Top PDF Integración de recursos efímeros en una infraestructura distribuida de computación
Impact of asymmetric uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics on regional sea level projections
... ric ice sheet contribution with the probability distribution for all other components to SLC results in an area-averaged global median (50th percentile) SLC of + ...these projections results from ...
Effect of uncertainty in surface mass balance–elevation feedback on projections of the future sea level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet
... PPE sea level distribution is probably a result of the unimodal and (in most cases) symmetric shapes of the four posterior prob- ability distributions of the gradient values (Edwards et ...the sea ...
A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties
... of regional SLR projections in the semi- empirical case, excluding the immediate ice sheet surround- ings, can be up to 35 % greater than the global mean SLR uncertainty ...the ice ...
Exploration of Antarctic Ice Sheet 100-year contribution to sea level rise and associated model uncertainties using the ISSM framework
... the impact of mesh resolution on the uncoupled ice sheet model simulations used here, we conducted sensitivity experiments on a regional model of Thwaites Glacier (Seroussi et ...to ice ...
Reducing uncertainties in projections of Antarctic ice mass loss
... Antarctic ice sheet to sea-level rise (SLR) has steadily increased during the last two ...the ice sheet was more or less balanced by the total coastal ...the ice ...
The impact of uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics on sea level allowances at tide gauge locations
... The changing frequencies of extreme events for the IPCC and R15 scenarios (Figure 9), computed using Equation (7), show larger increases than in (Church et al. [1] their Figure 13.25), due to the use of the RCP8.5 ...
Quantification of the Greenland ice sheet contribution to Last Interglacial sea level rise
... LIG ice sheets derived using climate forc- ings reconstructed from ice core records ...the ice-core-derived climate forcings is because the method uses the present-day temperature pattern which is ...
Nonlinear response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to late Quaternary sea level and climate forcing
... the ice sheet interior instead ...minimum sea ice ex- tent is overestimated (Roche et ...the ice sheet model to avoid the propagation of LOVECLIM biases into the ice ...
Ice-dynamic projections of the Greenland ice sheet in response to atmospheric and oceanic warming
... reproducing ice discharge rates and their regional distribution around Greenland (Table ...total ice discharge that slightly exceeds otherwise inferred values (Rignot and Kanagaratnam, ...simulated ...
A simple equation for the melt elevation feedback of ice sheets
... Shepherd, A., Ivins, E. R., Geruo, A., Barletta, V. R., Bentley, M. J., Bettadpur, S., Briggs, K. H., Bromwich, D. H., Fors- berg, R., Galin, N., Horwath, M., Jacobs, S., Joughin, I., King, M. A., Lenaerts, J. T. M., Li, ...
Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance: evaluating simulations and making projections with regional climate models
... observed sea surface conditions, whereas the GCMs include their own ocean mod- els, which have biases, and even if they were perfect would not reproduce actual history because of unforced variability in the ...
Palaeo-sea-level and palaeo-ice-sheet databases: problems, strategies, and perspectives
... palaeo-ice- sheet communities, there is the further requirement of stan- dardisation (Hijma et ...past sea levels and the di- mensions and extent of former ice ...of sea-level ...
Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice
... tic sea ice ...tolerance level. As long as the CMIP5 models are not at (near) ice-free conditions, the CMIP5 model distribution is approximately Gaussian and symmetric ...
Uncertainties in climate change projections, from the global to the regional scale
... Abstract. A discussion is presented of the di ff erent sources of uncertainty in the pro- duction of climate change projections at the global to the regional scale. In particular the following uncertainty ...
Canadian snow and sea ice: historical trends and projections
... in sea ice we examined monthly and seasonal changes in sea ice concentration (SIC) and sea ice ...by sea ice but can also be interpreted as the fraction of time ...
Modelling the northern hemisphere and Antarctic ice sheet changes through the last glacial cycle
... As part of the global approach to the niodelling of the last glacial cycle, the Antarctic Ice Sheet model was driven by the same sea level forcing as was applied to the northern hemisphe[r] ...
Freshening of the Labrador Sea as a trigger for Little Ice Age development
... the dynamics of the SPG and its relationship with climate ...SPG dynamics (Moffa-Sanchez et ...Labrador Sea, therefore influ- encing deep water production and Atlantic circulation (Bön- ing et ...
The recent history of the Antarctic ice sheet : constraints from sea-level change
... postglacial sea-level rise w as continuous or episodic has not been ...episodic sea-level rise are discussed, w hich m ay assist in choosing a location likely to preserve such a ...postglacial ...
Lack of evidence for a substantial sea-level fluctuation within the Last Interglacial
... temperatures are thought to have been, at most, 1-2 C above modern temperatures. However, evidence in northern North America point toward an extreme warming that possible reached 6-7°C above present during the LIG. The ...
Deglacial rapid sea level rises caused by ice-sheet saddle collapses
... In a series of ice sheets model simulations of the North American deglaciation, we observed.. two meltwater pulses that can be associated with MWP1a and the ‘8,200 year event’, caused.[r] ...