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Modelling the range expansion of the Tiger mosquito in a Mediterranean Island accounting for imperfect detection

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Academic year: 2020

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Figure

Fig. 1 The Island of Mallorca with the location of the 70 sites (black dots) monitored for the presence of Ae
Fig. 2 Maximum distance of a observed occurrence from the point of first observation by year
Fig. 4). Models including an autoregression structure in which colonization probabilities were modelled as a linear function of the average neighbouring occupancy rate in the form α + β 1t ψ − t n delivered positive but  unreal-istic standard deviations fo
Fig. 4 Average site occupancy probability in relation to the distance from the first reported observation (estimates from the model in which all parameters were time-dependent, noted ψ(t)γ(t)ε(t)p(t))
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