting them.

From the baseline we encounter that some polygons in the mass removal phenomena hazard map are classified as Low Risk by the District’s Office of Planning and the IDEGER. However, in this phase analysis, a large number of mass removal events reportedly have occurred in the last few years, and the number of some families affected and relocated in some polygons (See Table 7). This was evidenced in the following neighborhoods: Los Puentes, Diana Turbay Cultivos, Rincón del Valle, Bosques de San Carlos, La Merced, La Arboleda and Colinas. Then, is necessary to update the susceptibility studies for this locality and to determine the new zones to classify in terms of low, medium or high rish. Additionally, we evidence that the high risk is classified in uninhabited land, which has restriction for urban uses and not in urbanized polygons.

The physical vulnerability index (PVI) in the polygons in the locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe, according to the magnitude of the events registered in the concepts and technical sheets, it is estimated that most of them are within the VM1 to VM3 range, presenting the higher intensity in rain periods for the slopes high zones and PL2 to PL3 for the low parts of the slopes. The predominant type of building in the affected polygons is the masonry, although in some sector one can find houses built out of recycled materials. For this, is estimated that the possible damage index in the buildings is IV and V, Fracture in the structure or partial or total structure collapse; in both cases is required immediate evacuation and the damage percentage could be between 70% and 100%.

Physical vulnerability index by landslide hazard for 31 polygons in the locality of Rafael Uribe Uribe, ac-cording to the request type, for lateral pressures is High in 3 polygons, Medium in 12 polygons, Low in 9 polygons and no exposed elements in 7 polygons. For lateral landslides, vulnerability is High in 15 polygons, No polygons for Medium, Low for 4 polygons and 12 polygons with no exposed elements.

Identification and evaluation generates knowledge and information on the derived risk for one or several hazards and allows to settle the basis for the development of other components or politics. Includes the surveillance and observation actions of dangerous phenomena, studies realization, scenario, hazard maps and models, information services on exposition, vulnerability evaluation of the exposed components, qualification and risk visualization, among others, that enable the decision making from the government entities and the implementation of politics for risk management [15].

In this sense, the estimation of physical vulnerability index in the polygons declared as threatened by mass removal phenomena, allows the actors, such as competent public entities and exposed population, to give a specific treatment to each polygon according to the estimated vulnerability index, thus contributing with the actions of preparing and planning the response to possible emergencies, enabling the authorities and population with the accurate implementation of contingency plans and reaction that ensures the best possible management for protecting the integrity and goods of exposed population.

Studies for vulnerability of population exposed to landslides contribute to the planning and occupation of the territory in a safe manner, using information that allows to identify and characterize the risk scenarios that historically have generated risks or disasters within the territory. This enables the local governments to conduct a problem diagnostic as precise as possible and an effective design for the solution.

(9)

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank Universidad Sergio Arboleda for their support in this research, to the Rafael Uribe Uribe local mayor’s office, and the District Secretary of Planning.

References

[1] “Programa de las naciones unidas para el desarrollo.(2004),”Dirección de Prevención de Crisis y de Recu-peración, un informe mundial la reducción de riesgos de desastres un desafío para el desarrollo; Dirección de Prevención de Crisis y de Recuperación.http://www.undp.org/bcpr.

[2] F. de Prevención and A. de Emergencias FOPAE,Localidades de Bogotá. Recuperado de: http://www.

fopae.gov.co, 2013.

[3] Banco Mundial, Departamento Nacional de Planeación (2004). Dirección de política ambiental. Proyecto re-ducción de la vulnerabilidad del estado ante desastres naturales. Convenio de Donación Tf-052529-2003; Bogotá D.C.

[4] Alcaldía Local de Rafael Uribe Uribe; Universidad Antonio Nariño (2012) Plan Local de Gestión del Riesgo 2012-2016. Bogotá D.C.

[5] Secretaría Distrital de Planeación 2017. Monografía de Localidades – No.18 Ra-fael Uribe Uribe. Bogotá D.C.

[6] Alcaldía Local de Rafael Uribe Uribe (2015), Plan Ambiental Local 2013-2016; primera actualización septiem-bre de 2015. Bogotá D.C.

[7] Sistema de información para la gestión del Riesgo y cambio climático –SIRE-(2016). Reporte de eventos por remoción en masa para la localidad de Ra-fael Uribe Uribe; tomado de: http: // www. sire. gov. co/

emergencias.

[8] Instituto Distrital de Gestión del Riesgo y cambio Climático –IDIGER- (2014) Do-cumentos técnicos de recor-ridos por polígonos declarados en alto riesgo.

[9] Lee, E. M., Jones, D. K. C. (2004). Land-slide risk assessment. Thomas Telford. London; p254.

[10] Rodríguez, C., Jiménez, D. (2009). Vulnerabilidad física ante deslizamientos. V Encuentro de Ingenieros de suelos y es-tructuras. Escuela colombiana de Inge-niería “Julio Garavito Armero” Bogotá D.C.

[11] Cruden, D. y Varnes D. (1991). Landslides Tipos and Troceases. Universidad de Alberta, Canadá.

[12] Leone, F. (1999). Concept de vulnerabi-lite applique al’evaluation des risques generes par les phenomenes de mou-vements de terrein. Tesis de doctorado, Universidad de Grenoble.

[13] Soler, F., González, A. y Vesga, L. (1999). Metodología para el análisis de vulnerabilidad y riesgo por fenómenos de remoción en masa en Santa Fé de Bogotá, Colombia. XI CPMSIF. Fox de Iguazú, Brasil.

[14] DRM-Délégation aux Risques Majeurs 1988. Evaluation de la vulnerabilité. Plan d’Exposition aux Risques, Min. De l’Environment, La Documentation Francaise, Paris.

(10)

Referencias

Documento similar

Although some public journalism schools aim for greater social diversity in their student selection, as in the case of the Institute of Journalism of Bordeaux, it should be

In the “big picture” perspective of the recent years that we have described in Brazil, Spain, Portugal and Puerto Rico there are some similarities and important differences,

As seen previously on subsection 3.3.1 the storms were characterized and classified based on the storm energy content, which was acquired using a combination of wave height

No obstante, como esta enfermedad afecta a cada persona de manera diferente, no todas las opciones de cuidado y tratamiento pueden ser apropiadas para cada individuo.. La forma

 The expansionary monetary policy measures have had a negative impact on net interest margins both via the reduction in interest rates and –less powerfully- the flattening of the

Keywords: Metal mining conflicts, political ecology, politics of scale, environmental justice movement, social multi-criteria evaluation, consultations, Latin

Highest ef ficiencies for CZTS cells reported up to this date have been deposited via a process first reported by Shin et al in 2013 using co-evaporation of the elements at low

Even though the 1920s offered new employment opportunities in industries previously closed to women, often the women who took these jobs found themselves exploited.. No matter