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The estimation of bedload in poorly-gauged mountain rivers

--Manuscript Draft--

Manuscript Number: CATENA13284R1

Article Type: Research Paper

Keywords: bedload, gravel-bed rivers; sediment transport; modelling Corresponding Author: Daniel Vázquez Tarrío

University of Oviedo Oviedo, Asturias SPAIN

First Author: Daniel Vázquez Tarrío

Order of Authors: Daniel Vázquez Tarrío

Rosana Menéndez Duarte, PhD

Abstract: Bedload transport is one major driver of gravel-bed river morphodynamics, and its quantification is capital for many environmental issues and river engineering applications, as well as for landscape evolution studies. To this point, bedload transport rates and volumes have been classically computed by means of sediment transport formulae. The most used bedload transport equations compute the bulk mass bedload based on section-averaged hydraulic parameters. However, due to the non- linear behavior of sediment transport, bedload formulae are sensitive to the input parameters. Then, some doubts arise when applying bedload equations on poorly gauged river reaches, i.e. rivers where there are no hydrological records and rating curves. In this paper, we assess the application of bedload equations in the case of poorly gauged river reaches, and we test a workflow to follow in such situations. This workflow consists of three steps: i) Reconstructing the flow duration curve, based on gauging records from neighboring river basins; ii) Solving the hydraulic geometry relations of the study-case river-reach, based on a flow friction equation; and finally, iii) Computing bedload with a sediment transport equation. We tested this approach against the bedload information available in the literature for Idaho streams and we found that it could potentially approximate annual bedload volumes in ungauged reaches under certain conditions. To illustrate the potential of this workflow, we also computed bedload volumes for two ungauged river reaches from the Cantabrian mountains (NW Spain).

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FLOW DURATION CURVE

1D HYDRAULICS:

wetted width, depth: shear stress ...

REGIONAL INFORMATION Calibrate flow duration model

BEDLOAD RATES:

Average anual bedload volumes Sediment rating curve Hydrological/

Gauging data

?

Hydraulic geometry:

Rating curves

?

Channel geometry +

Rickenmann and Recking (2011)

aelvetr elW Time

Water level

Flow

Bedload

?

equation

Recking (2013)

GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT

Vázquez-Tarrío and Menéndez-Duarte

Graphical Abstract

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The estimation of bedload in poorly-gauged mountain rivers 1

Vázquez-Tarrío, D.a,b,c,d* and Menéndez-Duarte, R.b,c 2

a Geological Hazards Division, Geological Survey of Spain (IGME), 28003 Madrid, 3

Spain 4

b Department of Geology, University of Oviedo, c/ Jesús Arias de Velasco, s/n, 33005 5

Oviedo, Spain 6

c INDUROT, University of Oviedo, Campus de Mieres, s/n, 33600 Mieres, Spain 7

d University of Lyon, CNRS UMR 5600 EVS, Site ENS, F-69362, Lyon, France 8

*Corresponding author: [email protected] 9

Revision, Unmarked (including Title page with author details) Click here to view linked References

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2 Abstract

10

Bedload transport is one major driver of gravel-bed river morphodynamics, and its quantification 11

is capital for many environmental issues and river engineering applications, as well as for 12

landscape evolution studies. To this point, bedload transport rates and volumes have been 13

classically computed by means of sediment transport formulae. The most used bedload transport 14

equations compute the bulk mass bedload based on section-averaged hydraulic parameters.

15

However, due to the non-linear behavior of sediment transport, bedload formulae are sensitive to 16

the input parameters. Then, some doubts arise when applying bedload equations on poorly gauged 17

river reaches, i.e. rivers where there are no hydrological records and rating curves. In this paper, 18

we assess the application of bedload equations in the case of poorly gauged river reaches, and we 19

test a workflow to follow in such situations. This workflow consists of three steps: i) 20

Reconstructing the flow duration curve, based on gauging records from neighboring river basins;

21

ii) Solving the hydraulic geometry relations of the study-case river-reach, based on a flow friction 22

equation; and finally, iii) Computing bedload with a sediment transport equation. We tested this 23

approach against the bedload information available in the literature for Idaho streams and we 24

found that it could potentially approximate annual bedload volumes in ungauged reaches under 25

certain conditions. To illustrate the potential of this workflow, we also computed bedload volumes 26

for two ungauged river reaches from the Cantabrian mountains (NW Spain).

27

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3 1. Introduction

28

Bedload sediment transport is a key control on the physical and ecological functioning of gravel- 29

bed rivers. The coarse fraction of sediment, travelling as bedload, is one major component of the 30

bed material, that defines alluvial channel geometry and planform morphology (Church, 2006;

31

Wilcock et al., 2009; Vázquez-Tarrío et al, 2020). Additionally, bedload motion contributes to 32

shape habitat for benthic macroinvertebrates and defines the conditions making river gravel 33

habitable for several aquatic organisms (Gibbins et al., 2007; Haschenburger, 2017). Thus, the 34

adequate quantification of bedload volumes is essential for a wide range of river engineering and 35

management issues, such as channel design, environmental flow assessment, hazard evaluation 36

and dam conception/operation, amongst others (e.g. Stroffek et al., 1996; Dufour and Piégay, 37

2009; Habersack and Piégay, 2007; Arnaud et al., 2017; Vázquez-Tarrío et al 2019).

38

Additionally, the smart implementation of some river restoration operations, such as gravel 39

augmentation plans or dam removal schemes, require a good estimation of bedload volumes and 40

their distribution through time. Moreover, bedload transport drives river incision, so its adequate 41

quantification is also capital to model and understand landscape evolution (e.g. Slingerland et al., 42

1994; Molnar et al., 2006).

43

Ideally, the characterization of bedload at-a-site would be possible with adequate field 44

measurements. To this point, a wide diversity of field methods have been developed and proposed 45

over the last decades, which include the use of (more or less) sophisticated sediment traps and 46

field sampling methods (e.g. Helley and Smith, 1971; Sterling and Church, 2002; Vericat et al., 47

2006; Bergman et al., 2007), particle tracking (e.g. Laronne and Carson, 1976; Hassan et al., 1984;

48

Haschenburger, 1996; Haschenburger and Church, 1998; Hassan and Ergenzinger, 2003; Liébault 49

et al., 2012; Vázquez-Tarrio and Menéndez-Duarte, 2014; Hassan and Bradley, 2017; Vázquez- 50

Tarrío et al., 2019), volume estimation based on geomorphic change detection (Ham, 1996;

51

Ashmore and Church, 1998; Martin and Church, 1995; Ham and Church, 2000; Lane et al., 2003;

52

Brasington et al., 2003; Wheaton et al., 2010; Lallias-Tacon et al., 2014; Vericat et al., 2017) 53

and/or the use of several acoustic and geophysical methods (Tsai et al., 2012; Rickenmann et al., 54

2014; Roth et al., 2016; Goodwiller et al., 2019; Bakker et al., 2020). However, all these different 55

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methodologies are costly, both in terms of time and field efforts. Additionally, establishing 56

average values of the different bedload parameters needs a large number of field observations in 57

order to compile data series long enough to grasp all the inherent variability in river hydrology 58

and sediment transport processes. This frequently makes the field measurement of bedload 59

unrealistic in view of the time availability and the immediate needs of the more usual river 60

engineering and research projects.

61

Because of the difficulties with the above methodologies, instead of field measures, hydraulic 62

engineers and river scientists have very often turned to the use of sediment transport equations.

63

Sediment transport formulae allow the computation of bedload rates and volumes based on 64

relatively easy to take (at-a-site) measures of grain size and hydraulic parameters. In this regard, 65

several bedload equations have been proposed (Schocklitsch, 1935, 1950; Meyer Peter and 66

Müller, 1948; Einstein, 1950; Bagnold, 1980; Parker et al., 1982; Parker, 1990; Wilcock and 67

Crowe, 2003; Recking, 2013) and some of the more modern developments provide relatively 68

reliable estimations of the bulk bedload volumes in certain situations (Gomez and Church, 1989;

69

Habersack and Laronne, 2002; Recking, 2013; Vázquez-Tarrío and Menéndez-Duarte, 2014;

70

Hinton et al. 2018). The common strategy followed with bedload equations is the 1D approach 71

(Ferguson, 2003): using cross-sectional averaged values of grain-size, channel slope, width and 72

flow discharge, these equations compute the bulk bedload volumes. When one is interested in 73

retrieving annually averaged bedload volumes, this approach involves three clear steps (Recking 74

et al., 2012), which are summarized in Fig. 1: i) First, defining the flow duration curve for the 75

study reach; then ii) Computing the variation in several hydraulic parameters (width, depth, 76

hydraulic radius…) with flow discharge, i.e. defining the hydraulic geometry and rating curves 77

for the study site; and finally, iii) Combining i) and ii) into a bedload equation to compute bedload 78

rates for the different discharges of the flow duration curve. It would then be possible to weight 79

the estimated bedload rates by its frequency of recurrence and estimate average annual bedload 80

volumes.

81

In this regard, a lot of research has focused on the improvement of bedload models (step iii in Fig.

82

1), and some recent bedload equations succeed to formulate and incorporate in a mathematical 83

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5

way several bedload mechanisms, such as the effects of sand/gravel mixing, armour breakup, the 84

transition from partial to full mobility, and the effects of macro-bedforms (Parker, 1990; Wilcock 85

and Crowe, 2003; Recking, 2010; 2013; Recking et al., 2016; Piton and Recking, 2017). However, 86

in principle, these equations would only work well when good information about the hydrological 87

regime (allowing the definition of the flow duration curve) and gauging data (establishing 88

hydraulic geometry and rating curves) are available at the given study site (see workflow in Fig.

89

1). Nonetheless, in many applied situations, we are interested in computing bedload rates in 90

reaches that are poorly gauged (or even ungauged). With that being said, locations where there 91

are no hydrological series long enough to establish a reliable flow duration curve (first step in 92

Fig. 1), neither is it possible to establish hydraulic geometry relations or rating curves (second 93

step in Fig.1). Consequently, we are quite limited in our ability to compute bedload in those poorly 94

gauged river reaches. Nevertheless, regional hydrological information and data could be used to 95

fill the gap in gauging data and to approach the flow duration and rating curves in these types of 96

ungauged reaches. In this regard, for instance, Mueller and Pitlick (2005) used this idea to propose 97

a model of bedload transport capacity in a headwater stream in the Rocky Mountains. Similarly, 98

Piton et al. (2016) followed a comparable approach in order to compute bedload rates in an Alpine 99

torrent and obtained results that were adequately validated with field measurements of bedload 100

volumes.

101

In this sense, the main aim of the present paper is to test how the workflows normally followed 102

for the estimation of bedload volumes in gravel-bed rivers (figure 1) could be adapted and perform 103

in the case of poorly gauged, mountain river reaches. The workflow followed is based on the 104

combination of hydrological regional information, channel geometry and grain size 105

measurements taken in the field, and bedload computation with sediment transport formulae. We 106

tested this approach based on two different data sets: i) First, we applied it on the Idaho bedload 107

data set, already published in Whiting et al. (1999) and King et al. (2004); and then ii) We applied 108

the procedure to our own data set of bedload measurements for the Pigüeña and Coto rivers (NW 109

Spain) to illustrate the potential (and uncertainties) of the workflow.

110 111

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6 2. Rationale

112

Bedload transport can be characterized at-a-site by two main sediment transport metrics: i) First, 113

the average annual bedload volumes, which provides an idea of the amount of sediment 114

transported by the studied river reach; ii) The bedload sediment duration curve, which provides 115

an idea of bedload variability, or how bedload is distributed throughout a typical hydrological 116

year.

117

Based on the workflow already outlined in figure 1, we could easily identify which are the three 118

major sources of uncertainty when computing these bedload metrics in poorly gauged river 119

reaches: i) The establishment of the flow duration curve; ii) The definition of how the different 120

hydraulic parameters (wetted width, hydraulic radius, shear stress) vary with flow discharge; and 121

iii) The choice of an adequate bedload formula. Concerning the first point, it has been suggested 122

that the complete range of mean daily flow discharges could be approximated by an inverse 123

gamma probability density function (Crave and Davy, 2001; DiBiase and Whipple, 2011; Lague, 124

2014; Lague et al., 2005; Molnar et al., 2006; Croissant et al., 2016) of the form:

125

𝑝𝑑𝑓(𝑄) = 𝑘𝑘+1

𝛤(𝑘+1)∙ exp⁡(−𝑘

𝑄) ∙ 𝑄∗−(2+𝑘) Eq.1

126

where the daily discharge Q is normalized by the annually averaged daily discharge Qm (Q* = Q 127

/ Qm). The symbol Γ represents the gamma function and k is a parameter that controls the shape 128

of the probability density function capturing the variability of the hydrological regime. Different 129

values of k were proposed, from 0.2 (in case of a high variability of daily discharges, typical of 130

arid or monsoon dominated areas) to ~4 (low variability). The inverse gamma distribution exhibits 131

an exponential tail toward low discharges and a power law tail for large discharges. For an inverse 132

gamma pdf, the return time of a specific daily discharge, Qsp, can be computed from (Croissant et 133

al., 2016):

134

𝑡𝑟(𝑄𝑠𝑝) = ⁡𝛤 (𝑘 𝑄⁄ 𝑠𝑝, 𝑘 + 1)−1 Eq.2

135

where tr is the return period.

136

In case that some regional information is available about the daily discharge distribution in 137

neighboring basins, this information could be used to calibrate the value of k in eq. 1.

138

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Nevertheless, the estimation of the daily discharge distribution from an inverse gamma function 139

still relies on knowing the annually averaged daily discharge (Qm in eq. 1), which is not known a 140

priori in non-gauged river reaches. However, it is well established in hydrology how discharge 141

correlates to drainage area (A) across a region (Hack, 1957; Thomas and Benson, 1970;

142

Slingerland et al., 1994), providing that hydroclimatic conditions are homogeneous:

143

𝑄𝑚 = 𝑎 ∙ 𝐴𝑏 Eq. 3

144

Again, if regional information was available, the b parameter in equation 3 could be calibrated, 145

and then the eq. 3 could be inverted to compute the annually averaged daily discharge based on 146

the area draining the considered ungauged reaches. Thus, eq 1 and 3 could be combined with the 147

available regional information to build flow duration curves for the ungauged reaches. A more 148

complex situation would arise if no regional information was available. In such cases, some 149

assumptions should be made for the intercept and the exponent in eq. 3. In this regard, a common 150

pattern observed in humid-temperate regions is a linear relationship between mean annual 151

discharge and drainage area (Hack, 1957; Slingerland et al., 1994; Solyom and Tucker, 2004), i.e.

152

b-exponent~1 and a-intercept ~0.01-0.1. However, this may differ in other hydro-climatic settings 153

(Solyom and Tucker, 2004).

154

Once the flow duration curve is established, a second source of uncertainty would be the 155

computation of the different hydraulic parameters (wetted width, hydraulic radius, shear stress).

156

In gauged rivers, this information is provided by the rating curves built based on gauging records.

157

In ungauged river reaches, we are forced to build the rating curves based on a flow friction 158

formula, which allows the quantification of the links between flow discharge, stream velocity and 159

water depth. Ferguson (2007) proposed a flow resistance equation that accounts for differences 160

in relative roughness between shallow and deep flows. This equation was validated against a 161

broad database of the field data of gravel bed rivers by Rickenmann and Recking (2011), who 162

also provided an equivalent expression for the Ferguson (2007) flow friction model, that allows 163

the estimation of average flow depth (d) directly from flow discharge:

164

𝑑 = 0.015 ∙ 𝐷84𝑞∗2𝑝

𝑝2.5 Eq. 4

165

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8 where:

166

𝑞= 𝑞 𝑤 ∙ √𝑔𝑆𝐷⁄ 843 Eq. 5

167

and q is the water discharge, S the channel slope, p = 0.24 if q*<100 and 0.31 otherwise, D84 is 168

the 84th percentile of the surface grain size distribution and w is the active channel width. The 169

last two parameters are easy to measure in the field. Therefore, eq. 4 could be used together with 170

the flow duration curve (computed based on the set of eqs. 1 to 3) and relatively simple field 171

measurements to build theoretical rating curves for ungauged study reaches.

172

The last source of uncertainty is which bedload formula we choose. Several bedload transport 173

equations have been proposed in scientific literature. It is not the aim of this paper to test different 174

bedload formulae but to illustrate how bedload rates could be estimated (or not) in comparable 175

conditions in ungauged and gauged gravel-bed rivers. Therefore, we proposed to work with only 176

one single bedload formulae, the Recking (2013) bedload transport equation:

177

𝑞𝑠= 14 ∙ √𝑔 ∙ 1.65 ∙ 𝐷843𝜏∗2.5

1+(𝜏𝑚𝜏∗)4

∙ 𝑤 Eq.6

178

where qs are the specific bedload rates, g is the gravity acceleration, τ* is the Shields shear stress 179

and τm* is the reference Shields stress separating partial, from full mobility conditions. Shields 180

stress is estimated from:

181

𝜏=(𝜌 𝜏

𝑠−𝜌)∙𝑔∙𝐷84 Eq. 7

182

where ρs is the density of sediment, ρ is the water density and τ is the bed shear stress, which can 183

be estimated from the depth (d)-slope (S) product:

184

𝜏 = 𝜌 ∙ 𝑔 ∙ 𝑆 ∙ 𝑑 Eq. 8

185

We decided to choose Recking’s (2013) equation because it does not require calibration, and 186

compared to other bedload models it considers explicitly the transition from partial to full mobility 187

conditions (through the τm*

parameter) and it seems to work rather well in gravel-bed rivers 188

(Hinton et al., 2018). Additionally, this equation has already been tested against one of the datasets 189

used in the present research (the Idaho dataset) (Recking, 2013). Furthermore, the more recent 190

development of this equation (Recking et al., 2016) incorporates the effects of macro-bedforms, 191

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based on accounting for the dominant channel style when computing τm*

from the following 192

formulae:

193

𝜏𝑚 = 1.5 ∙ 𝑆0.75 Eq. 9

194

in the case of plane-bed and step-pool streams, and in the case of riffle-pool rivers:

195

𝜏𝑚 = (5 ∙ 𝑆 + 0.06) ∙ (𝐷𝐷84

50)4.4∙√𝑆−1.5 Eq. 10

196

where D50 is the median size of the surface grain-size distribution.

197

Fig. 2 summarizes all the previous considerations and resumes the workflow proposed here to 198

compute bedload transport in non-gauged gravel-bed rivers. As previously stated, we are going 199

to test this approach against the Idaho dataset of bedload data (King et al., 2004).

200 201

3. Materials and methods 202

3.1. Preliminary information 203

3.1.1. Idaho dataset (USA) 204

To test the workflow presented above (and summarized in figure 2), we needed a dataset where 205

field information on bedload fluxes, rating curves and hydraulic/sediment parameters was 206

available for a broad collection of mountain rivers, ideally in a wide variety of conditions. Our 207

aim is to take advantage of such a dataset to see how information is (or is not) lost along the data- 208

treatment chain as we reduce data-availability (figure 2) and to check how this may affect whether 209

sediment estimates deviate (or not) from the actual field measures. This will allow us to tease out 210

some lessons on how well the workflow presented in the previous section could be adapted and 211

perform in poorly gauged mountain rivers. In this regard, the exceptional database of bedload 212

measurements for Idaho rivers represented the ideal dataset to test the workflow described above 213

(section 2; Fig. 2). This exceptional database includes bedload measurements for 33 Idaho rivers, 214

representing one very complete and freely available dataset of bedload measurements for gravel- 215

bed rivers. This information was made freely accessible online by the USDA Forest Service at 216

the website of the Boise Adjudication Team (BAT,

217

https://www.fs.fed.us/rm/boise/AWAE/projects/sediment_transport/sediment_transport_BAT.sh 218

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tml) and these data have already been analyzed in several papers (e.g. Whiting et al., 1999; King 219

et al., 2004; Barry et al. 2004; Mueller et al., 2005; Barry et al., 2008; Muskatirovic, 2008; Pitlick 220

et al., 2008; Recking, 2010; Mueller and Pitlick, 2014).

221

These streams are part of the Northern Rocky Mountain Province in Idaho (Fenneman, 1931) 222

(with the exception of Rapid River) and all (except Cat Spur Creek) are within the Snake River 223

basin. Frontal systems coming from the Pacific Ocean are the source of most of the precipitation 224

for these basins. Snow accumulates from fall through spring at higher elevations, accounting for 225

over half the annual precipitation. Consequently, the hydrology of these streams is snowmelt- 226

dominated, reaching peak flows from April to June, in association with spring snowmelt runoff 227

and rain-on-snow events. Low flows are typically reached in September or October (King et al., 228

2004).

229

Data on bed slope, channel geometry and grain-size for these 33 streams was obtained from King 230

et al. (2004), Mueller and Pitlick (2005) (supplementary files) and the bedload web project 231

(https://www.bedloadweb.com/). Bankfull depths and widths range from 0.2 to 5 m, and from 2 232

to 200 m, respectively. On the other hand, bed slope at the study sites spans from 0.0003 to 0.07.

233

Finally, D50 ranges from 23 to 207 mm and D84 from 62 to 558 mm. Bedload transport was 234

measured with Helley-Smith samplers, having 76.2 mm and 152.4 mm square orifices and a 0.25 235

mm mesh on the collecting bag, and the results of these measurements are also freely accessible 236

online through the BAT official website. Nevertheless, Recking (2010) (in its supplementary 237

files) has already made a great effort homogenizing and putting together all the bedload 238

information, and we benefited from this previous work of compilation.

239

There are streamflow gauge stations managed by the USGS in 22 of the 33 selected reaches. We 240

downloaded mean daily discharges for these sites from the US National Water Information 241

System (https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis). In the case of the remaining 11 streams, some 242

discharge information could be retrieved at the website of the BAT, managed by the USDA Forest 243

Service. Based on the discharge information, we made a flow duration analysis for each one of 244

the selected streams. To do so, we ranked discharge data in descending order of values, and we 245

assigned to each value its respective sorting order value (m). Then, we estimated the empirical 246

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relative frequency of being equaled or exceeded for each ranked flow as the ratio m / N+1, where 247

N is the total number of discharge data available in the series. In this way, we built the empirical 248

Flow Duration Curve (FDC) for each one of the selected streams.

249

3.1.2. Cantabrian rivers 250

A second dataset was selected to test the potential of the workflow presented in section 2, 251

integrated with our own field data on bedload transport in Cantabrian rivers. The Cantabrian range 252

is a chain of mountains with ~500 km length and ~100 km width, running parallel to the 253

northwestern coastline of the Iberian Peninsula. The proximity to the coast (~50-70 km) 254

determines intense rainfall and high regional slopes, and consequently a drainage network 255

consisting of steep-sloped channels installed on the northern face. This set of mountain basins 256

constitute the Cantabrian Fluvial System (Prego et al., 2008). The Cantabrian fluvial system is 257

integrated by 28 river basins of relatively small drainage areas (28-4900 km2). The climatic 258

conditions are homogeneous throughout the region. The mean annual rainfall is ~1100 mm and 259

precipitations are well distributed the whole year round. Vegetal cover is continuous and consists 260

of an alternation of bush areas, deciduous forests, and meadows.

261

Stream gauging information is available for 27 river reaches across the Cantabrian region and is 262

freely accessible online (https://ceh.cedex.es/anuarioaforos/default.asp). Conversely, to date there 263

has been an almost total lack of quantitative data about sediment transport in the region. In 264

previous research (Vázquez-Tarrío, 2013 and Vázquez-Tarrío and Menéndez-Duarte, 2014;

265

2015) we made the first attempt to quantify bedload transport in two river reaches from this 266

region, using a tracer-based field experiment. We will use these previous measurements in order 267

to illustrate how the workflow presented in section 2, and tested in this research, could be 268

generalized to characterize bedload transport in other poorly gauged river reaches different to the 269

Idaho dataset. The two selected reaches (Fig. 3) are two tributaries of the Narcea river, one of the 270

main rivers in the region: i) River Pigüeña (405 km2 catchment area), we focused on a reach 2 km 271

upstream of the confluence with the River Narcea; and ii) River Coto (120 km2 catchment area), 272

we focused on a river reach 1 km upstream of the confluence with the Narcea river. Both rivers 273

have a coarse streambed, composed primarily of gravel and cobbles and can be comparable to the 274

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33 rivers used to ‘fine-tune’ the workflow presented in section 2. Descriptive information on both 275

reaches could be obtained at Vázquez-Tarrío and Menéndez-Duarte (2014; 2015).

276

3.2. Methodology 277

3.2.1. Idaho rivers 278

For each one of the selected streams, first we estimated the two metrics already outlined above:

279

i) The average annual bedload volumes; and ii) The Bedload sediment Duration Curve (BDC).

280

To achieve this, we used the available (field) bedload information for the selected rivers. Then, 281

for each case study, we searched for the best power law fitting bedload rates to water discharge 282

and shear stress (i.e. ‘sediment-rating’ curve). These regression equations were later applied to 283

the different bins of discharge in each site’s empirical FDCs and we computed the corresponding 284

BDCs. The calculated values of sediment discharge were then weighted by the annual frequency 285

of each discharge and summed to estimate the annual bedload volumes. In this regard, it should 286

be noted that the Fourth of July was finally excluded from the dataset due to the existence of water 287

diversion in this site, which made not possible to adequately define a flow duration curve for this 288

reach. Hawley creek was also excluded from further analysis, in this case because a weak 289

correlation (R2~0.22) between flow discharge and bedload rates was observed in this reach (King 290

et al., 2004), i.e. it was not possible to achieve a robust estimation of the mean annual bedload 291

volumes or the BDC based on the available field data.

292

As long as our estimations of the bedload metrics (annual load, BDCs) were based on the available 293

field measurements, we considered them as the actual or ‘field-based’ values against which we 294

would test the workflow previously described (Fig. 2). These ‘field-based’ estimations are 295

hereinafter called ‘scenario 0’, and we assumed that they represent an ‘ideal’ situation where there 296

is a perfect availability of all the required at-a-site gauging, discharge and bedload information.

297

Later, we proceeded to estimate bedload parameters for four different situations or modelling 298

scenarios, which we assumed to illustrate different conditions of data availability and are 299

summarized in Table 1. Comparing the bedload estimations obtained under these four scenarios, 300

among them and with scenario 0, we aimed at understanding the influence of the different steps 301

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of the workflow (Figs. 1 and 2) on the bedload estimations and how the performance of bedload 302

equations may be affected by different data-availability conditions.

303

The first scenario (scenario 1) mimics a situation where the study reach could be totally ungauged.

304

Consequently, no hydrological information, neither rating curves would be available, the only 305

strategy for computing bedload being represented by the workflow outlined above (Fig. 2).

306

Scenario 1 represents the extreme opposite situation to the departing scenario 0, in terms of data 307

availability. Scenario 1 involves that FDCs must be computed based on the set of equations 1 and 308

3, which require calibration: more specifically, k-parameter in eq. 1, and the intercept (a) and the 309

exponent (b) in eq. 3 must be calibrated. Then, we randomly split the dataset into two groups:

310

‘calibration’ group (15 rivers) and ‘validation’ group (14 rivers). As has just been advanced, the 311

first group of data was used for two goals: i) To calibrate the intercept and the exponent in eq. 3, 312

which links annually averaged daily discharge to the drainage area. This was done using classical 313

regression analysis; and ii) To search for the best value of k in eq. 1, explaining the temporal 314

distribution of mean daily discharges. To do so, we searched for the value of k minimizing the 315

root-mean-square deviation between the empirical quantile function of daily discharges and that 316

derived from eq. 1. Once calibrated, we applied eq. 3 for the estimation of annually averaged daily 317

discharges for each stream in the second group of data (validating group of data) under the 318

modelling scenario 1. That said, the estimated discharges were combined with the previously 319

calibrated value of k in eq. 1 to build an estimated FDC for each river in this validation group.

320

Then, we applied eqs. 4 and 5 to each bin of discharge in the estimated FDCs and we estimated 321

flow depths and bed shear stress using the depth-slope product (Eq. 8). The obtained shear stresses 322

were introduced into Recking’s (2013) equation (eq. 6) and we computed the BDC and the annual 323

average bedload volumes. The ‘estimated’ (scenario 1) values for the second group were 324

compared to the ‘field-based’ values (scenario 0), to see how our workflow arrives, or not, to 325

approach reliable estimates of bedload transport.

326

In truth, there are three main sources of uncertainty in the computing workflow (Fig. 1 and 2), as 327

we have already pointed out in section 2. First, the uncertainty linked to the computation of the 328

FDCs. On the other hand, the uncertainty linked to the specific set of equations used to solve flow 329

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resistance (eqs. 4 and 5). Finally, the uncertainty linked to the choice of the bedload equation.

330

Indeed, the comparison between scenarios 0 and 1 does not allow to discern between the different 331

sources of uncertainty in bedload computation in non-gauged reaches. Therefore, we decided to 332

consider three more modelling scenarios, to weight the relative influence of each source of bias 333

in bedload computation (Table 1). In scenario 2, we repeated the bedload estimations (for the 334

validation group of data) using the Recking’s (2013) equation, but this time based on the actual 335

empirical FDCs and the actual flow and sediment rating curves available for the study site.

336

Moreover, in the third scenario considered (scenario 3), we repeated the bedload computations 337

based on the truth empirical FDCs (again, for the validation group of data), but this time we solved 338

flow resistance using eqs. 4 and 5, rather than the actual rating curves. Then, the bedload was 339

estimated based on the ‘truth’ sediment rating curves relating shear stress to bedload rates and 340

available for each study site. Finally, we repeated the estimation of BDC and bedload volumes 341

(for the validation data group), based on the estimated FDCs, but using the actual rating curves 342

(linking flow depth, width and bedload rates to flow discharge) available for each study case 343

(scenario 4).

344

Consequently, the comparison between the different modelling scenarios and the field-truth 345

bedload data will provide an idea of the reliability of the workflow presented above (section 2, 346

figure 2) for bedload computation in case of poorly gauged river reaches. For instance, the 347

comparison of scenario 1 (no data available) with truth-field data (all data available: scenario 0) 348

will provide an overall idea of how well the bedload volumes could be estimated in an ungauged 349

situation in the selected dataset. Likewise, the comparison of scenario 2 (gauging records + rating 350

curves available, bedload information not available) with the field-truth data will help to 351

overcome the inherent uncertainties linked to the choose of a bedload formula. Similarly, the 352

comparison of scenario 3 (gauging records + bedload available, but rating curves not available) 353

with the truth-field data (scenario 0) will make it possible to get close to the uncertainty in bedload 354

estimation linked to the use of the flow resistance eq. 4, rather than the actual rating curves.

355

Finally, the comparison of scenario 4 (rating curves + bedload information available, FDCs not 356

available) with the scenario 0 will help to overcome the inherent uncertainties linked to the 357

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estimation of the FDCs based on regional information. Two different scores are used during our 358

assessment and comparisons: i) One is the ratio between the estimated and the field-based values 359

(r); and ii) The second one is the percentage of data for which r lays between 0.5 and 2, and 360

between 0.2 and 5 (less than one order of magnitude of difference between the estimated and the 361

field-based values).

362

3.2.2. Cantabrian rivers 363

Mean daily discharge data was obtained from the available gauging records for Cantabrian rivers.

364

Based on this data, we searched for a regional curve, fitting the average annual daily discharge to 365

the drainage area (eq. 3). Mean daily discharge data were also used to get the empirical FDC for 366

each gauging station, and the obtained FDCs were used to calibrate the k parameter in equation 367

1. Yet again, to do so, we searched for the value of k minimizing the root-mean-square deviation 368

between the empirical quantile function of daily discharges and that derived from eq. 1. Then, we 369

used eqs. 1 and 3 (with the previously calibrated value for k), and we built the FDC for River 370

Pigüeña and River Coto. Later, we applied Rickenmann and Recking (2011 flow resistance 371

equation (eq.4) to estimate shear stresses for the different bins of discharge in the BDC, and 372

Recking et al. (2016) bedload formulae to compute bedload rates. The simulated bedload-rating 373

curves were finally compared to our own field measures (based on tagged stones) of bedload rates 374

in River Pigüeña and River Coto (Vázquez-Tarrío et al., 2014).

375 376

4. Results 377

4.1. Idaho rivers 378

4.1.1. Flow duration curves 379

We found a strong and statistically significant power correlation between the drainage area and 380

the mean average daily discharge in the calibration group of data, as expected (Fig. 4A). It is 381

interesting to note that the observed trend is not far from what we would expect (a linear trend) 382

for rivers in humid-temperate regions (e.g. Hack, 1957; Slingerland et al., 1994; Solyom and 383

Tucker, 2004). The obtained (regression) power law was employed to estimate the average annual 384

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16

discharge in the validation group of data, and we observed how the real values were reliably 385

estimated (Fig. 4B).

386

We also used the calibration data group in order to search for the better value of k in eq. 1, and 387

we obtained an optimum value of k = 2.9 (Fig. 5A), a value expectable for low variable 388

hydrological regimes in perennial streams. When applied to the validation group of data, we 389

observed a good estimation of higher flows, but still a slight overestimation of low flow 390

discharges (Fig. 5B). The origin of this overestimation may relate to some of the implicit 391

assumptions when using the inverse-gamma distribution model (eq. 1) to approach streamflow 392

variability. This model involves a power-law right tail of the probability distribution of daily 393

discharges, which may not be as accurate as previously thought in geomorphological studies 394

(Rossi et al., 2016).

395

4.1.2. Bedload parameters 396

Following the workflow proposed in fig. 2 (scenario 1), 35% and 71% of our bedload estimates 397

are between 0.5:2 and 0.2:5 of the real values respectively, with an average r of ~2.5. Scores are 398

slightly lower than those obtained with modelling scenario 4 (estimated FDCs + truth rating 399

curves + truth bedload rating relations), but quite similar to those obtained using Recking’s (2013) 400

equation and flow resistance equations 4 and 5 on the ‘truth’ empirical FDC (Fig. 6) (scenario 2 401

and 3). This suggests that differences between the observed and estimated average bedload 402

volumes more likely relate to the performance of the flow resistance and bedload equations, rather 403

than to the bias introduced when modelling the FDC. According to these results, if we choose the 404

adequate flow friction and bedload formula, we would obtain comparable predictions of annually 405

averaged bedload volumes in a gauged and an ungauged hypothetical situation (according to the 406

comparison between modelling scenarios 1 and 2) in the selected study cases.

407

To better understand these results, we looked with more detail at the BDCs (Fig. 7). The computed 408

BDC shows differences in precision according to the probability of non-exceedance. In modelling 409

scenario 1, bedload discharges for rare and high-magnitude events are better predicted than the 410

bedload discharges for lower magnitude and more frequent floods, with differences that can 411

eventually achieve two orders of magnitude. This contrasts with our previous results (Fig. 6), 412

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showing a reasonably good prediction of the annually averaged bedload volumes. However, 413

bedload rates for low magnitude, frequent episodes are considerably lower than those recorded 414

for higher magnitude flows, i.e. their contribution to the annual bedload volumes is not 415

particularly important (Fig. 8). This may explain why the time-integrated bedload volumes are in 416

general well-estimated, despite the strong overestimation of bedload rates for low flows 417

Indeed, we also observed overestimation and higher scatter in bedload predictions at low- 418

magnitude flows with modelling scenario 2 (Fig. 7), despite using the actual FDCs and rating 419

curves. This points out at the inherent limitations of the bedload formula at low flow rates. In 420

contrast, we observed underestimation of bedload rates at the more frequent, low-magnitude flows 421

in case of modelling scenario 3. This agrees with Rickenmann and Recking (2011) who already 422

pointed out how flow resistance eq. 4 underestimates average flow velocity at low depth- 423

roughness ratios, which may in turn affect the outcomes of the bedload equation. Finally, in the 424

case of modelling scenario 4, we again observed the overestimation of bedload rates at low- 425

magnitude, frequent flows, which should be related to the underestimation of flow duration for 426

low-magnitude discharges with eq. 1 (see Fig. 5B).

427

In summary, the analysis of the BDCs highlights several things: i) The estimation of bedload rates 428

is reliable at moderate and high-magnitude flows in all the modelling scenarios; ii) With low- 429

magnitude flows, uncertainties linked to the choice of the bedload formula and the estimation of 430

the FDCs result in overall overestimation of bedload rates; iii) The use of flow friction equation 431

4, lead to a general underestimation of bedload rates at low flows, as expected from the original 432

Rickenmann and Recking (2011) analysis on flow resistance; and iv) Underestimation linked to 433

flow resistance eq. 4 is in the same order of magnitude as the overestimation related to the 434

uncertainty in simulating the FDCs. The previous four points clarify the results shown in Fig. 6 435

concerning the estimation of annually averaged bedload volumes: underestimation linked to using 436

eq. 4 to solve flow resistance is balanced by the overestimation linked to the uncertainties in 437

building the FDCs. Consequently, almost all the remaining uncertainty in bedload computation is 438

that inherent to the use of the bedload equation; thus, the results obtained using the workflow 439

adapted here for ungauged reaches should be comparable to those expected applying the same 440

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bedload formulae in case of the actual FDCs and gauging data being available (scenario 2). That 441

said, bedload rates could be estimated in similar conditions for an ungauged and a gauged 442

situation, and the precision of the results would be (mostly) solely controlled by the performance 443

of the bedload formulae, at least in the selected case studies.

444

In summary, the results suggest that following the workflow described in section 2 (scenario 1), 445

we succeeded in approaching reasonably well the average annual bedload volumes and the 446

relative contribution of each individual discharge to the annual bedload, in spite of a large 447

overestimation of bedload rates for low-magnitude flow discharges.

448

4.2. Cantabrian rivers 449

We obtained a good regional curve fitting the average annual daily discharge to the drainage area 450

in Cantabrian rivers (Fig. 9A). Again, it can be seen that the observed trend does not deviate much 451

from the linear relationship expected for rivers in humid-temperate (e.g. Hack, 1957; Slingerland 452

et al., 1994; Solyom and Tucker, 2004). Additionally, we obtained an optimum k = 3.5 for 453

equation 1 with the dataset of 27 Cantabrian rivers (Fig. 9B).

454

We used the drainage area of River Pigüeña and River Coto to estimate mean daily discharge 455

(based on Fig. 9A). Using these estimates, and applying eq. 1 (with a k=3.5, fig. 9B), we built the 456

FDC for River Pigüeña and River Coto. Then, we followed the workflow presented in section 2:

457

we applied the friction equation 4 and the bedload equation 6 on the obtained FDCs to derive the 458

BDCs and estimate the average annual bedload volumes in both streams. Comparison with field 459

measured bedload rates (based on tracer data) reported in Vázquez-Tarrío and Menéndez-Duarte 460

(2014) suggests that bedload estimates could not be far from the actual values (Fig. 10).

461

Integrating the BDC, we estimated the annually averaged bedload volumes being 26000 and 900 462

m3/year in River Pigüeña and River Coto, respectively. This data represents the first estimations 463

of annual bedload volumes for Cantabrian rivers (to our knowledge).

464 465

5. Discussion 466

As we have previously stated, for many applied situations, river engineers are faced with river 467

reaches where there is a total lack of gauging records, or the available data do not extend for a 468

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long enough period of time. Even having access to an accurate and trustable bedload equation, 469

some doubts would arise on how reliable bedload computation could be in such cases where there 470

is no hydrological information, neither any rating curve linking water discharge to flow depth or 471

velocity. This situation is reminiscent of the classical distinction in clinic trials between efficacy 472

(i.e. how a medical treatment behaves in an ideal or controlled setting) and effectiveness (i.e. how 473

a medical treatment behaves in a real-world, clinical daily setting), and it has constituted the leit 474

motiv triggering and guiding the present work. Previous work has already demonstrated that (more 475

or less) reliable functional relations can be found between flow strength and bedload rates (i.e.

476

efficient bedload formulae; Parker, 1990; 2004; Wilcock and Crowe, 2003; Recking, 2013;

477

Recking et al., 2016; Hinton et al., 2018). However, like any other mathematical model, bedload 478

equations are largely sensitive to the way the input parameters (such as water discharge, flow 479

duration, hydraulic geometry or flow friction) are defined (Fernandez and García, 2017) and few 480

of these studies have analyzed how these models behave in applied situations, where we could 481

not have a good control on the hydrologic and hydraulic information needed for bedload 482

computation, i.e. how effective really are the available efficient bedload formulae?

483

In the initial scheme shown in Fig. 1, there were three potential sources of uncertainty in bedload 484

estimation. First, the method we used to reconstruct FDCs, which fits well to moderate and high- 485

magnitude flow discharge, but overestimates the more frequent, low-magnitude flows. The bias 486

introduced by this overestimation means that bedload rates tend to be overestimated in 1-2 orders 487

of magnitude at low flows due to this effect. Second, the use of Rickenmann and Recking (2011) 488

flow resistance law, means that shear stresses are underestimated at low-flows, and this effect 489

introduces a bias towards an ~1-2 order of magnitude underestimation of bedload at low flows.

490

Consequently, the overestimation at low flows linked to ‘reconstructing’ the FDC balances the 491

overestimation related to the Rickenmann and Recking (2011) flow resistance model, so the final 492

uncertainty in bedload estimation is mostly related to the choice of the bedload equation. In this 493

regard, our results show how the use of the bedload formulae (Recking et al., 2016) introduces a 494

large scatter in sediment transport computation at low flows. This could be related to the fact that 495

the armour layer is not destabilized at these low-flow conditions, so bedload transport is more 496

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20

controlled by the availability of mobile sediment (supply limited conditions, travelling bedload;

497

sensu Piton et al., 2017), rather than the capacity of the channel to move the bed sediment 498

(competent or capacity limited conditions).

499

Nevertheless, the three sources of uncertainty are largely reduced at moderate and high-magnitude 500

flows. The influence of FDC reconstruction and the flow resistance equation become minimized, 501

and similarly the bedload equation provides more reliable bedload estimates. Consequently, 502

bedload rates at moderate and high-magnitude flows seem to be computed in ungauged rivers 503

with comparable accuracy and precision to gauged reaches (compared Scenario 1 and 2 in Fig.

504

6). To the extent that the weight of low magnitude flows on the average annual bedload volumes 505

is very weak, this also means that the annual bedload volumes can be computed in an ungauged 506

situation with a similar accuracy to totally gauged conditions . In summary, our analysis shows 507

how the outcomes of the bedload formulae obtained in a gauged situation are comparable to those 508

obtained in a situation where gauging records are lacking, i.e. bedload equations may show a 509

comparable behavior in ungauged and gauged river reaches, at least in the analyzed data of Idaho 510

and Cantabrian rivers.

511

However, the limitations of the approach presented here (figure 2) still need to be examined in 512

more extensive and comprehensive way. Although we have used one of the more extensive 513

datasets on bedload measurements for gravel-bed rivers, the explored data have potential bias.

514

First, the used dataset come from just two geographical regions (Northern Rocky Mountain in 515

Idaho and Cantabrian Mountains in NW Spain). It would be ideal to have done the same exercise 516

in rivers from other regions, but this kind of data are not common. Indeed, bedload data available 517

in the literature are lacking from dryland, tropical regions, and/or cold environments (Phillips and 518

Jerolmack, 2019; Vázquez-Tarrío et al., 2020). Different hydro-climatic settings involve 519

contrasted patterns of streamflow variability, so we could also expect differences in the 520

probability distribution of daily discharges, i.e. in k-parameter in eq.1. This may eventually 521

nuance some of the conclusions here outlined; e.g. the fact that the overestimation of low flows 522

linked to ‘reconstructing’ the FDC based on eq.1 balances the underestimation of flow friction 523

linked to eq. 4. In addition, some authors pointed out how the inverse-gamma distribution of daily 524

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discharge could be not so common as normally assumed (Rossi et al., 2016; Deal et al., 2018), 525

and using another kind of probability distribution function for daily discharges may change some 526

of the trends reported here.

527

Moreover, it should be noted that most of the rivers where we have tested the procedure presented 528

here are relatively narrow plane-bed or riffle-pool rivers. Large-amplitude bar-pool, and multi- 529

thread braided and wandering rivers are misrepresented in the used dataset. These river settings 530

feature a wide diversity of channel-morphologies and a large cross-sectional variability in shear 531

stresses, patterns of flow and sediment conveyance and grain-size sorting (Ferguson, 2003;

532

Francalanci et al., 2012; Recking, 2010; Recking et al., 2016; Vázquez-Tarrío et al., 2019). In 533

these conditions, we are limited by the 1D-approach followed here and classically used in bedload 534

studies (Ferguson, 2003). The large cross-sectional variability in shear stresses and form-drag 535

imposed by macro-forms in these particular settings likely involve a poor performance of both 536

the flow-friction and bedload formulae, so probably the results outlined here would differ from 537

those we would observe in multi-thread rivers.

538

Consequently, some doubts could be posed as to whether some of the conclusions presented here 539

are generalizable to all gravel-bed rivers or other hydro-climatic settings. Nonetheless, in this 540

regard, we would like to outline that it is not the aim of the present manuscript to propose an easy 541

and universal procedure for the estimation of bedload in any situation, which could substitute the 542

field measurement or the use of more sophisticated 1D and 2D hydraulic/morphodynamic 543

modelling approaches. Bedload transport is a very complex phenomenon, which depends on many 544

drivers acting at several time and spatial scales, from the local control exerted by structural 545

arrangements at the clast-scale, to the general sediment supply conditions at the catchment scale.

546

When possible, field measurements of bedload should be prioritized over any attempt at 547

estimating bedload based on bedload formulae. However, field measurement is complex, 548

expensive and it could take some time before the collection of data good enough as to characterize 549

bedload at-a-site is acquired, which could contrast with the more immediate needs of many river 550

engineering or research projects. In this regard, any kind of information on bedload volumes could 551

be better than nothing. We believe that the procedure here presented could be used: i) first, as a 552

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base to provide some first-order ideas on bedload volumes in poorly gauged reaches; and ii) as a 553

base to further research exploring the efficiency of bedload estimates and the performance of 554

bedload equations under different scenarios of data availability.

555

6. Conclusions 556

In this paper we investigated the potential for the application of bedload formulae in poorly 557

gauged reaches. According to our work:

558

- It is possible to approach the values for the mean annual discharge and the general shape 559

of the flow-discharge duration curve for an ungauged river-reach, based on the 560

information available for neighboring catchments. Then, the flow duration curves 561

obtained in that way can potentially be used for bedload computations.

562

- We tested different modelling scenarios, and the results suggest how accuracy in the 563

estimation of annual bedload volumes is mostly controlled by the performance of the 564

flow-resistance and bedload equation, rather than to the use of a modelled flow duration 565

curve.

566

- Bedload rates computed for low-magnitude, frequent events are far from the ‘real’ ones, 567

but for moderate and high-magnitude flows are comparable to the field measured bedload 568

fluxes. Those high-magnitude flows are those with a more relevant weight in the total 569

annual volumes, so reliable estimations of annual bedload volumes are possible despite 570

the poor estimations for low discharges.

571

- We have illustrated the potential of this approach and we have estimated bedload volumes 572

for two ungauged river reaches from NW Spain, and we have obtained values which seem 573

coherent with the field measurements available for these streams.

574

- In summary, our results suggest that a first-order estimation of annual bedload volumes 575

is possible in poorly gauged mountain rivers, providing that some hydrologic information 576

is available for neighboring catchments.

577

- However, our observations could be potentially biased by the scarce dataset here used.

578

Further research using data from other hydro-climatic environments and 579

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geomorphological settings will allow to examine our findings in a more extensive and 580

comprehensive way.

581

Acknowledgements.

582

The present work has been possible thanks to the financial support provided by the grant ACB17- 583

44, co-funded by the post-doctoral ‘Clarín Program-FICYT’ (Government of the Principality of 584

Asturias) and the Marie Curie Co-Fund, as well as support from the project RIVERCHANGES- 585

CGL2015-68824-R (MINECO/FEDER, UE). First author was also supported by the Spanish 586

National R&D+i Plan research project entitled “Advanced methodologies for scientific-technical 587

analysis of flood risk for the improvement of resilience and risk mitigation” (DRAINAGE-3-R 588

under Grant CGL2017-83546-C3-3-R AEI/FEDER, UE), funded by the Spanish Ministry of 589

Economy and Competitiveness (now Ministry of Science and Innovation). Finally, we also thank 590

the Editor and the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and remarks.

591

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