SECCIÓN III FASE CONTRACTUAL
DE LOS CONTRATOS PARA LA ADQUISICION DE BIENES Y/O CONTRATACIÓN DE SERVICIOS
A nation's health is often measured by the value and growth of its gross domestic product
(GDP). Given this method, consider one (admittedly biased) way to improve GDP. A
lumber company can increase GDP by cutting down as many trees as possible and selling
them. An oil company can empty a supertanker of oil along a coastline requiring millions
of dollars in cleanup costs. Both results would add to GDP. However, increased GDP
says nothing about whether the nation or economy will be better off as a result of the
transaction. In the long run, logging without associated replanting or polluting
waterways is obviously detrimental to future economic growth; a nation with depleted or
damaged natural resources will be less able to sustain a viable economy. The current
bottom line is that any economic activity - be it for the good of society or not - increases
GDP.
The root of this problem is that economic success is measured by economic growth. And
for many years, the success of growth came largely at the expense of the environment. It
is because of disregard for the environment that economists have suggested "greening"
national accounts to capture environmental damage. This change requires some notion of
sustainability. Sustainability is defined by the World Commission on Environment and
Development as "meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of
future generations to meet their own needs" [Brundtland 87]. This finding implies that
economies need to be designed with long-term ecological concerns in mind. Such an
effort would reward prudent management of natural resources.
One such mechanism would be full cost pricing, introduced earlier. These "green taxes"
could be used to pay for environmental protection, or could replace existing taxes. But
such taxes could also be so high as to completely eliminate production of certain
commodities. An alternative would adjust gross domestic product by subtracting the
environmental costs of production, an idea furthered by Daly and Cobb [88] and others to
capture net national welfare. Their index of sustainable economic welfare (ISEW) shows
capita ISEW increased only 0.7% in the 1970s and decreased by 0.8 percent in the 1980s.
Such an indicator implies substantial environmental deterioration, and sheds light on a
completely different view of progress-- one that comes at great environmental cost.
Indicators such as these will be crucial to future progress in serving the needs of
environmental protection. For example, Hall and Kerr [92] produced an array of
environmental indicators for the 50 states.
A Green Price Indicator
Tables 3-6 and 3-7 of the previous chapter report average external costs per sector of
4%, but provide little indication of how such external costs would affect consumers and
producers. To examine these effects, existing indicators could be environmentally
adjusted. The external cost results of the previous chapter were incorporated into the
frameworks of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), two
widely recognized economic indicators collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Each
of these indices relies upon a "market basket" of goods and services that are purchased by
consumers and producers. One of the values used in the determination of the price index
values is the relative importance, or weighting, of purchases from individual sectors. We
add the air pollution external cost to each item in the market basket to get the full cost.
The result is a weighted average of the external costs generated by consumers and
producers.
Using this framework, the external cost values found in the previous chapter were
incorporated into the CPI and 2 versions of the PPI - crude materials and finished goods.
Table 4-1 shows a summary of the results for the CPI, using both the CPI-U and CPI-W
subindices representing urban and non-urban consumer purchasing patterns and
disaggregated into subcategories. The original relative importance values are shown in
the base columns, the "green" results found by incorporating external costs into the base
weightings, and the percentage increases of respective categories. The effect on either
index is about 3%, thus a full cost pricing system would increase consumer prices by 3%.
A detailed presentation of the results is shown in Appendix D.
Category
Base
CPI-U
Green
CPI-U
Percent
Increase
Base
CPI-W
Green
CPI-W
Percent
Increase
Total
100
103.20
3.20
100
103.35
3.35
Food and beverages
16.31
16.77
2.79
17.90
18.41
2.81
Housing
39.56
41.16
4.05
36.45
38.05
4.38
Apparel
4.94
5.09
2.95
5.30
5.46
2.93
Transportation
17.58
18.30
4.12
19.85
20.68
4.19
Medical care
5.61
5.67
1.00
4.59
4.64
0.98
Recreation
6.15
6.25
1.71
5.97
6.07
1.71
Education and
Communication
5.53
5.58
1.00
5.40
5.45
0.99
Other goods and
Services
4.32
4.38
1.41
4.54
4.61
1.41
Table 4-1: Summary of Results from Incorporating External Costs into the Consumer Price Index
[Note: totals may not add due to rounding]
We note that reductions resulting from implementing some sort of policy to reduce
external costs would have an effect on medical care costs. As medical costs decrease,
their external cost contribution would further decrease. However, it is possible that
reductions in medical care expenses would be offset by larger consumer purchases in
"dirty" categories, actually increasing damages.
A similar analysis was undertaken for the PPI for crude materials and finished goods.
The result is 9% for crude materials and 5% for finished goods, also reflecting the
increased costs to producers that would result from a full cost pricing system. Tables 4-2
and 4-3 show summaries of these findings, and Appendix D shows the detailed results.
Category
Base
PPI
Green
PPI
Percent
Increase
Total
100
108.940
8.94
Farm products
43.912
46.108
5.00
Processed foods and feeds
0.917
0.943
2.84
Hides, skins, leather, and
Related products
0.7
0.729
4.19
Fuels and related products
And power
36.173
40.989
13.31
Chemicals and allied
Products
0.402
0.434
8.07
Rubber and rubber
Products - crude rubber
0.01
0.011
5.87
Lumber and wood
Products
2.911
2.953
1.43
Pulp, paper, and allied
Products
1.161
1.255
8.07
Metals and metal products
10.349
11.423
10.44
Nonmetallic mineral
Products
3.465
4.089
18.00
Table 4-2: Summary of Results from Incorporating External Costs into the
Producer Price Index - Crude Materials
Category
Base
PPI
Green
PPI
Percent
Increase
Total
100
105.444
5.44
Farm products
1.501
1.568
4.45
Processed foods and feeds
24.253
24.998
3.07
Textile products and
Apparel
4.752
4.895
3.00
Hides, skins, leather, and
Related products
0.507
0.520
2.50
Fuels and related products
And power
13.575
16.784
23.64
Chemicals and allied
Products
5.426
5.545
2.19
Rubber and plastic
products
1.65
1.713
3.83
Lumber and wood
products
0.148
0.152
2.36
Pulp, paper, and allied
products
4.528
4.630
2.25
Metals and metal products
1.01
1.045
3.48
Machinery and equipment
13.68
13.957
2.02
Furniture and household
durables
5.934
6.067
2.24
Nonmetallic mineral
products
0.154
0.162
5.25
Transportation equipment
16.566
16.992
2.57
Miscellaneous products
6.317
6.417
1.58
Table 4-3: Summary of Results from Incorporating External Costs into the Producer Price
Index - Finished Goods
The results in Tables 4-1 through 4-3 show the disparity between the effects from
consumers and producers. Namely, the external cost to consumers would be only about
3%. However, producers would be affected by between 5 and 9 percent. The main
reason for this difference is made clear by looking at the category-specific percent
changes in the tables. Producers on average spend much more on fuels, electricity, and
extracted materials, which were shown in the previous chapter as having high external
costs.
As an analogue to the estimated external costs shown above, the price indices could
instead be adjusted downward to represent the damage associated with purchases, in a
way similar to Daly and Cobb's suggestion. Such a green CPI would be adjusted
downward by about 3%. This type of adjustment would be straightforward and quick to
implement, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics could periodically release such results.
Environmental Impacts of the American Consumer
Focusing on the consumer side, we can extract even more detail from our model linking
external costs and the structure of the CPI. Specifically, it is possible to step back from
the dollar-valued air pollution damages that have been the focus of this chapter so far,
and reconsider the range of impacts individually that would result from the purchase of a
$100 basket of consumer goods. Assuming that the CPI is really indicating the typical
spending outlets of each $100 of consumer spending, we can also determine the
environmental impacts of such spending. This result would also then dictate the
environmental footprint of the American consumer. Using the CPI model summarized
above, we can use the sector-by-sector air pollution impact data set (summarized in
Appendix A) to show the impacts of each of the major categories. The results of such a
method are shown in Table 4-4 for CPI-U.
Emissions (pounds)
Category
Base
CPI-U
CO
NO2
PM10
SO2
VOC
GWP
Total
100
0.728
0.690
0.085
0.930
0.192
268.595
Food and beverages
16.31
0.171
0.160
0.011
0.106
0.038
33.471
Housing
39.56
0.167
0.312
0.043
0.578
0.044
134.403
Apparel
4.944
0.033
0.031
0.003
0.045
0.013
11.670
Transportation
17.578
0.267
0.129
0.017
0.125
0.070
67.623
Medical care
5.614
0.017
0.012
0.002
0.016
0.005
4.452
Recreation
6.145
0.036
0.021
0.003
0.029
0.010
8.164
Education and
communication
5.528
0.018
0.012
0.004
0.015
0.005
3.880
Other goods and
services
4.321
0.018
0.014
0.002
0.016
0.005
4.932
Table 4-4: Summary of Environmental Impacts for every $100 of consumer purchases, based on
Consumer Price Index weightings
The total in Table 4-4 shows that every $100 of consumer spending causes the release of
0.7 pounds of CO and NO2, about 0.1 pounds of PM10, 0.9 pounds of SO2, 0.2 pounds
of VOC, and about 270 pounds of global warming potential (in carbon dioxide equivalent
releases). Table 4-5 shows the result of scaling the $100 basket effects up by the 1992
average annual U.S. household expenditures of $29,850 [BLS 92].
Emissions (pounds)
Category
CO
NO2
PM10
SO2
VOC
GWP
Total
217.319
205.961
25.228
277.473
57.362
80,175.601
Food and beverages
51.186
47.795
3.273
31.607
11.460
9,991.123
Housing
49.949
93.060
12.856
172.437
13.166
40,119.196
Apparel
9.728
9.158
0.939
13.317
4.028
3,483.601
Transportation
79.744
38.432
4.930
37.462
21.031
20,185.608
Medical care
5.092
3.567
0.514
4.668
1.522
1,328.867
Recreation
10.809
6.350
0.993
8.606
3.097
2,436.950
Education and
communication
5.441
3.538
1.259
4.460
1.431
1,158.129
Other goods and
services
5.369
4.061
0.465
4.917
1.626
1,472.126
Table 4-5: Summary of Environmental Impacts per household, 1992, based on Consumer Price
Index weightings
This result is the first to specifically link the total supply chain environmental impacts
with consumer purchases. It shows that the average American household was responsible
for over 80,000 pounds (40 tons) of carbon dioxide-equivalent releases, as well as 25 to
275 pounds of other conventional pollutants. Other metrics have previously shown per-
capita values found by allocating releases per person (or per household unit), but the
analysis above is a direct link between releases and the consumer purchases that cause
them. In addition, it is a "bottom up" versus "top down" estimate of the impacts of the
consumer. The result was built up from purchases as opposed to dividing by consumers.
As a comparison, we validate our results versus one simple metric for determining per-
household impacts. We assume 95 million households in the U.S. in 1992 [Census 96].
Using this number, we divide the EPA estimates of air pollutants from industrial activity
shown in Table 3-1 by 95 million to generate assumed per-household values. Table 4-6
compares them to our own estimates from Table 4-5.
Emission
Per-household
estimate
Table 4-5
estimate
Carbon Monoxide
0.25
0.1
Nitrogen Oxides
0.18
0.1
Particulate Matter (PM 10)
0.12
0.01
Sulfur Dioxide
0.21
0.13
Volatile Organic Compounds
0.12
0.03
Global Warming Potential
(in CO
2equivalent)
47
36.5
Table 4-6: A comparison of generated estimates of household impacts versus generated per-
household estimates [in metric tons]
Although some of the values are similar, other differ by an order of magnitude. The
source of this discrepancy is fairly straightforward. Most of the differences can be
explained by non-consumer consumption activity, e.g. energy production, transportation
and construction. Only a portion of these sources are represented in the CPI, although all
of the emissions are represented in the EPA estimates. Finally, since mobile sources are
major contributors to CO, NOx, and VOC, the per-household estimates are affected.
But just generating such values pales in comparison to the importance of making relevant
corporate executives, politicians, and other decision makers aware of them. If CEOs
became aware of "greened" balance sheets, perhaps they would be more inclined to
authorize investments to improve environmental quality. In other words, ecological
indicators need to be used by those who can make a difference.
In document
COORDINACIÓN ZONAL 7 DEL MINISTERIO DE RELACIONES EXTERIORES Y MOVILIDAD HUMANA
(página 47-50)