Enfoque meritocrático de la administración coherente con la

As the reports of 2011 already indicated, this year also opens its assessment by reporting that in recent months (published in March 2012), no major changes occurred in the threat assessment (DTN 28, 2012: 2). Therefore, the assessed threat level remains limited throughout the year, which means that the chance of a terrorist attack at present is low, but cannot be ruled out completely (DTN 28-31, 2012). This situation is frequently confirmed in

9 _{The forma l reporting period for DTN 28 runs from September 20, 2011 to}

on December 31 2011. However, re levant developments until March 6, 2012 have also been included in the analysis.

2011 Always Frequently Sometimes Rarely Practically never For Whom? X For which values? X How Much? X Means X Cost X Threats X Period X

56 the published reports, which contain merely repeated information regarding previously situations. The actors for who the report assessed the threat involve, according DTN 28 the West and more specifically the Netherlands (p. 2). In addition, specified are Amsterdam and Dutch diplomatic representations (DTN 28, 2012: 2). Also, the Middle East and North Africa are named, in relation to al Qaeda leader al-Zawahiri which “calls jihadists to establish links with political developments” so as to achieve the Islamic state (DTN 28, 2012: 3). In this same threat perception, Europe is mentioned several times (DTN 28-31). The United Kingdom, the United States, Spain and Germany and mentioned regarding measures in the form of arrests. Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia in relation to Jihadist networks and groups in the traditional battle areas (DTN 29, 2012: 2). More specifically to Yemen, the country is mentioned as another jihadist area of battle, from which threats regarding the West emerged in the past. Moreover, the influence jihadist groups had, decreased since May 2012, but the security situation remains fragile. Further to this, threats did not shift, but are largely represented in the assessments covering the situation in 2012. First and foremost, the threat coming from core al Qaeda is linked to throughout 2012, stating the organization has been affected by the death of several leaders. Also, the threat decreased due to a shift in focus of the various regional, to core al Qaeda-affiliated organisations towards the armed and political battle in parts of Africa and Asia (DTN 28, 2012: 2). Prominently present in the DTNs is the statement that the Netherlands and its subjects are still legitimate targets for jihadists, because of the alleged discrimination against Muslims, the perceived insults o f Islam and the Prophet Muhammad, and the participation in military missions in Islamic countries (DTN 28-31, 2012). Worrying is, according to the NCTV, that in 2012 the number of jihadists that travel to a jihadist battle area “in recent years has grown and that they more often able to achieve their goal” (DTN 28, 2012: 2). According to the NCTV, limited jihadists are involved concerning the armed conflict in Syria, but the country increasingly becomes of interest to European jihadists (DTN 29, 2012: 2). In the latter part of the year, the internal security situation of the Netherlands is stated to possible further be affected by the danger of radicalization to violence by individuals involved in groups like Sharia4Holland (S4H). Finally, “there is no indication of a terrorist threat from other ideological corners than from the Netherlands against jihadism. Experiences from abroad, however, to show that with this capability has to be reckoned with” (DTN 30, 2012: 2). DTN 31 states that the Syrian conflict ca n affect the threat against the West. Moreover, Syria seems in fact to develop a new jihad area with a suction effect on persons willing to fight the jihad abroad, from the Arab world but also from Europe (DTN 31, 2012: 3).

57 Concerning means, the NCTV reported that over the past six years in Netherlands, 50 people were declared unwanted and 31 persons expelled linked to terrorist activities, radicalisation or jihadism. Due to the limited threat assessed, law measures, like various other counter- terrorism instruments, have been used to a limited extent (DTN 28-31, 2012). The time period for which the reports account is clearly stated, comprising one month of the previous year and covers 2012 up till November 11th_{. Measures are by no means presented regard ing any} indication of time, lacking to discuss short or long-term goals (DTN 28-31, 2012). DTN 31 mentioned regarding means that in terms of countermeasures with the detention of Samir A. in his cell because of the suspicion of preparing an attack after his release, a potential future threat is prevented (p. 5).

Values are again presented regarding mainly polarization, and radicalization. Values themselves are not specifically highlighted but instead indicators relevant to such values are mentioned. For example, the construction of new mosques is at the local level sensitive, as became apparent in the cities of Groningen, Veghel and Zoetermeer (DTN 31, 2012: 4). In 2012, various radical and extremist movements were in focus and se veral forms of extremism regarding the society are mentioned. In general, the risk remains that the combination of the right-extremist thoughts and ownership of weapons might lead to ideological violence (DTN 29, 2012: 5). Another incident mentioned is S4H, an activist radical Islamist group that disturbed a lecture in ‘De Balie’ in Amsterdam in November 2011 in an intimidating manner (DTN 28, 2012: 5).DTN 31, which is the final assessment published in 2012 states that after eleven years a significant decrease was noticeable re garding radicalisation and terrorism within the Dutch society (DTN 31, 2012: 5). However, the resilience of the Dutch population against extremism and violence from ideological considerations is considered to be unaffected high (DTN 28-31).

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2012 Always Frequently Sometimes Rarely Practically never For Whom? X For which values? X How Much? X Means X Cost X Threats X Period X