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OBJETIVOS DE APRENDIZAJE

Table 3.8 An example of D2 statistics from canconical DFA: Rk samples from Lake

Rotokare are compared to selected M05 samples of edifice location 2 (see Figure 2.1 and Appendix 4).

M05-61 M05-67 M05-69 M05-70 M05-74 M05-75 M05-78 Rk-25 0.419 3.502 15.019 11.512 16.588 10.886 14.183 Rk-26 0.085 2.476 13.173 9.615 14.876 9.024 12.301 Rk-27 0.687 1.286 8.673 5.250 9.015 4.561 7.411 Rk-29 1.348 1.222 6.687 3.731 6.813 3.411 5.649 Rk-30 2.413 0.228 6.278 5.994 9.930 5.768 6.382 Rk-31 5.830 0.925 1.896 3.042 5.210 3.438 2.421 Rk-32 13.354 8.822 7.013 8.807 11.065 10.987 8.809 Rk-33 13.332 5.573 0.585 2.182 1.559 2.660 0.653 Rk-34 5.600 2.557 4.565 3.143 3.485 2.234 3.178 Rk-35 8.532 2.698 0.929 2.151 3.332 2.871 1.420 Rk-36 7.679 2.493 1.051 0.469 1.387 0.513 0.428 Rk-37 7.098 2.421 1.590 0.520 1.391 0.344 0.680 Rk-39 10.798 3.472 1.493 2.542 4.110 2.602 1.487 Rk-40 9.047 2.661 0.317 1.121 2.126 1.532 0.388 Rk-41 15.212 7.533 1.165 1.580 0.547 2.039 0.659 Rk-43 5.991 1.321 1.714 1.364 2.658 1.133 1.150 Rk-44 6.287 1.087 1.559 2.584 4.236 2.766 1.811 Rk-46 10.449 3.147 0.218 1.682 2.489 2.041 0.431 Rk-47 6.933 1.806 3.882 4.673 5.670 3.794 3.374 Rk-48 6.741 1.629 1.402 1.909 2.909 1.956 1.266 Rk-49 20.936 14.149 6.209 4.823 1.807 4.870 4.483 Rk-50 16.008 9.714 4.068 2.151 0.264 1.693 2.068

The titanomagnetite dataset from the well dated lacustrine deposits (see 3.2 – 3.12 and Chapter 2 for further details) are used as the reference dataset for canonical DFA analyses of those titanomagnetites from the edifice deposits. The D2 values of the canonical DFA are listed in Appendix 4 and an example is given in Table 3.6. The D2 statistic of these datasets is highly dependent on the spread of compositional data from each tephra within the reference dataset. With larger compositional spreads, there is a higher likelihood that unknown tephras will fit into several groups and the resulting D2 will be relatively small. To overcome this problem, and identify likely matched tephras from one or more deposits, all D2 statistics from each deposit were grouped and a 95 percentile found. Any compositions that had a D2 statistic within this percentile were classified as having similar titanomagnetite compositions (Appendix 4). Using these datasets and also forcing stratigraphic order within the each of the profiles, correlation of the lacustrine records to the sampled edifice tephras was achieved (Appendix 4). Individual eruptions can be distinguished on the basis of this technique. Temporal groupings of possible correlatives are also observed, and are discussed further in Chapter 4 (4.7-4.15). Each of these temporal groupings of similar titanomagnetite compositions appears to represent the eruption of a chemically distinct magma “batch”. Within the lake records, eight magma batches were identified. Figure 3.11 groups the correlations made by canonical DFA into these defined magma batches. This shows the 12 main stratigraphic profiles defined in Chapter 2 and is hinged upon the first identifiable scoria-bearing basaltic-andesite eruption, termed the Manganui-A (Alloway et al. 1995), which on correlation to the Rotokare core occurred c. 3100 yrs B.P.

Figure 3.12: Correlation diagram of edifice stratigraphic sites identified in Chapter 2.

Each site is correlated to the better-dated eruption records of Lakes Umutekai and Rotokare by canonical DFA on titanomagnetite compositions. The correlations are simplified and grouped into the temporally defined eruption of the magma batches as identified in Chapter 4.

3.12 Conclusions

The compositions of titanomagnetite microphenocrysts are unique to most individual magmas and magma batches erupted from Mt. Taranaki. Hence the correlation of eruptions from this volcano can be made on the basis of these compositions, using multi-parameter statistical techniques such as Principal Component Analysis (3.2-3.13) or Canonical Discriminant Function Analysis. The compositions of the titanomagnetite phenocrysts are not always unique to a single eruption, but always relate to a compositionally and temporally defined magma batch. Therefore the methods identified here need to be used in conjunction with detailed field descriptions, physical characteristics of the deposit, and/or geochemistry of other mineral phases in order to correlate all units.

3.13 References

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Chapter Four:

Eruption Classification and Identification of Cyclic Volcanic

Processes at Mt. Taranaki.

This chapter consists of two parts. Firstly, a technique to distinguish two-end member eruption states using titanomagnetite textures is examined. The technique was applied to the deposits from Lake Umutekai and resulted in the identification of a periodic eruption rate from the volcano. The second part of the chapter examines the possible magmatic-system processes that are likely responsible for causing eruption periodicity.

4.1 Introduction

In the previous chapter, methods of andesitic tephrostratigraphy were developed to enable the combination of two or more records from differing sectors of the volcano and thus generate more accurate estimates of eruption frequency. Developing a full eruption record from andesitic volcanoes may, however, be an impossible task, since they produce a wide array of eruption products with highly varying deposition areas that often never overlap (e.g., lava-flows vs. tephra falls). To overcome this obstacle, it is more statistically valid to identify one particular eruption style, develop the best possible record for it, and then use this sub-sample of the eruption frequency as a proxy for the overall eruption frequency.

The first part of this chapter consists of the manuscript ‘Using titanomagnetite textures to elucidate volcanic eruption histories’ by: Michael B. Turner, Shane J. Cronin, Robert B. Stewart, Mark S. Bebbington and Ian E.M. Smith, published within Geology, (January 2008; vol. 36: 31-34). This manuscript outlines a method of using titanomagnetite textures to identify tephra-producing eruption styles in the context of two simplified end-members states: 1) fast magma-ascent eruptions, typically producing sub-plinian events and 2) slow-ascent eruptions, typically resulting in effusion of lava-

domes, deposition of associated block-and-ash-flows and co-pyroclastic flow ash falls. By using this method, it is shown that the frequency of sub-plinian eruptions at Mt. Taranaki is highly periodic, with a cyclic variation in eruption frequency that is of around 1500 years in amplitude.

The contributions of each author to the study were as follows:

Michael .B. Turner: Principal investigator:

Carried out: Field description and sampling

Laboratory preparation

Optical microscopy

Technique development

Electron microprobe analyses

Manuscript preparation and writing

Shane J. Cronin: Chief advisor:

Aided the study by: Assistance in the field

Discussion of methodology and results

Editing and discussion of the manuscript

Ian E.M. Smith, Robert B. Stewart: Advisors:

Aided the study by: Discussion of methodology and results

Editing and discussion of the manuscript

Mark S. Bebbington: Statistical advisor:

Aided the study by: Produced Fig. 4.5; the smoothed annual

eruption rate curve from Taranaki.

Editing and discussion of the manuscript

The second part of this chapter aims to identify the underlying causes of this periodic eruption frequency at Mt. Taranaki. By using titanomagnetite compositions as a proxy for the geochemistry of the magma just prior to eruption, it is demonstrated that the eruption frequency is parallel and in phase with an overall cyclic pattern of magma

evolution. This implies a genetic link between the two and has significant implications for developing possible time-variable hazard forecasting models from similar reawakening volcanoes.

The manuscript: ‘Cyclic magma evolution and associated eruption frequency at andesitic volcanoes and its implications to eruption forecasting: a case study from Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand’ by: Michael B. Turner, Shane J. Cronin, Robert B. Stewart, Mark S. Bebbington and Ian E.M. Smith will be submitted to Earth and Planetary Science Letters. The contributions of each author to the study were as follows:

Michael .B. Turner: Principal investigator:

Carried out: Field description and sampling

Laboratory preparation

EMP and XRF analyses

Manuscript preparation and writing

Shane J. Cronin: Chief advisor:

Aided the study by: Assistance in the field

Discussion of data, results and models

Editing and discussion of the manuscript

Ian E.M. Smith, Robert B. Stewart: Advisors:

Aided the study by: Discussion of data, results and models Editing and discussion of the manuscript

Mark S. Bebbington: Statistical Advisor:

Aided the study by: Produced Fig. 4.7; the smoothed, annual

eruption rate from Mt. Taranaki.

Discussion of data, results and models

4.2

Using titanomagnetite textures to elucidate volcanic eruption