Author is a retired Civil Engineer by profession. He is well known KP Astrologer practicing for last 10 years. He regularly contributes articles for “Nakshatrache Dene” only KP periodical in Marathi edited by renowned astrologer Mr. Sunil Gondhalekar. He contributes astrological articles for Astrovision e-magazine also. He is an active member of many astrological discussion groups. Account of his accurate predictions can be read on
http://forecastlife.com.
53 Modified Sri Shanmugham's BTR Technique
August 23, 2008
Rule: If the sublord of the Ascendant appears as the starlord of Moon and the sub-sub lord of the Ascendant appears as the sublord of Moon, then the Ascendant is deemed to be exact.
This rule was applied on 304 AA sample records. Here is the summary of the results. The percentage in each case can easily be calculated
by multiplying 100/304.
Description--- Passes- Fails CorrectRecords
(Time Used as Given)....2... 302 Incorrect (-30 min).... 3... 301 Incorrect (-25 min).... 7... 297 Incorrect (-20 min).... 4... 300 Incorrect (-15 min).... 4... 300 Incorrect (-10 min).... 3... 301 Incorrect (-5 min)... 6... 298 Incorrect (5 min)... 4... 300 Incorrect (10 min)... 1... 303 Incorrect (15 min)... 5... 299 Incorrect (20 min)... 4... 300 Incorrect (25 min)... 6... 298 Incorrect (30 min)... 4... 300
Overall total: 3648, Accepted: 51, Rejected: 3597, Rejection ratio: 98.602
Note on Methodology
When carrying out any research work, it is general practice to mention: (a) aim of the research
(b) methodology proposed to be used (c) source of data to be tested
(d) how the results are going to be analyzed and finally (e) interpretation of results and conclusion(s) drawn.
Here, as can be seen, only the summary of results is given without even a mention of necessary details cited above.
On detail scrutiny and study of the said summary, following things can be concluded. 1. The rule being tested is “Modified Sri Shanmugam’s BTR Technique”
2. The rule has been applied on 304 AA sample records. The sources of the records or other details such as DOB/TOB/POB etc are not given.
3. The Author is silent about the method applied for testing the rule. However it can be inferred that Time of Birth is subjected to change by +/- 5 minutes interval with a upper limit of +/- 30 minutes.
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4. If the rule is satisfied at TOB (given) +/- 5 min; TOB (given)+/- 10 min; TOB (given)+/- 15 min etc the rule is assumed to pass otherwise the rule fails.
5. The rule stands rejected as the percentage of failures (or rejection) is 98.602 2 General Astrological Facts
2.1 Moon travels an Arc of approximately 130 of Zodiac (which is nearly equivalent to an Arc of one star or Nakshatra) in duration of about 24 Hours. Therefore normally, Moon Star will not change in a span of 60 min (i.e. +/- 30 minutes from recorded time of birth), except in border line cases.
2.2 Ascendant completes one revolution of Zodiac (consisting of 12 Signs or Rashis) in about 24 Hours. So, on an average, Ascendant will travel one Sign in 24/12 = 2 Hours. There are two and a quarter Nakshatras in one Sign. Therefore, on an average, time taken by Ascendant to travel through one Nakshatra will be
2 Hrs X 60 Min/Hr X 4 / 9 = 53.33 min or say 54 min.
2.3 Each Nakshatra is further divided in 9 Subs. It is well known fact that these subs are unequal. Therefore time taken by Ascendant to travel through these subs will vary and will be dependent on the arc of particular sub viz 2.7 min to cross Sun sub and 9 min to cross Ven sub. However, on an average, this will be about 6 min per sub.
Thus it can be concluded that within a span of 54 minutes (or +/- 30 minutes from the given or recorded time of birth) all nine planets will appear as sub lord of Ascendant, except in border line cases. In other words, in almost all cases (except in some border line cases) Ascendant Sub Lord will appear as Moon Star Lord within +/- 30 minutes from given birth time.
2.4 Ascendant covers the sub of Nakshatra (Star) in 6 minutes on an average. So during these 6 minutes Ascendant will cover all NINE sub-subs. Therefore in majority of the cases Ascendant Sub-sub will match the sub lord of Moon.
These facts were pointed out in an internet forum through messages # 192794 and message # 193075. Unfortunately not a single senior or learned member commented, criticized or supported these views. 3 Purpose of this Review
It may be clarified here that this write up is not directed towards any person or any hypothesis. The purpose is mainly to bring out defective methodology applied for the test. Naturally the conclusion drawn from the test (on 304 AA charts) with defective methodology will be unreliable. The reason is explained below: The test is carried out at an exact interval of +/- 5 minutes from given time of birth. It is possible that the rule may not be satisfied at that exact moment, but at some time in between this interval of 5 minutes. This possibility is not taken into consideration thus rendering the test results unreliable. Therefore it is an humble request to astrologer fraternity to think rationally before blindly accepting conclusion. The point can be proved by analyzing same data for 304 AA charts if made available, but unfortunately the said data is not available. In absence of this data, 50 (fifty) charts were taken from the archives of k_p_system group randomly. These were tested for two hypothesis (a) Ascendant Sub = Moon Star and (b) Ascendant Sub = Moon Star and simultaneously Ascendant Sub sub = Moon Sub.
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HTTP://groups.yahoo.com/group/k_p_system/message/19279
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For Test result of test (a) Ascendant Sub = Moon Star click here Asc Sub=Moon Star BTR Chk 50 charts.xls (contact the author)
The summary of the results is given below for ready reference.
TOB Charts satisfying rule Pass Percentage Original (given) 11 22 Within +/- 5 minutes 18 36 Within +/- 10 minutes 27 54 Within +/- 15 minutes 37 74 Within +/- 20 minutes 40 80 Within +/- 25 minutes 44 88 Within +/- 30 minutes 45 90
For Test results of test (b) Ascendant Sub = Moon Star and simultaneously Ascendant Sub sub = Moon Sub click here Asc Sub=MoonStr and Asc SS=Moon Sub BTR Chk 50 charts.xls (contact the author)
The summary of the results is given below for ready reference.
TOB Charts satisfying rule Pass Percentage Within +/- 5 minutes 16 32 Within +/- 10 minutes 24 48 Within +/- 15 minutes 32 64 Within +/- 20 minutes 37 74 Within +/- 25 minutes 41 82 Within +/- 30 minutes 43 86
From the results of above TWO tests it is proved beyond any doubt that rule passes in 86 to 90 % cases. However the test results (given on page 2) of 304 AA charts show that the second hypothesis fails in 98.602 % cases. This raised doubt about reliability of test and conclusion drawn. Hence this review was necessary.
The result of test (b) was posted in the same internet group by messagenumber 30318. Only one member criticized it in (message number 30323) stating “For any RULEs we can always bring and present few charts to statisfy the required % as per our wish because in INDIA itself more than 100 crore people are available and getting charts is not a big deal” If this statement is applied to all research works, NO RESEARCH WORK CAN BE TAKEN AS AUTHENTIC. One can imagine what will be the reaction by real researchers from astrological community.
All learned astrologers, it is hoped, will not blindly accept conclusions of any such studies in absence of (1) basic data (2) purpose of study (3) methodology applied. This applies to present review also. In fact any effort to point out fallacies noticed in this review will be highly appreciated.