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35 000 combat ready troops and that amount almost doubled by 1987–88. It received anti- tank weapons from South Africa as well as captured 82mm B-10 recoilless guns mounted on Unimog trucks for its anti-tank units in the same year – essential for countering FAPLA’s deployment of its new T-54/44 tanks (de Beer and Gamba, 2000: 77).

It is clear from the above information regarding Angola’s arms situation during the 1980’s that the military sphere consumed the lion’s share of the country’s time and funds. This focus on accruing weapons represents the missed opportunities for development and the beginnings of the vicious cycle which was outlined in the previous chapter. As Buur, Jensen & Stepputat asserted, the “vicious cycle” relates to how conflict causes underdevelopment and how in turn underdevelopment increases conflict (2007: 9). A similar process is reflected in Mozambique. By 1985 Mozambique had the lowest GNI per capita (PPP$) in the world; The country ranked 115 out of 119 countries in the Human Development Index ; and life expectancy was about 41.5 years at birth (Globalis Indicator, 2009). As Mozambique slipped further and further into underdevelopment more and more weapons were imported into the country. South Africa especially in the early part of the 1980’s began an intense military support of the Renamo rebels in Mozambique; information regarding the amount of weapons delivered to Renamo during this period is scanty (Gould and Lamb, 2004: 95). It is believed however that Renamo began to diversify their patronage links also receiving military support from certain groups in Portugal, West Germany and more conservative elements in the USA (Morgan, 1990: 607). The weapons which Renamo were endowed with allowed them to visit unspeakable human atrocities, especially on the rural populations of Mozambique, this in turn caused high levels of insecurity, denying civilians an opportunity to exercise certain development choices such as agriculture for fear of Renamo attacks or landmines. In addition, The Frelimo government was forced to redirect funds from welfare initiatives into arming the state in response to Renamo’s attacks (Batchelor and Kingma, 2004: 4). Thus perpetuating the “vicious cycle” or “underdevelopment-insecurity trap”.

3.7

 SADCC
and
Southern
Africa’s
lost
Decade


The fall of the former Rhodesia and the creation of Zimbabwe in 1980 can be seen as one of the most important contributions which the FLS alliance made to Southern Africa’s

development. However this alliance which was built essentially for the purpose of protecting black regimes and destroying white ones could not offer viable solutions to the new security complex which emerged in Southern Africa especially during the 1980’s. The nexus between insecurity and underdevelopment as detailed in the previous paragraph was becoming the dominant feature in Southern Africa. Thus the 1980’s demonstrated a general decline in Southern Africa’s economic performance. The FLS’s impact on regional developments therefore began to wane after 1980 (Cilliers, 1999). Following a meeting by the FLS foreign ministers in May 1979, the Southern African Development Coordination Conference (SADCC) was established in 1980. The primary objectives of SADCC was to achieve greater economic and transport integration amongst the nine black ruled states of Southern Africa (Angola Botswana, Mozambique, Tanzania and Zambia later joined by Lesotho, Swaziland, Malawi and Zimbabwe) (Swart and du Plessis, 2004: 28).The SADCC states were bent on trying to reduce their independence on South Africa in response to the Apartheid regimes Constellation Of States (CONSAS) initiative which aimed at preserving white rule through supporting its puppet states in the region such as The homeland governments; and secondly destabilising opposing states and organisations in the region such as Mozambique, Angola, ANC and SWAPO (Ngoma, 2005: 88).

The FLS did not entirely disappear, it remained intact and generally handled matters relating to the liberation of South Africa and Namibia, the last two white ruled territories in Southern Africa. SADCC maintained a generally economic agenda. The war ravaged, underdeveloped, weak states which constituted SADCC prevented this body from playing any significant role in controlling the security complex though. Despite SADCC’s presence, South Africa continued to destabilise the FLS, and maintained oppressive internal policies (Ngoma, 2005: 100). Insurgent movements continued to wage protracted wars in Angola and Mozambique owing to the excessive influx of light weapons into the regions from the superpowers; as a result, civilian populations continued to suffer from a declining quality of life characterised by insecurity and underdevelopment. It seems likely that the establishment of SADCC was part of a deeper understanding or realisation on the part of FLS that they could not continue fighting indefinitely. The damage which these already weak states incurred as a result of South Africa’s unrelenting military punishment could no longer be withstood, thus in 1984 President Samora Machel of Mozambique and President P W Botha of South Africa signed the Nkomati Accord which was an undertaking by both states not to allow each other’s territories to be used for “acts of war, aggression, or violence against the other” (Ngoma,

2005: 99). Whilst this decision provoked harsh criticism from President Julius Nyerere amongst others, it was supported by the Angolan and Zimbabwean governments. A shared experience of internal strife and South African destabilization must have facilitated the understanding between the these FLS states, thus President Robert Mugabe once described independent black states of Southern Africa as: “To weak to provide the ANC with the external bases it needed” (Ngoma, 2005: 100). Despite the Nkomati accord, it is widely believed that South Africa continued covertly supporting Renamo, thereby perpetuating the strife in Mozambique (Shubin, 2008: 144).

As the 1980’s decade came to a close, the superpower support of Southern African conflict zones began to decline fairly rapidly. There were a number of developments which can be seen as driving forces behind the retreat from the region by the superpowers. The economic exhaustion of the Soviet economy is one factor. Clearly the Cold War competition between the USA and USSR had taken its toll on the Soviet economy, the Soviet Union was no longer able sustain support for all its patron states and liberation groups across the developing world (Batchelor, 2004: 76). In addition the devastating war against the Mujahideen in Afghanistan had become somewhat of a Vietnam for the Soviets. Thus from 1986 onwards the Soviets increasingly began pushing for peaceful settlements to conflicts so that they could pull out (de Beer and Gamba, 2000: 75). Another factor was the winding down of Apartheid in South Africa. From 1986 onwards South Africa embarked on a complicated journey to democracy. In addition, it has been mentioned before that across the region government and civilians were becoming war weary and realising at least the partial extent of damage. The late 1980’s can thus be characterised as the period at which the super power ideological veil was lifted off the regions security complex. What is most notable though is that the insecurity and underdevelopment which continued after the veil of decolonisation was lifted would in many cases continue after the Cold War came to an end.

3.8
 The
Post
Cold
War
Era:
New
Patterns
of
Insecurity


The absolutely momentous changes which took place in 1989 and 1990 again reconfigured the security complex in the region. The collapse of the Soviet Union and the fall of the Berlin wall on an international level meant that the bipolar Cold War between the two superpowers had come to a conclusion. The ending of South Africa’s occupation of Namibia in 1989