PRUEBA DE COMPACTACIÓN

Identify Risk Team

Participants in risk identification activities can include the following:

 Project manager

 Project team members

 Risk management team (if assigned)

 Subject matter experts from outside the project team

 Customers

 End users

 Other project managers

 Stakeholders

 Risk management experts Identify Risk is Iterative

Identify Risk is an iterative process because new risks may become known as the project progresses through its life cycle. The frequency of iteration and who participates in each cycle will vary from case to case. The project team should be involved in the process so that they can develop and maintain a sense of ownership of, and responsibility for, the risks and associated risk response actions. Stakeholders outside the project team may provide additional objective information.

Identify Risk Following Process

The Identify Risk process usually leads to the Qualitative Risk Analysis process. Alternatively, it can lead directly to the Quantitative Risk Analysis process when conducted by an experienced risk manager.

Definition

Identify risk determines which risks might affect the project and documents their characteristics.

Source: PMBOK® Guide – Fourth Edition, page 282

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Figure ‎4-42 - Identify Risks Process

Source: PMBOK® Guide – Fourth Edition, page 282

Process Interaction

Figure ‎4-43 Identify Risks – Process Interaction

1. Risk MP 2. Activity cost

estimates 3. Activity duration

estimates 4. Scope baseline 5. Stakeholder register 6. Cost MP

7. Schedule MP 8. Quality MP

9. Project documents 10. Enterprise env.

factors

11.Organizational process assets

Inputs

1. Documentation reviews

2. Information gathering techniques 3. Checklist

analysis 4. Assumptions

analysis 5. Diagramming

techniques 6. SWOT analysis 7. Expert judgment

Tools &

Techniques

1. Risk register

Outputs

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4.16.1 Inputs to Identify Risks 1- Risk management plan 2- Activity cost estimates 3- Activity duration estimates 4- Scope baseline

5- Stakeholder register 6- Cost management plan 7- Schedule management plan 8- Quality management plan 9- Project documents

10- Enterprise environmental factors 11- Organizational process assets

4.16.2 Tools and Techniques for Identify Risks 1- Documentation reviews

2- Information gathering techniques 3- Checklist analysis

4- Assumptions analysis 5- Diagramming techniques 6- SWOT analysis

7- Expert judgment

1. Documentation reviews

A structured review may be performed of project documentation, including:

 Plans

 Assumptions

 Prior project files

 Other information

The quality of the plans, as well as consistency between those plans and with the project requirements and assumptions, can be indicators of risk in the project.

2. Information gathering techniques

Information gathering techniques that include but not limited to the following:

 Brainstorming

 Delphi technique

 Interviewing

 Root cause identification

 Strengths, weaknesses 3. Checklist analysis

Risk identification checklists can be developed based on historical information and knowledge that has been accumulated from previous

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similar projects and from other sources of information. The lowest level of the RBS can also be used as a risk checklist. While a checklist can be quick and simple, it is impossible to build an exhaustive one. Care should be taken to explore items that do not appear on the checklist.

The checklist should be reviewed during project closure to improve it for use on future projects.

4. Assumptions analysis

Every project is conceived and developed based on a set of hypotheses, scenarios, or assumptions. Assumptions analysis is a tool that explores the validity of assumptions as they apply to the project. It identifies risks to the project from inaccuracy, inconsistency, or incompleteness of assumptions

5. Diagramming techniques

The following techniques will be used in this process:

 Cause-and-effect diagrams (Ishikawa or fishbone diagrams)

 System or process flow charts

 Influence diagrams 6. SWOT analysis

When used in Risk Identification, SWOT analysis involves examining the project from each of the SWOT perspectives in order to increase the breadth of risks considered. Depending upon the magnitude of impact to the organization, SWOT analysis for the project can parallel SWOT analysis as applied to strategic planning for the organization and will use many of the same elements. This approach uses the following components:

 Strengths

 Weaknesses

 Opportunities

 Threats

The above can also be seen as internal and external components, as follows:

Internal Components - Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths and weaknesses are internal to your project and organization, and can be assessed through:

 Internal surveys

 Focus Groups

 Open Forums

 Internal reports: finance, performance, quality, production capabilities

External Components - Opportunities and Threats

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Opportunities and threats are external to your project and/or organization, and can be assessed through:

 Internal and external surveys

 Industry research on global trends and competition

 Marketing research on customer needs and preferences

Opportunities and Threats can be identified by examining the following factors:

 The Competition

 Markets

 Technological Advances

 Political and Economic Climate 7. Expert judgment

Subject matter experts internal or external to the organization, such as engineering or statistical experts, validate data and techniques.

4.16.3 Outputs of Identify Risks 1- Risk register

1. Risk Register

The primary outputs from Risk Identification are the initial entries into the risk register, which becomes a component of the project management plan. The risk register ultimately contains the outcomes of the other risk management processes as they are conducted. The preparation of the risk register begins in the Risk Identification process with the following information, and then becomes available to other project management and Project Risk Management processes.

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Exercise ‎4-13 - Risk List

Exercise 4.13 – Identify Risks

In the provided case stud, identify 10 potential risks that may come up during the project execution.

Note: Use form 9.7 in Appendix 2

Do not fill the Probability, Impact and Overall Impact columns.

Your Notes

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In document Métodos de rehabilitación en pavimentos (página 52-60)