El discurso radical sobre política exterior (1966 a 1983)
11) RECUPERACION DEL PRESTIGIO INTERNACIONAL DE LA REPUBLICA mediante una política exterior inspirada en la tradicional independencia de
6.3. El discurso radical frente al proceso
and Household
Composition
Table 4.1 presents the risk of falling below 60 per cent of the median in 1994, 1997, 1998, 2000 and 2001 for persons by household composition type. We see that those in one and two-adult households face the highest risk, together with those in households comprising a couple with four or more children or a single adult with children. In terms of change over the 1994-2001 period, the most striking feature is the very sharp increase in risk for one-adult households. This rate increased seven-fold between 1994 and 1998 and having peaked at 50 per cent fell back slightly to 47 per cent by 2001. The risk for 2-adult households also increased gradually, though by much less than was the case for one-adult households. While the latter increase occurred primarily between 1994 and 1997 the former trend has been more even over time and peaked at 29 per cent in 2001. These increases in risk are related to the fact that significant numbers of single-adult households will be elderly and relying on social welfare pensions, which, although treated generously relative to other social welfare schemes, lagged behind the very rapid rate of increase in average household income.
Table 4.1: Percentage of Persons Below 60 Per Cent of Median Income by Household Composition Type, Living in Ireland Surveys, 1994 -2001
1994 1997 1998 2000 2001 1 adult 7.3 35.7 50.1 47.7 46.8 2 adults 6.8 9.4 16.2 23.1 28.8 3 or more adults 2.6 7.9 5.3 8.8 10.4 2 adults, 1 child 12.5 16.8 14.6 13.9 19.0 2 adults, 2 children 12.6 11.5 12.2 16.1 13.9 2 adults, 3 children 21.8 20.4 20.6 20.7 20.8
2 adults, 4 or more children 44.0 38.9 29.8 39.2 40.7
1 adult with children 36.3 45.3 44.9 46.5 42.9
3 or more adults with children 13.6 19.3 21.9 14.6 13.0
All 15.6 18.2 19.8 20.9 21.9
Looking now at Table 4.2 and the composition of persons falling below 60 per cent of the median, we see that the 1 adult household type is less important in incidence terms than its high risk might suggest, simply because by definition it contains fewer persons than other types. However, 44 per cent of all persons below 60 per cent
7 This marks a change from our earlier studies where a cut-off of 14 years was used.
An increasing number are staying on at school until aged 17 or 18, and most of those aged under 18 are now likely to be dependents. Note that for equivalence scale purposes, on the other hand, they are likely to consume equivalent amounts to adults and so continue to be assigned the full adult weight if aged 14 or over.
THE PROFILE OF THOSE BELOW INCOME POVERTY LINES IN 2001 21
of the median are still in households comprising adults only. In terms of trends over time, there has been a marked increase over time in the importance of household types without children among those below the income threshold, as indicated by the fact that in 1994 the corresponding figure was 11 per cent.
Table 4.2: Composition of Persons Below 60 Per Cent of Median Income by Household Composition Type, Living in Ireland Surveys, 1994-2001
1994 1997 1998 2000 2001 1 adult 3.3 14.6 18.4 17.0 15.8 2 adults 5.5 7.4 11.8 16.4 20.4 3 or more adults 2.1 6.5 4.5 7.3 8.1 2 adults, 1 child 4.6 7.0 5.7 4.9 6.3 2 adults, 2 children 9.4 8.7 7.9 10.2 8.1 2 adults, 3 children 16.4 12.2 11.0 8.4 8.8
2 adults, 4 or more children 26.8 12.1 9.5 13.0 12.6
1 adult with children 10.2 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.0
3 or more adults with children 21.8 23.1 22.7 14.2 11.9
All 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Tables 4.3 and 4.4 show the pattern of risk and incidence in terms of persons falling below 50 per cent of the median. We see that one-adult households, with and without children, now face the highest risk. The former group, which has shown little change over time at the 60 per cent line experienced a five fold increase in risk level at the 50 per cent line between 1994 and 1998 and this risk level remained relatively constant, at approximately 40 per cent, between 1998 and 2001. Thus for this group the major change involved a shift in numbers from between the 50 per cent and 60 per cent line to a position below the latter. A marked increase over time was also observed for single adult only households whose risk level went from 2 per cent in 1994 to 31 per cent in 2001 and for two adult households where the corresponding figures were 3 per cent and 14 per cent. On this occasion these households display similar trends over time, implying that the proportion of single adult households between the 50 per cent and 60 per cent lines has declined significantly in recent years. Persons in such households together with those in two adult households with four or more children display the highest poverty rates. This last group has a poverty rate of 20 per cent but this has changed little over time. Variation in poverty risk across by other household type is extremely modest, ranging from 5 per cent for 3 or more adults to 9 per cent for 2 adults and 3 children. Looking at composition in Table 4.4, we see again that in 2001, despite their high risk, only two-fifths of the persons below 50 per cent of the median live in adult only households. However, there had been a sharp upward trend over time from 1 in 10 per cent in 1994.
Table 4.3: Percentage of Persons Below 50 Per Cent of Median Income by Household Composition Type, Living in Ireland Surveys, 1994, 1997, 1998, 2000 and 2001
1994 1997 1998 2000 2001 1 adult 1.7 3.6 19.5 24.4 31.0 2 adults 2.8 3.7 5.3 11.3 13.7 3 or more adults 1.2 3.3 1.3 3.9 5.2 2 adults, 1 child 3.5 5.8 13.3 10.5 16.9 2 adults, 2 children 3.9 6.5 6.6 11.0 8.7 2 adults, 3 children 6.5 13.9 10.0 13.0 9.4
2 adults, 4 or more children 18.3 27.5 22.5 22.9 20.0
1 adult with children 8.4 24.0 42.8 39.5 37.9
3 or more adults with children
7.6 9.4 7.5 6.7 7.4
All 6.0 8.6 9.9 12.0 12.9
Table 4.4: Composition of Persons Below 50 Per Cent of Median Income by Household Composition Type, Living in Ireland Surveys, 1994, 1997, 1998, 2000 and 2001
1994 1997 1998 2000 2001 1 adult 2.0 3.2 14.3 15.1 17.8 2 adults 5.8 6.2 7.8 14.1 16.5 3 or more adults 2.5 5.7 2.2 5.7 6.9 2 adults, 1 child 3.3 5.1 10.4 6.5 9.5 2 adults, 2 children 7.4 10.5 8.6 12.1 8.6 2 adults, 3 children 12.6 17.7 10.7 9.3 6.7
2 adults, 4 or more children 28.8 18.1 14.3 13.2 10.5
1 adult with children 6.1 9.5 16.4 12.7 12.0
3 or more adults with children
31.3 24.0 15.5 11.4 11.4
All 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Tables 4.5 and 4.6 show the pattern of risk and incidence for persons when the poverty line is 70 per cent of the median. For this line two adult households with four or more children have risk levels as high as those for single adult and single adult with children households. In each case around one in two fall below the line. At the 70 per cent line trends over time are substantially more modest than for the 50 per cent and 60 per cent lines indicating that it is shifts in the distribution of people below this threshold, which have been the important features of change over time. In terms of the breakdown of those below this line, those households with 2 adults and no children, or 3 or more adults with children are most important but as before there is significantly less variation in incidence levels that in the corresponding poverty rates.
THE PROFILE OF THOSE BELOW INCOME POVERTY LINES IN 2001 23
Table 4.5: Percentage of Persons Below 70 Per Cent of Median Income by Household Composition Type, Living in Ireland Surveys, 1994, 1997, 1998, 2000 and 2001
1994 1997 1998 2000 2001 1 adult 40.0 49.5 54.8 52.7 50.9 2 adults 13.4 28.4 26.9 32.2 35.1 3 or more adults 6.4 16.9 13.8 13.0 17.6 2 adults, 1 child 18.4 21.1 18.2 20.6 26.2 2 adults, 2 children 18.6 14.8 16.4 22.2 17.8 2 adults, 3 children 30.3 28.9 24.9 25.5 26.5
2 adults, 4 or more children 54.9 55.2 39.4 56.0 50.2
1 adult with children 65.1 46.8 51.5 56.3 51.0
3 or more adults with children 26.3 32.8 30.3 21.9 25.0
All 26.7 29.0 26.9 28.1 29.3
Table 4.6: Composition of Persons Below 70 Per Cent of Median Income by Household Composition Type, Living in Ireland Surveys, 1994, 1997, 1998, 2000 and 2001
1994 1997 1998 2000 2001 1 adult 10.6 12.8 14.8 13.9 12.8 2 adults 6.3 14.0 14.3 17.0 18.6 3 or more adults 3.0 8.8 8.5 8.0 10.3 2 adults, 1 child 3.9 5.5 5.2 5.4 6.5 2 adults, 2 children 8.1 7.0 7.8 10.5 7.7 2 ad, 3 children 13.3 10.9 9.8 7.8 8.3
2 adults, 4 or more children 19.5 10.8 9.2 13.8 11.6
1 adult with children 10.7 5.5 7.2 7.7 7.1
3 or more adults with children 24.6 24.8 23.1 15.9 17.0
All 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0