Based on the overall results within the current study, patterns leading to various offense outcomes can be hypothesized. While not the only way these variables can occur in actual offense scenarios, the sequences presented in Figure 4 demonstrate the most likely combination of variables that relate most strongly to each final outcome. The first set
tandem with rape completion. These are arguably the most dangerous for the victim, resulting in the worst possible outcomes.
The first of these begins with a drug addicted offender who is in a state of extreme anger, possibly anger directed at his victim, but just as likely angry at some other unrelated person or situation. He consumes alcohol prior to the crime and is under its effects as he begins his crime. The offender chooses a male victim, either an adult man or a young boy, depending on the opportunity and/or his target preference, who also is a stranger. The offender begins the assault with a coercive approach, possibly using a blitz attack to catch the victim off guard. A weapon is used either for intimidation purposes or as a means to actually injure the victim and the crime is of a long duration – that is, at least longer than 15 minutes. Due to the violence of the offender’s attack, victim resistance is very likely and is physical in nature. The combination of these factors leads to a very high likelihood of victim injury or death. Rape completion may occur as well, but victim injury alone is the most likely outcome.
The second sequence is very similar to the first except that the offender’s anger is not as generalized, but may be vindictive, as described by Knight & Prentky (1990), which implies an anger or hatred specific to women. The offender, then, chooses a female victim, who would also be an adult. While the remainder of the crime is very similar to the previous sequence, the final result is much more likely to involve both victim injury and rape completion – the overall worst possible outcome.
The third and fourth sequences are more sexual in nature as opposed to violent. The first of these patterns begins with an offender who has a somewhat conventional lifestyle, at least in terms of employment, as he holds a job at the time of the offense. The offender is sexually aroused prior to his crime, and that motivates his behaviour during the crime itself. He consumes alcohol and remains under its influence when he begins the sexual assault, this time choosing an adult female victim who is a member of his family, in this case, likely his partner or spouse. The offender begins with a noncoercive approach, instead using manipulative techniques to ensure victim submission. He does not use a weapon, but, like the previous sequences, this crime is also of long duration. There is little to no resistance from the victim, perhaps some passive resistance tactics, but certainly no physical resistance, and likely not even verbal resistance. This combination of victim and offender behaviours results in a final outcome of rape completion. There would be no injury to the victim beyond those due to the actual rape itself, but penetration is the most likely outcome.
The fourth sequence is almost identical to the third, but with the distinct difference of victim choice. Within this sequence, the offender chooses a child victim within his family, who would most often be a daughter or step-daughter, but could include any young related female to which the offender has unlimited or unrestricted access. The combination of variables would, once again, be most likely to result in rape completion without victim injury.
The final sequence represents the combination of factors that result in the highest likelihood of the overall safest, “best” outcome of a sexual assault. While fewer of the variables within the models are included in this particular sequence, those represented are the strongest predictors of an overall safer, preferable final crime outcome. This crime begins with an offender who has no drug addiction as part of his lifestyle. Prior to the commission of his crime, the offender does not use alcohol, but he does use pornography and is under the influence of this pornography consumption when he begins his crime. The offender chooses a child victim and does not use coercion in his original approach, instead using manipulative techniques, such as games or toys, to encourage victim compliance. The crime itself is very short – less than 15 minutes in duration. The victim does not resist physically, but may resist passively or even verbally. The final result of this
crime is the most preferred outcome within a crime of a sexual nature: there is no victim injury and no rape completion.
In general, when these crimes are committed within a real-life scenario, some of these factors may not be present. For example, a crime may have been committed that incorporated all of the stages of the first sequence with the exception that the offender is not a drug addict, but which still resulted in significant victim injury. The proposed sequences do not suggest these combination of factors to be the only possible paths to each final outcome. Rather, the more factors from each event sequence that are present in any given crime, the greater the likelihood of that sequence’s final outcome.