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ANEXOS

ANEXO 4. Guía para el manejo de bifenilos policlorados (PCBs)

8. BUENAS PRÁCTICAS AMBIENTALES 1 INFRAESTRUCTURA E INSTALACIONES

This paper shows that seemingly innocuous differences in the payoff representation have powerful effects on equilibrium selection. When payoffs are represented in nominal terms, 84 percent of the subjects eventually converge to a Pareto inferior equilibrium while 98 percent of the subjects finally play the Pareto efficient equilibrium under the real payoff

representation. This constitutes clear and powerful evidence for the behavioral relevance of money illusion. In particular, our results suggest that nominal payoff dominance is an equilibrium selection principle which drives behavior in strategic settings. We also show that persistent effects of money illusion occur despite the fact that most individuals are eventually able to pierce the veil of money when they are given repeated individual learning opportunities. Thus, the argument that the impact of money illusion on aggregate outcomes will eventually vanish through learning, can be seriously misleading. In our context, it is misleading because learning in strategic environments with multiple equilibria may be difficult or impossible or, if it occurs, it may be too late to have much impact on the aggregate outcome.

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Appendix A: Instructions

[The original instructions were in German. The instructions below refer to the nominal treatment with human players (NH). The subjects received the instruction below and the nominal payoff matrix.]

Welcome to the experiment. Please read these instructions carefully. You can earn money in this experiment. During the experiment, we calculate your income in points. All points you earn during the experiment will be converted into Swiss Francs according to the exchange rate: 10 points = 0.40 Francs.

Please do not communicate with other participants during the experiment. Please ask us if you have questions.

This experiment has 30 periods. All participants are members of a group. Your monitor indicates the number of people in your group. You do not know who is in your group but the composition of the group remains stable throughout the experiment. Only the decisions in your group are relevant for your earnings. Decisions by other groups are irrelevant for you.

All group members are in the role of firms. In each period, all firms must simultaneously set a price from 1 to 30 (1 and 30 included). How much a firm earns depends on the price it chooses and on the average price all other firms in the group choose.

The income table shows your nominal point income. All firms have the same tables.

Example: Suppose you choose a price of 15 and the other firms choose prices of 16 on average. In this case your nominal point income is 48 points.

For the determination of your earnings at the end of the experiment, only the real point income is relevant. This holds for all firms. To calculate your real point income from your nominal point income, you have to divide the nominal point income by the average price of other firms. Therefore, the nominal and the real point income are related as follows:

Real point income = Nominal point income / Average price of other firms In the example above, your nominal point income is 48 points, but you real point income is 3 points (= 48 points / 16).

Here is how the experiment proceeds: At the beginning of each period, you choose a selling price (a number from 1 to 30) and indicate which average price of other firms you expect. At the end of each period you are informed about the actual average price of the other firms and about your actual real point income.

Do you have any questions?

The decisions of other firms

[This decision sheet was only given to subjects in the NC and the RC] In this experiment, the decisions of other firms will not be taken by other participants but by pre-programmed computers. These computers choose their prices depending on your choice. The table below shows how the computers respond to your pricing decision.

Your price choice Average price of other (computerized) firms

1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 7 4 8 5 9 6 10 10 11 14 12 15 13 16 14 17 15 18 16 19 17 20 18 21 19 22 20 23 21 24 22 25 23 26 24 27 25 27 26 27 27 27 28 27 29 27 30 27

Average price of other firms

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

selling price

1 13 11 11 15 19 15 13 12 11 10 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

2 24 25 19 25 32 22 16 14 12 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

3 13 48 44 58 73 37 23 16 13 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

4 6 25 84 112 140 84 39 22 15 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

5 3 11 44 58 73 162 88 37 19 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

6 2 7 19 25 32 84 168 80 29 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

7 2 5 11 15 19 37 88 152 59 14 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

8 2 4 8 10 13 22 39 80 108 18 14 15 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 25 26 27 28 30 31 32

9 1 3 6 8 10 15 23 37 59 30 17 16 17 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

10 1 3 5 7 9 12 16 22 29 50 22 19 18 18 19 19 20 21 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

11 1 3 5 6 8 10 13 16 19 30 39 26 22 21 20 20 21 21 22 23 24 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

12 1 3 4 6 7 9 11 14 15 18 66 48 31 25 23 22 22 22 23 23 24 25 26 27 27 28 29 30 31 32

13 1 2 4 5 7 8 10 12 13 14 39 84 59 36 29 25 24 24 24 24 25 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33

14 1 2 4 5 6 8 9 11 12 12 22 48 104 70 42 32 28 26 26 26 26 26 27 28 28 29 30 31 32 33

15 1 2 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 17 26 59 126 83 48 36 31 29 28 27 27 28 28 29 30 31 32 33 34

16 1 2 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 11 14 19 31 70 150 96 54 40 34 31 30 29 29 29 30 30 31 33 33 34

17 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 16 22 36 83 176 111 61 44 36 33 32 31 31 31 31 32 34 34 35

18 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 15 18 25 42 96 204 126 68 48 40 36 34 33 32 32 34 35 35 36

19 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 14 17 21 29 48 111 234 143 76 53 43 38 36 35 34 35 37 37 37

20 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 15 18 23 32 54 126 266 160 84 57 46 41 38 36 38 39 39 38

21 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 15 17 20 25 36 61 143 300 179 92 62 49 43 40 42 43 42 41

22 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 14 16 19 22 28 40 68 160 336 198 101 67 53 46 48 50 46 44

23 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 9 10 11 13 14 16 18 20 24 31 44 76 179 374 219 110 73 57 59 61 54 49

24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 14 15 17 19 22 26 34 48 84 198 414 240 120 78 81 84 67 57

25 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 17 18 21 24 29 36 53 92 219 456 263 130 135 140 93 71

26 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 16 18 20 22 26 31 40 57 101 240 500 286 297 308 157 99

27 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 16 18 19 21 24 28 33 43 62 110 263 546 567 588 348 168

28 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 19 21 23 26 30 36 46 67 120 286 297 308 667 375

29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 19 20 22 24 27 32 38 49 73 130 135 140 348 720

30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 20 21 23 26 29 34 41 53 78 81 84 157 375

Average price of other firms

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

selling price

1 13 6 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

2 24 13 6 6 6 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

3 13 24 15 15 15 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

4 6 13 28 28 28 14 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

5 3 6 15 15 15 27 13 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

6 2 4 6 6 6 14 24 10 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

7 2 3 4 4 4 6 13 19 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

8 2 2 3 3 3 4 6 10 12 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

9 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 7 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

10 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

11 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

12 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 6 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

13 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 7 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

14 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 8 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

15 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 5 9 6 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

16 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 5 10 6 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

17 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 6 11 7 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

18 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 6 12 7 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 7 13 8 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1

20 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 7 14 8 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1

21 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 8 15 9 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1

22 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 8 16 9 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 1

23 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 9 17 10 5 3 2 2 2 2 2

24 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 9 18 10 5 3 3 3 2 2

25 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 10 19 11 5 5 5 3 2

26 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 10 20 11 11 11 5 3

27 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 11 21 21 21 12 6

28 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 11 11 11 23 13

29 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 12 24

30 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 13

Appendix B - Functional Specification of Payoffs

The real payoff function for all players i is:

*)2

The table below shows the best reply for player i and the parameter H for every feasible average price of the other players Pi. Note that Pk, k ∈ {A, B, C}, is the price in equilibrium A, B, or C, respectively. πk, k {A, B, C}, is the real profit in equilibrium A, B, or C, respectively. Recall from Table 1 that P

A = 4, PB = 10, PC = 27, πA = 28, πB = 5 and πC = 21.

For example, if Pi is below PA – 1, player i’s best reply is given by P−i+1 and H = πA−5. The real payoff matrix is based on the payoff function above but all numbers in the matrix are rounded to integers.

Table B1: Real payoffs

If the average price of other firms is in the range

Table 3: Evolution of Prices and Real Payoffs over Time

Average Price Average real payoff

Human opponents Computerized

Table 4: Percentage of subjects choosing equilibrium action PA (i.e. Pareto-dominant equilibrium)

* Numbers in parentheses denote the percentage of subjects choosing the equilibrium action PC (i.e., Pareto-dominated equilibrium).

Table 5: Statistical significance of treatment differences

period RC vs. NC RC vs. RH NC vs. NH

1 0.013 0.077 0.609 2 0.001 0.018 0.401 3 0.005 0.491 0.951 4 0.009 0.123 0.950 5 0.061 0.154 0.531 6 0.104 0.248 0.192 7 0.003 0.145 0.603 8 0.018 0.641 0.295 9 0.110 0.771 0.005 10 0.363 0.038 0.019 11 0.031 0.978 0.033 12 0.014 0.754 0.006 13 0.161 0.095 0.015 14 0.114 0.348 0.006 15 0.019 0.028 0.015 16 0.221 0.042 0.002 17 0.101 0.117 0.000 18 0.601 0.244 0.000 19 0.629 0.285 0.000 20 0.339 0.084 0.000 21 0.125 0.490 0.001 22 0.313 0.028 0.000 23 0.420 0.490 0.000 24 0.290 0.346 0.000 25 0.355 0.032 0.000 26 0.376 0.490 0.000 27 0.408 0.107 0.000 28 0.945 0.063 0.000 29 0.336 0.107 0.000 30 0.838 0.064 0.000 Table 5 reports two-tailed p-values of Mann Whitney tests of the null hypothesis that average prices are equal across the corresponding treatments. Average group prices are the independent units of observation.

Figure 1: Average prices and expectations in the treatments with human opponents

Figure 2: Average prices across all treatments

Figure 3: Average group prices (treatment NH disaggregated)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

period

group 1 group 2 group 3 group 4 group 5 group 6

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