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UNECE, 24 January 2012

The Role of Natural Gas and Gas

Infrastructure as an Enabler of the Renewable

and Low Carbon Economy

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2

Enagas; Basic Infrastruture Operator

As of June 2011

Enagás E&P Licuef. Maritime transport Regasifi-cation End consumers Distri-bution Technical System Management

Transmission Storage

Regulated activities in Spain

Supply contracts / Supply/ Trading International transmission 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Cajastur SEPI

Oman Oil Corporation Sagane BBK

(3)

3

FERROL A CORUÑA PONTEVEDRA LUGO ORENSE OVIEDO BILBAO SANTANDER PAMPLONA LOGROÑO SORIA BURGOS PALENCIA VALLADOLID LEÓN SEGOVIA SALAMANCA ZAMORA

AVILA MADRID GUADALAJARA CUENCA ALBACETE CI UDAD REAL TOLEDO CÁCERES BADAJOZ HUESCA ZARAGOZA TERUEL GIRONA BARCELONA LLEIDA TARRAGONA CASTELLÓN VALENCIA ALICANTE MURCIA ALMERÍA GRANADA JAÉN MÁLAGA CÓRDOBA CÁDIZ HUELVA SEVILLA VITORIA PALMA DE MALLORCA SANTA CRUZ DE TENERIFE LAS PALMAS S. SEBASTIAN CARTAGENA CEUTA MELILLA SINES

1969

1975

1979

1980

1981

1983

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1993

1994

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Basic

Infrastructures

Plantas de Regasificación Yacimientos En operación (Número tanques de GNL) Estaciones de compresión Almacenamientos subterráneos

Evolution of gas Natural Gas Demand and

Infrastructure Development

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

19

75

19

76

19

77

19

78

19

79

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

TWh

Doméstico-Comercial

Industrial

Centrales eléctricas

Usos no energéticos

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

TWh

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 TWh

Doméstico-Comercial Industrial Centrales eléctricas Usos no energéticos

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 TWh

(4)

4

Coal; 6,4%

Other

renewables;

8,5%

Hydro; 2,6%

Natural gas;

23,3%

Nuclear;

12,2%

Petroleum;

48,5%

Primary energy mix (2010)

Primary energy and electricity mix (2010)

Source: La Energía en España 2010. SEE.

300 GWh (e)

Nucl ea r 17,8% Ca rbón 12,6% Hi droel éctri ca 8,9% P. Petrol íferos 4,5% Cogenera ci ón ga s na tura l 10,4% Cogenera ción P.Petrolíferos 2,3% Bioma s a , biogas , RSU y otros 1,3% Bombeo 0,9% Sola r 2,1% Eól ica 12,3% Centra les ga s natura l 26,8% Biomass, biogas, USW,.. 1,4% Nuclear 19,5% Solar 2,8%

Wind E.

15,3%

Hydro 15,9% Pumping 1%

Natural Gas

CCGTs ; 22,2%

Natural gas

cogeneration; 9,9%

Cogeneration (P. Products) Coal 8,2% Petroleum products 1,9%

300 GWh (e)

Nucl ea r 17,8% Ca rbón 12,6% Hi droel éctri ca 8,9% P. Petrol íferos 4,5% Cogenera ci ón ga s na tura l 10,4% Cogenera ción P.Petrolíferos 2,3% Bioma s a , biogas , RSU y otros 1,3% Bombeo 0,9% Sola r 2,1% Eól ica 12,3% Centra les ga s natura l 26,8% Biomass, biogas, USW,.. 1,4% Nuclear 19,5% Solar 2,8%

Wind E.

15,3%

Hydro 15,9% Pumping 1%

Natural Gas

CCGTs ; 22,2%

Natural gas

cogeneration; 9,9%

Cogeneration (P. Products) Coal 8,2% Petroleum products 1,9%

(5)

5

Installed Capacity 2011: wind and CCGTs

WIND

Installed Capacity

2011

22 GW

Proposed 2020

35.000 MW

(750 MW offshore)

Evolution, aim and tendency of the installed power

19 1 3 6 7 13 14 16 18 21 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 35 37 38 39 43 44 36 45 53 49 50 51 52 55 56 57 62 66 64 65 2 4 5 8 9 10 11 12 15 17 20 22 23 33 34 48 40 41 42 58 59 60 61 46 47 54 63

group ≥400 MW

group <400 MW

67 19 1 3 6 7 13 14 16 18 21 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 35 37 38 39 43 44 36 45 53 49 50 51 52 55 56 57 62 66 64 65 2 4 5 8 9 10 11 12 15 17 20 22 23 33 34 48 40 41 42 58 59 60 61 46 47 54 63

group ≥400 MW

group <400 MW

67

Map of CCGTs 2011

CCGTs

Installed Capacity

2011

26 GW

(6)

6

Interconnection Hydroelectric Nuclear Fuel/Gas

CCGT Wind Power Other Coal

Power generation in Spain

30-September-2010

6-November-2011

MW

MW

Wind Power 59%

Wind Power 1%

Wind

Wind

Gas

Gas

Interconnection Hydroelectric Nuclear Fuel/Gas

CCGT Wind Power Other

Coal

(7)

7

Wind Power vs CCGTs

Source: REE

0

28,000

20,000

16,000

24,000

MW

22:00

6:00

14:00

22:00

Electric system

demand

22:00

6:00

14:00

22:00

36,000

32,000

24,000

20,000

28,000

MW

06-November-2011

01-January-2010

Electric system

demand

22:00 2:00 6:00 10:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 3,600 2,800 2,000 1,200 400 0 2:00 22:00 2:00 6:00 10:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 2:00 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 MW

Wind Power

MW

High level of wind energy.

22:00 2:00 6:00 10:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 2:00 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 MW

Wind Power

22:00 2:00 6:00 10:00 14:00 18:00 22:00 1200 2:00 4000 3200 2400 400

CCGTs

CCGTs

(8)

8

Correlation between CCGTs and wind power

6-feb-11 30 6-nov-10 31 max 9-nov-10 (315 GWh) 39% 6-ene-11 39 max 30-nov-10 (330 GWh(e) =671 GWh/gas) 36%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11

GWh(e)/day 28-nov-11 31 16-dic-11 269 6-nov-11 36 19-dic-11 192

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Nov-11 Dec-11 GWh(e)/day

Winter 10-11

Winter 10-11

Winter 11-12

Winter 11-12

1-jun-11 237 30-oct-11 24 21-jun-11 255 15-may-11 43

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 GWh(e)/day

Summer 2011

Summer 2011

(9)

9

Demand variability and IT tools for prediction

Forecast demand

systems

Forecast demand

systems

CECRE

Time

frame

Time

frame

24 month conventional demand

1 intraday conventional and

electric demand

10 years conventional demand

Delfos

10 days conventional demand

del

ELECTRICO

Φ

Φ

Φ

Φ

o

s

del

ELECTRICO

del

ELECTRICO

Φ

Φ

Φ

Φ

o

s

10 days electric demand

12 months electric demand

Electra

Electra

other agencies

involved

other agencies

involved

The demand provided by these applications are used in network simulation

The demand provided by these applications are used in network simulation

State Agency of

Meteorology

Dispatching of

renewable energy

(10)

10

Shippers

Month

Month

Week

Week

Year

Year

Day

Day

Intraday

Intraday

Electric

Operator

Operators

Coordination process

(11)

11

Gas infrastructures

Infrastructures

2011

6 LNG plants

•Storage capacity

(GWh): 22.239

•Emision Capacity

(GWh/day): 1.915

MUGARDOS CARTAGENA TARIFA BARCELONA ALMERÍA

2020

2020

HUELVA GAVIOTA MUSEL MUSEL SAGUNTO CASTOR CASTOR YELA YELA SERRABLO MARISMAS MARISMAS BILBAO Incorporation of infrastructure Operational infrastructure FID No FID Incorporation of infrastructure Operational infrastructure FID No FID LARRAU IRÚN TUY BADAJOZ MUGARDOS CARTAGENA TARIFA BARCELONA ALMERÍA

2020

2020

HUELVA GAVIOTA MUSEL MUSEL SAGUNTO CASTOR CASTOR YELA YELA SERRABLO MARISMAS MARISMAS BILBAO Incorporation of infrastructure Operational infrastructure FID No FID Incorporation of infrastructure Operational infrastructure FID No FID LARRAU IRÚN TUY BADAJOZ

6 cross border

connections:

Portugal (2)

France (2)

Marocco

Argelia

2 Underground storage

10.067 km high preasure

pipelines (72-80 bar)

17 compressor stations

FORECAST

2020

(12)

12

Tilting at windmills

Do you see over yonder, friend Sancho, those

hulking LNG tanks? I intend to do battle with them

and slay them.

Take care, sir.

Those over

there are not

LNG tanks but

(13)

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Thank you for your attention

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