IV. RESULTADOS DE LA INVESTIGACIÓN
4.2. Presentación resultado y prueba de hipótesis
4.2.1. Resultados
As 2001 census data for place of usual residence is not available, place of enumeration data for both 2001 and 2006 has been used to compare census results. Although this is slightly different data to that used above, it allows a like-for-like comparison to be made while not substantially affecting the interpretation of the results. Some SLAs needed to be aggregated to allow data to be compared across time on a consistent boundary, and this was done using the aggregate SLA regions presented in Appendix B.
Regions
Table 6.5 shows the change between 2001 and 2006 in journey to work transport mode share, by place of enumeration. For SEQ overall, the biggest changes were the increase in the public transport share (0.5 percentage points), the increase in the walking share (0.4 percentage points) and the decrease in the share of people working from home (–0.4 percentage points).
The cycling, car and other private vehicle shares all declined very slightly, by only 0.1 or 0.2 percentage points.
Table 6.5 Change in mode share for journeys to work by place of enumeration, South East Queensland sectors and subregions, 2001 to 2006
Region/Sector/
Subregion Car Other private
vehicle Public
transport Cycling Walking Worked at home (percentage point change)
Inner –4.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 5.2 –0.5
Middle –1.4 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.4 –0.3
Middle East –1.2 –0.1 1.2 0.0 0.3 –0.1
Middle North –1.1 0.1 1.0 0.0 0.3 –0.3
Middle South –1.8 –0.1 2.2 0.1 0.2 –0.3
Middle West –1.8 0.1 1.4 0.1 0.7 –0.4
Outer 0.4 –0.3 0.6 –0.1 0.1 –0.5
Outer East 0.7 –0.4 0.2 –0.1 0.3 –0.6
Outer North 0.5 –0.2 0.1 –0.1 0.1 –0.4
Outer South 0.0 –0.2 1.3 0.0 –0.2 –0.7
Outer West 0.4 –0.2 0.3 –0.2 0.1 –0.2
Brisbane Total –0.9 –0.1 0.9 0.0 0.6 –0.4
Gold Coast 1.0 –0.3 0.1 –0.3 0.0 –0.3
Sunshine Coast 1.5 –0.5 0.3 –0.1 –0.1 –0.8
Toowoomba 1.2 –0.1 –0.2 –0.1 0.1 –0.8
West Moreton 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 –0.7 –2.6
SEQ Total –0.1 –0.2 0.5 –0.1 0.4 –0.4
Notes: Percentages are of total employed persons who attended work on census day. Change in mode share for ‘other modes’ not shown.
Source: BITRE analysis using ABS 2006 Census DataPack: place of enumeration profile release 2 (Cat. 2069.0.30.004) and ABS CDATA 2001.
In the Brisbane region, the car share dropped by 0.9 percentage points, while the public transport share grew by the same amount. However, the table reveals that there is not a simple relationship between changes in car and public transport use. In the Middle subregions, car use tends to decrease by a similar magnitude to the increase in public transport. However, in other areas, including the Outer sector and the Gold and Sunshine Coasts, both car and public transport shares grew. This is related to changes in other modes, most notably the across-the-board decreases in the share of people working from home. This decrease tended to be higher in the regions outside the Brisbane region, with the greatest decrease occurring in West Moreton (–2.6 percentage points).
The car share showed some comparatively large changes across the regions. It decreased in the Inner (–4.8 percentage points) and Middle (–1.4 percentage points) sectors, and increased in the Outer sector (0.4 percentage points), and in every sector outside Brisbane, with the greatest increase in West Moreton (3.7 percentage points).
There was very little change for the cycling share in any sector or subregion. The greatest change was in the Gold Coast, where the cycling share fell by 0.3 percentage points.
Inner Brisbane had some of the largest transport share changes over the five year period. In addition to the car share decreasing, the walking share increased by 5.2 percentage points.
The greatest increase in the public transport mode share was in Middle South (2.2 percentage points). Overall, the Middle sector’s public transport share grew by 1.4 percentage points. The four Outer subregions all experienced an increase in their public transport shares, with an overall increase for the Outer sector of 0.6 percentage points. This was driven by the Outer South (1.3 percentage points), with more modest growth in the other Outer subregions.
The likely explanation for the larger increases in the Middle South and Outer South is the South East Busway, which opened in April 2001 to Eight Mile Plains, which is in the Middle South, but adjacent to the Outer South subregion. Table 6.6 shows how the change in public transport shares is distributed across the different mode types. This confirms that the growth in these two areas has been driven by increases in their bus shares, while the train shares remained unchanged, or fell slightly. This could be because the bus became more convenient to people who had previously used the train. Overall, the 0.5 percentage point growth in the public transport share in SEQ is almost entirely due to an increase in the bus share.
Table 6.6 Percentage point change in detailed public transport mode share for journeys to work by place of enumeration, South East Queensland, 2001 to 2006
Region/Sector/
Subregion Public transport mode Total public
transport
Brisbane Total 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.9
Gold Coast 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Sunshine Coast 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
Toowoomba 0.0 –0.1 0.0 –0.1 –0.2
West Moreton 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SEQ Total 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
Notes: Figures may not add to totals, due to rounding.
Source: BITRE analysis using ABS 2006 Census DataPack: place of enumeration profile release 2 (Cat. 2069.0.30.004) and ABS CDATA 2001.
Statistical Local Areas
Map 6.6 shows the how the private vehicle mode share has changed between 2001 and 2006, by place of enumeration.
The map reveals that the private vehicle mode share decreased in the inner areas of Brisbane, and increased in the outer areas of SEQ. This only exacerbates the regional differences that already exist between the car-dominated outer subregions and the inner areas, which are more likely than other regions to use other modes (active and public transport).
Map 6.6 Change in private vehicle mode share for journey to work by Statistical Local Area of enumeration, South East Queensland, 2001 to 2006
Note: Where boundary changes occurred, change comparisons were undertaken for aggregate SLA regions, as described in Appendix B.
Source: BITRE analysis using ABS 2006 Census DataPack: place of enumeration profile release 2 (Cat. 2069.0.30.004) and ABS CDATA 2001.
Of the 13 SLAs which experienced a reduction in the private vehicle share of more than 5 percentage points, 6 were in Inner Brisbane, 5 were in the Middle South and the remaining two were in other Middle subregions. Widening this to the 34 SLAs whose private vehicle share fell by more than 3 percentage points, 12 were in Inner and 21 were in Middle Brisbane, with only one other (in Outer South).
Of all the SLAs experiencing a reduction in the private vehicle share, ten per cent were Inner SLAs, and 68 per cent were Middle SLAs. Conversely, 70 per cent of SLAs experiencing an increase in their private vehicle share were in Outer Brisbane or the regions outside of Brisbane, and only two were in Inner Brisbane.
Of the 25 SLAs with a 2 percentage point or more increase in their private vehicle share, 15 (60 per cent) were outside the Brisbane region, 4 were in Outer Brisbane, 6 were in Middle Brisbane and none were in Inner Brisbane.
Map 6.7 shows the change in public transport mode share between 2001 and 2006, revealing that the majority of SLAs experienced growth in their public transport mode share. However, the fastest growers were still in the more central areas.
Map 6.7 Change in public transport mode share for journey to work by Statistical Local Area of enumeration, South East Queensland, 2001 to 2006
Note: Where boundary changes occurred, change comparisons were undertaken for aggregate SLA regions, as described in Appendix B.
Source: BITRE analysis using ABS 2006 Census DataPack: place of enumeration profile release 2 (Cat. 2069.0.30.004) and ABS CDATA 2001.
Of the 21 SLAs whose public transport share increased by 3 or more percentage points, 3 were in Inner Brisbane and 16 were in Middle Brisbane, with the remaining 2 in Outer South. Of the 112 SLAs with public transport share growth of 1 percentage point or more, 80 per cent were in Inner or Middle Brisbane, with another 18 per cent in Outer Brisbane (mostly Outer South).
There were only 14 SLAs whose public transport share decreased by 1.0 per cent or more.
Five of these were Inner SLAs, four were Middle SLAs, three were Outer SLAs and two were in the Gold Coast.