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EU Market Situation for

Eggs

Committee for the Common Organisation

of the Agricultural Markets

23 October 2014

(2)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Eggs for Consumption 6.998 6.851 6.740 6.657 6.675 6.450 6.417 6.429 6.278 6.521 6.597 6.660 Total Eggs 7.642 7.502 7.438 7.424 7.486 7.313 7.297 7.303 7.265 7.333 7.436 7.447 Hatching eggs 644 651 699 768 811 863 880 874 986,6 812,2 839,5 787,9

5.000 5.500 6.000 6.500 7.000 7.500

Thousand Tons

Experts EU production forecast on Eggs

2014

Egg for cons. +1,2%

6 597 Th T Egg Total +1,4%

7 436 Th T

2015

Egg for cons. +1,0%

6 660 Th T

Egg Total +0,2%

7 447 Th T

(3)

0 200 400 600 800 1 000

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Q ty in 1 0 0 0 t o n n e s

Experts EU production forecast of Eggs for consumption

2014: 6 596.7 Th T ( + 1.2 %) & 2015: 6 659.5 Th T ( + 0.5 %)

2012 2013 2014 2015

DE : 0.6%

NL :

0.6% UK :

2.8%

HU : - 3.7%

FI : 1.5%

IT : 1.3%

FR : - 2.9%

SK : 0.3%

RO : 0.0%

PT : 0.0%

IE : 0.0%

DK : 0.0%

BG : 2.4%

ES : 8.5%

(4)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 0

200 400 600 800 1 000

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Q ty i n 1 0 0 0 t o n n e s

Experts EU production forecast of Total Eggs

(Eggs in shell + Hatching Eggs)

2014: 7 436.2 Th T ( + 1.4%) & 2015: 7 447.4 ThT ( + 0.2%)

2013 2014 2015 2015

DE : 0.6%

HU : - 2.9%

NL : 0.5%

FI : 1.5%

UK : 2.8%

IT : 1.2%

SK : 0.4%

RO : 0.0%

PT : 0.0%

IE : 0.0%

FR : - 2.7%

DK : 0.0%

BG : 2.2%

ES : 0.0%

(5)

0 100 200 300

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Q ty i n 1 0 0 0 t o n n e s

Experts EU production forecast of Hatching Eggs

2014: 839.5 Th T ( +3.4 %) & 2015: 842.9 Th T ( + 0.4 %)

2012 2013 2014 2015

HU : 2.4%

UK : 2.9%

SK : 1.4%

RO : 0.0%

FI : 0.0%

PT : 0.0%

NL : 0.0%

IT : 0.0%

IE : 0.0%

FR : 0.0%

DE : 0.0%

DK : 0.0%

BG : 0.0%

(6)

85 105 125 145 165 185

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€u ro / 1 00 kg

Evolution of the weekly EU

average price for Class A eggs in packing stations

Moy.09-13 2011 2012 2013 2014

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

(7)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

0 7.500 15.000 22.500 30.000 37.500

| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |

1.000 p.

Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces) compared to the baseline trend

(base line= monthly avg 2010 - 2013)

Pla cings Laying Hens (ba seline= monthly avg 2010 - 201 3) - lay ing chicks

Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.

2013 26.225 23.042 26.777 27.539 26.832 25.923 24.550 20.098 23.553 22.822 20.108 21.000 2014 23 910 23 841 29 431 27 033 24 590 23 879 18 785 13 949

(8)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 0 40 80 120 160

0 1.500 3.000 4.500 6.000 7.500 9.000

| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |

Price €uro/100kg

Mio p.

Production forecast of eggs in shell (Mio p).

compared to the price development

Forecast Producti on Eggs Price Eggs

Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.

2013 7.519 7.497 7.474 7.458 7.443 7.529 7.446 7.420 7.424 7.442 7.412 7.238 2014 7 262 7 234 7 219 7 147 6 971 7 122 7 088 7 112 7 208 7 143 7 188

(9)

40,00 65,00 90,00 115,00 140,00 165,00 190,00

| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |

Egg prices of EU, USA, Brazil and India in €uro/ 100kg

EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro IN NECC €uro

69,93

128,63 104,27 133,01

EU = weighted avg of MS prices Average class L&M US = weekly USDA prices Eggs grade A ,Chicago

BR = avg of prices in main producing states (noticiasagricolas.com.br)

IN = avg of NECC prices in available Production Centres (e2necc.com)

(10)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 0,00

40,00 80,00 120,00 160,00 200,00

| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |

€u ro / 10 0k g

Prices of Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2014

Eggs for Consumption US breaking (high)

EU Barn cage free breaking (high) EU Enriched cage breaking (high)

(11)

0,0 40,0 80,0 120,0 160,0 200,0 240,0

1

|

5 9 13 17 21 25 2012

29 33 37 41 45 49 1

|

5 9 13 17 21 25 2013

29 33 37 41 45 49 1

|

5 9 13 17 21 25 2014

29 33 37 41 45 49 1

|

€/ 10 k g

Maximum weekly prices for individual egg products in the EU and the USA in €/10kg

whole plain EU Yolk EU Albumen Spray EU

whole plain US Yolk US Albumen Spray US

(12)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 0,0

100,0 200,0 300,0 400,0

| 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |

€/ 10 k g

Prices of Egg products in the EU and the USA (in €/10 kg)

Yolk 44% pasturised EU Yolk 11% salted EU

Yolk 43% pasturised USA Yolk 10% salted USA

(13)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

0 30 60 90 120 150 180

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de

Eu ro / 10 0k g

Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production

marge

Marge 2009 - 2013 feed

egg

(14)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

0

20 40 60 80 100 120

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

Remainder €uro/ 100kg

100KG Egg minus feedcost for Laying Hens feedconversionrate = 2,7 (2009) - 2,2 (2014 )

Marge Average 09 - 13

Marge Egg 2011 Marge Egg 2012 Marge Egg 2013 Marge Egg 2014

(15)

EU Imports of Eggs:

Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 13

India 3.211 9,4% 1.554 7,5% 3.657 9,7% 3.856 18,9% 3.566 44,4% + 60,8%

USA 14.009 40,9% 5.960 28,6% 15.183 40,2% 6.853 33,5% 2.376 29,6% - 56%

Argentina 7.937 23,2% 8.115 39,0% 10.162 26,9% 5.734 28,0% 835 10,4% - 81%

Norw ay 1.722 5,0% 1.502 7,2% 1.474 3,9% 1.969 9,6% 798 9,9% - 46%

Sw itzerland 337 1,0% 342 1,6% 332 0,9% 355 1,7% 329 4,1% + 56%

Israel 941 2,7% 547 2,6% 1.393 3,7% 349 1,7% 100 1,2% - 55%

Others 6.087 0,2% 2.787 0,0% 5.528 0,0% 1.338 0,0% 32 0,4%

EXTRA EU 28 34.244 20.806 37.729 20.454 8.037

% change - 39% + 81% - 46% - 47,1%

2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Aug 14

(16)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

EU Egg Imports

1.603 2.218 3.566

11.846

5.370 2.376

4.662

1.467

132

27.848

15.204

8.037

0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000

Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14

Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs

(Tonnes eggs equiv)

India USA Argentina Norway Switzerland Other destinations

2.157 2.594 3.316

18.603

12.102

8.123 4.196

181

32.655

22.208

13.375

0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000

Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14

Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs

(1000 EUR)

India USA Argentina Norway Switzerland Other destinations

(17)

China + H. Kong China + H. Kong

Si ng apo re (up to Jul ) Si ng apor e (up to Jul )

M exi co (up to Jul ) M ex ico (up to Ju l)

Sw itz er la nd Sw itz er la nd

Ja pa n Ja pa n

0 20 40 60 80

2013 (up to August) 2014 (up to August)

Q ty in 10 00 Ton ne s

Main Importers of EGGS Products (up to August)

Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. Eggs for hatching)

(18)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

EU Exports of Eggs:

Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 13

Japan 52.923 29% 66.357 31% 66.938 36% 64.527 30% 51.763 36% + 30,5%

Sw itzerland 45.072 25% 42.168 19% 41.893 23% 42.086 20% 25.467 17% - 8%

U.A.Emirates 5.888 3% 8.262 4% 1.674 1% 10.450 5% 4.487 3% - 20%

Iraq 20 0% 1.552 1% 1.139 1% 7.741 4% 5.531 4% +++

Russia 5.293 3% 4.947 2% 5.982 3% 10.539 5% 4.773 3% - 33%

Angola 10.414 6% 17.524 8% 17.109 9% 12.906 6% 8.074 6% - 17%

Equat.Guinea 1.487 1% 1.945 1% 1.632 1% 2.215 1% 1.736 1% + 3%

Secr.Extra 2.164 1% 1.148 1% 2.638 1% 8.262 4% 2.267 2% - 52%

Israel 1.308 1% 2.654 1% 1.060 1% 936 0% 2.197 2% +++

Thailand 6.180 3% 7.254 3% 6.409 3% 5.919 3% 3.392 2% - 18%

Taiw an 7.145 4% 7.941 4% 4.626 2% 3.412 2% 1.823 1% - 31%

Others 43.825 24% 55.353 25% 34.694 19% 45.623 21% 34.229 23%

EXTRA EU 28 181.719 217.105 185.793 214.617 145.738

% change + 19% - 14% + 16% + 8,4%

2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Aug 14

(19)

EU Egg Exports

44.845 39.661 51.763

27.686

27.622

25.467 35.351 48.877

50.130

124.502

134.400

145.738

0 20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000

Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14

Total EU Export of Eggs

not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)

Japan Switzerland Angola Iraq Russia Other origins

37.549 40.972 56.363

41.059 46.387

36.267 8.601 43.973

59.464 63.635

142.974

166.949 176.715

0 20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 200.000

Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14

Total EU Export of Eggs

not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)

Japan Switzerland Angola Iraq Russia Other origins

(20)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000

| Jan

06

2006 | Jan

07

2007 | Jan

08

2008 | Jan

09

2009 | Jan

10

2010 | Jan

11

2011 | Jan

12

2012 | Jan

13

2013 | Jan

14

2014 in Tonnes egg equiv.

EU-27/28 Exports of selected EGGS products

(including Hatching eggs)

FRESH Albumin Not In Shell Yolk Haching

(21)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs)

10

18 23

18 17 27

16 30

69

25 30

39 45 23

30 34 21

38 20

8 144

164 186

209 231

201 205 191

142

198 198 202

167 187

150 182

217

186 215

146

0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan- Aug

14 in 1000 Tonnes

IMPORTS EXPORTS

(22)

DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014

Turkey Turkey

Un ite d St at es Uni te d St at es

EU EU

Chi na + H . K ong Ch in a + H. K on g

M ala ys ia (up to Jul ) M ala ys ia (up to Jul )

0 40 80 120 160

2013 (up to Au gust) 2014 (up to Au gust)

Qt y i n 10 00 Ton ne s (pw )

Main Exporters of EGGS Products (up to August)

(excl. Eggs for hatching) Source : GTA & Eurostat

Referencias

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