6. Desarrollo y análisis del simulador de Conducción
6.3. Características secundarias y elaboración
6.3.5. Integración del periférico G27 Logitech Racing Wheel
Company ST imports, markets and distributes alcoholic beverage in Australia. As a distribution
company, Company ST sources products of more than twenty brands from Australia, Austria, the
Dominican Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Mexico,
Scotland and Spain. Around forty per cent of the brands are owned by Company ST and the other
sixty per cent are distributed by Company ST via third party contracts. The comprehensive
portfolio helps Company ST achieve the necessary economies of scale and increase its
competitiveness in the market.
Its corporate mission is to ‘build consumer brand equity and profitability through sustainable
growth, differentiation, consumer participation, and employee innovation’. In terms of its supply
chain, Company ST utilises future demand forecasts to determine the level of capacity and
inventory availability and therefore can be described as an organisation with a ‘push’ processes
within its supply chain. Some distinct characteristics of the demand of Company ST has a
significant influence on its demand forecasts
4.2.1 Factors Impacting Demand
First of all, the sales pattern of Company ST is highly seasonal. Summer and holiday periods are
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hemisphere, the major holidays in Australia fall in the summer. As a consequence, approximately
60 per cent of the sales of Company ST occur in the last quarter of each year. It is therefore
critical for the company to seize the opportunity in this quarter and maximize the profit for the
business.
Secondly, to some extent, the demand of most brands can be predicted by the statistical demand
forecast based on historical demand data, especially the mature brands. The mature brands are
normally iconic in the industry. They have been distributed by Company ST in the market for
years and cannot readily be substituted by different brands. The level and trend of demand for
these brands changes gradually from year to year. However, the seasonality of the demand of
each year is very similar. Therefore, it is possible for the company to generate a statistical
demand forecast based on the historical demand data. Even for those brands which are not so
mature in the market, the forecaster can also predict the seasonality of the demand for each year.
Thirdly, the demand is easily driven by promotional incentives. The Australian alcoholic
beverage industry is dramatically competitive, especially for the brands where the consumer can
easily find a substitute product. Sales incentives like discounted prices, promotions and ‘gift with
purchase’ (GWP) have a remarkable influence on the demand of these brands. Beside, this
industry in Australia is dominated by two major national retail chains - Woolworths and Coles,
who are also the most important customers of Company ST without exception. Any activities
conducted by these two groups have a huge impact on the value chain of Company ST because
they represent more than 40 per cent of its business. The consumers normally choose the
alcoholic products with the best price or some other kind of incentive where any brand loyalty is
absent. It is therefore difficult to predict the demand driven by promotional incentives based on
historical demand because the retailers, especially the national chains, do not always decide the
timing of promotions based on logic or statistical basis. The forecast errors are therefore more
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Finally, changes in the macroeconomic environment have a substantial impact on the demand of
alcoholic beverage. Around 80 per cent of Company ST products are imported from overseas via
sea freight. Due to this foreign currency exchange rates and fuel costs have a considerable impact
on inventory cost and therefore on the final price. As a consequence, the demand of alcoholic
beverage is also influenced. At the same time, alcoholic beverages are classified as ‘excisable
goods’ in Australia. The excise paid to the government forms a significant part of the cost of the
goods. The sales price will therefore increase in line with any increases in excise rates. In
addition to these factors, both the unemployment rate and interest rate can also have a
considerable influence on the demand of alcoholic beverage drinks in the Australian market.
4.2.2 Forecasting and Planning Process of Company ST
Due to the high value of inventory, high seasonality of demand, and long lead time for its supplier
to deliver the goods, it is vital for Company ST to plan and manage its inventory at optimal levels
in order to achieve its overall goal - maximising company profit. Company ST reviews its sales
forecast and achieves its sales target every month and therefore its requirement planning also
needs to be reviewed on the same periodic basis in order to facilitate achieving their depletion
targets for all SKU’s each month. As a consequence, its inventory is also replenished on a
monthly basis.
The products of Company ST are sourced via two different methods: imported from overseas
suppliers and produced locally from contracted manufacturers. The suppliers of the imported
goods usually need on average two months lead time from receiving the purchase order to
delivering the order; due to long production lead times and sea freight transit times. In relation to
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manufacturer at least two months prior to the required delivery date due to the long lead times of
some ingredients.
Uncertainty in demand usually causes most of the problems in inventory management. The actual
lead time of the supply chain of Company ST varies from seven to ten weeks. Although the lead
time is moderately long, it can be considered as ‘a certainty’ rather than ‘an uncertainty’ compared
with demand fluctuation. This is due to contractual agreements and Service Level Agreements
(SLA’s) between Company ST and its suppliers. As previously discussed, Company ST uses a
periodic review process to review its inventory requirements. When the reviewing period and
lead time for each product family are considered fixed the average cycle stock changes according
to the change of demand of each period. Besides, safety stock is decided by the accuracy of the
demand forecast. Therefore, demand forecast accuracy is the key to managing the inventory
efficiency of Company ST.
Company ST operates only one distribution centre in Sydney and distributes goods to all areas in
Australia. Five sales teams are located in five different states and territories and responsible for
the sales to their respective customers. There is also an individual sales team focusing on sales to
the two major national chain groups due to the importance of these two groups to Company ST.
The six different sales teams are also responsible for reviewing the sales forecasts for their
respective market segments on a monthly basis. A forecast and planning system called ‘Cognos’
is utilised to consolidate the forecasts from all the sales teams into a single forecast, with the
consolidated forecast becoming the sales target Company ST is trying to achieve every month.
At the same time, the supply chain team utilise a forecasting and planning system called
MerciaLinc to generate a systematic demand forecast based on historical demand data. The
inventory level is also reviewed by MerciaLinc, based on the systematic forecast generated by the
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forecast reviewing system. As a consequence, the inbound shipments of each brand are also
scheduled to arrive once per month. A ‘certain weeks’ worth’ of safety stock is carried on top of
the average cycle stock for different brands.