1. El problema a investigar
2.1. Marco teórico referencial
2.1.5. Generalidad del mercado destino
31 2014 Millennials Survey
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®| UNDERSTANDING CALIFORNIA’S HOUSING MARKET
Contrary to popular belief, detached single-family homes and big lots of land are the preferences of these prospective buyers. The majority of echo boomers value homeownership, giving an average importance rating of 7.1 on a scale of 1-10, with 1 being not at all important and 10 being extremely important. Millennial renters find that the biggest advantages of homeownership are the freedom to do what they want with the property as well as having privacy. Their biggest concern about homeownership is affordability (45 percent). One in two millennial renters have student debt, but most do not feel it is preventing them from qualifying for a mortgage. The majority have other debt, such as credit cards and auto loans, which would make it difficult to buy a home. Most are uncertain or doubtful they could obtain a mortgage now. One in five millennials is a homeowner, and of these, nearly all are first-time buyers. Affordability is the main reason for buying a home. Most
millennial homeowners did not buy a home sooner because of a lack of urgency. They are optimistic about future home prices; 59 percent expect prices will be higher in a year and 63 percent think prices will go up in five years. Millennials were overwhelmingly satisfied with the home they purchased. Only 15 percent claimed they selected the best option given the limited supply available. The majority of millennial home buyers obtained financing. Of the 17 percent who paid cash, most of those funds came from personal savings. The average down payment for those who obtained financing was 26 percent. More than half found it easy to acquire financing, with an average difficulty rating of 4.4 on a 10 point scale (10 = extremely difficult).
WHO ARE THE MILLENNIALS?
Millennials, Generation Y, or echo boomers are those born between the early 1980s and early 2000s or late 1990s. More than 80 million strong, Gen Y is a force to be reckoned with as
the second largest generation behind the baby boomers, making up nearly 28 percent of the U.S. population. In California, they comprise more than 29 percent of the population—more than 11 million people (U.S. Census Bureau, 2012). Millennials have not known a world without computers. Many of this generation feel that texting is just as meaningful as a phone conversation (Abraham, 2011) and they send about 20 texts per day (Pew Research Center, 2010). Three out of four echo boomers have created a profile on a social networking site and one in five have posted a video of themselves online (Generation Waking Up). Technology is nearly as ubiquitous as oxygen in the lives of Gen Y; 80 percent sleep with
their phones next to their beds (US Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2012) and 56 percent believe technology helps people use their time more efficiently (Pew Research Center, 2010). The 2014 C.A.R. Millennials Survey looked at those born between 1980 and 1996, or 18-to-34 year olds, who currently live in California. The survey focused on renters and homeowners and found that one in five is a homeowner, 41 percent are renters, and 36 percent live with their parents. When looking specifically at 18-26 year olds, the survey revealed that nearly half (49 percent) live with their parents, primarily for financial reasons.
40
The majority of millennial home buyers obtained financing. Of the 17% who paid cash, most of those funds came from personal savings. The average down payment for those who obtained financing was 26%. More than half found it easy to acquire financing, with an average difficulty rating of 4.4 on a 10 point scale (10 = extremely difficult).
Who are the Millennials?
Millennials, Generation Y or Echo Boomers are those born between the early 1980’s and early 2000’s or late 1990’s. Over 80 million strong, Gen Y is a force to be reckoned with as the second largest generation behind the Baby Boomers, making up nearly 28 percent of the U.S. population. In California, they comprise over 29 percent of the population—more than 11 million people. (U.S. Census Bureau, 2012) Millennials have not known a world without computers. Many of this generation feel that texting is just as meaningful as a phone conversation (Abraham, 2011) and they send about 20 texts per day (Pew Research Center, 2010). Three out of four Echo Boomers have created a profile on a social networking site and one in five has posted a video of themselves online. (Generation Waking Up) Technology is nearly as ubiquitous as oxygen in the lives of Gen Y; 80 percent sleep with their phones next to their beds (US Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2012) and 56 percent believe technology helps people use their time more efficiently (Pew Research Center, 2010).
The 2014 California Association of REALTORS® Millennials Survey looked at those born between 1980 and 1996, or 18 to 34 year olds, who currently live in California. The Survey focused on renters and home owners and found that one in five are homeowners, 41 percent are renters and 36 percent live with their parents. When looking specifically at 18-‐26 year olds, the Survey revealed that nearly half (49 percent) live with their parents, primarily for financial reasons.
Figure 18: Millennial Living Situation
Rent 41%
Live w/parents 36% Own 20%
Other 2%
32 2014 Millennials Survey CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®| UNDERSTANDING CALIFORNIA’S HOUSING MARKET
Despite being well educated—46 percent of 27-to- 34 year olds have a college degree, and 42 percent of 18-to-26 year olds are currently enrolled in a college—millennial earnings and employment have some catching up to do. Only about half of echo boomers are currently employed, and only one- third have a full-time job; 19 percent have a part- time job, 24 percent are students and 20 percent are unemployed. This bleak employment situation translates to a median annual income of $35,000. There is a silver lining for earnings; older millennials (those between 27 and 34 years old) have a median annual household income of $50,000, compared to $30,000 for their younger cohort (18-to-26 year olds). While they may not have a high income now, their earnings will increase as they advance in their careers.
This generation is known for delaying marriage and also for postponing having children; the majority are not married and nearly half do not have
children. While income limitations contribute to this delay in settling down and having a family, ethnic background also plays a role. Demographically, millennials are very diverse—62 percent are minorities. It is not uncommon in ethnic minority or immigrant households for children to live with their parents early into adulthood or after having children. The trend of more minority echo boomers living at home than whites is apparent in the survey results, as 42 percent of Asians, 39 percent of Hispanics, and 31 percent of blacks live with their parents, compared to only 21 percent of whites. MILLENNIAL RENTERS
Approximately two out of five millennials are renters, paying a median monthly rent of $1,075. Affordable rent is the most important reason for electing to live in their current residence and also why the majority rent instead of buy—67 percent said they rent because they cannot afford to buy. While they may not be able to afford to buy a home now, most Gen Y renters feel that
homeownership is important because it gives them the freedom to do what they want with the property, and they expect to buy a property within the next five years. Echo boomers in California prefer single-family homes, as two out of three indicated they plan to purchase a single-family home, compared to only 12 percent who plan to purchase a townhome or condominium. Contrary to popular belief, the ideal home for many would be on a big lot with lots of land (42 percent) in the suburbs (41 percent). Fewer than one in three EXHIBIT 2: IDEAL HOME FEATURES
42
While they aspire towards home ownership, the majority are uncertain or doubtful they could obtain a mortgage now, indicating a need for relevant information on the process and qualification criteria. Millennials are realistic about the responsibility that comes with the territory. Affordable home price, problems with credit/mortgages/taxes and maintenance are some of their biggest concerns about owning a home. Debt is also a concern. About half of Gen Y renters have student debt, which is below $20,000 for many, so they do not feel it is preventing them from qualifying for a mortgage. However, the majority have other debt, such as credit cards and auto loans, which they feel would make it difficult for them to buy a home.