CAPÍTULO V: DISCUSIÓN

Public Private

There is a potential pattern in the tuition rate as compared to the retention and four year graduation rate at private schools, however, when comparing this data at the public schools there is little to no definable pattern

Table 2. Average statistics for public and private institutions of sample group

All Programs Public Private

Sample 20 10 10

Average Undergrad Population 9,961 14,603 5,320

Average Tuition $23,715 $7,323 $40,107

First Year Retention Rate 83.6% 74.9% 92.2%

4 Year Graduation Rate 51.0% 24.2% 77.7%

5 Year Graduation Rate 61.2% 43.5% 82.9%

6 Year Graduation Rate 64.6 49.1% 83.6%

College results online. (2013)

In this random sampling survey of Outdoor Orientation Programs ten were identified as new since Bell, Holmes and William’s 2010 study, supporting the finding that programs are being created at a rate of approximately ten per year. All

groups reported focusing their orientation on advancing freshmen with some

additionally providing opportunities for transfer and exchange students. No programs reported running trips for pre-defined demographics or other groups with common history such as veterans. Of the twenty respondents only 4 reported that their program was mandatory. The length of the trips ran between 3 and 12 days.

Activities include backpacking, canoeing, whitewater rafting, whitewater kayaking, hiking, biking, climbing, camping, caving, technical tree climbing, sea kayaking, mountain biking, skydiving, zip lining, horseback riding, sailing, bicycle touring, service projects, and participating in a challenge course. Of the 20 respondents 4 were removed from the following data due to missing information.

Figure 3. First Year Retention rates compared to Tuition Rates

College results online. (2013) 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

First Year Retention Rate

Private Public

As with the complete collection of programs, there is a distinguishable pattern between tuition rates and retention rates that is not definable within public schools.

Figure 4. First Year Retention rates compared to year of inception for the OOP

College results online. (2013)

When comparing first year retention rates to the date of inception two distinct outliers become apparent. Northland College and Western State Colorado University both show drastically lower retention rates than any of the other programs who have been offering outdoor orientations for a similar amount of time.

50.0% 55.0% 60.0% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% 1972 1975 1983 1988 1988 1994 1998 2001 2002 2003 2007 2008 2008 2012 2012 2013

Figure 5. First Year Retention rates and graduation rates compared to year of inception for the OOP

College results online. (2013)

When we look at the graduation rates a similar pattern emerges. For

Northland College and Western State Colorado University the same pattern is seen when comparing year of inception to in state tuition. When comparing retention rates and graduation rates to the percentage of students served by the Outdoor Orientation Program, Northland College and Western State Colorado University continue to be outliers. When these two outliers are removed, a more definitive pattern emerges

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 19 72 19 75 19 83 19 88 19 88 19 94 19 98 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 07 20 08 20 08 20 12 20 12 20 13

First Year Retention Rate Four year Graduation Rate Five year Graduation Rate Six year Graduation Rate

correlating retention rates and graduation rate compared to how many students in the school attend the Outdoor Orientation Program.

Figure 6. First Year Retention rates and graduation rates compared to year percentage of the campus population served (Removing outliers)

College results online. (2013)

Findings

The apparent correlation within the sample needs to be further developed. More research is needed, to discover if there is a direct correlation between the percentage of the student population served and the retention rates and graduation rates of a specific school. Comparing the specific students who attend these programs to their cohort in school may provide more direct data.

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 0.0 3% 0.1 4% 0.1 5% 0.1 6% 0.2 8% 1.2 6% 1.4 5% 1.5 8% 3.8 2% 9.1 4% 9.9 5% 11 .90% 24 .68% 26 .63%

First Year Retention Rate Four year Graduation Rate Five year Graduation Rate Six year Graduation Rate

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