LOS ARGUMENTOS Y SUS MOTIVOS DE SITUACIÓN
4. ESTUDIO SINCRÓNICO O QUERSCHNITT: MOTIVOS DE SITUACIÓN COMPARTIDOS
4.2. Salud y enfermedad: Bovarysme y tuberculosis
Research Objective 4: Are there differences in the factors and characteristics of first time homeowner using housing financing and non-first time homeowners using housing loan financing?
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Table 4.9 presents the results of the logit analysis for differentiating the two categories of
homeowners using housing financing: First time homeowners versus Non-first time homeowners.
The computed Pseudo R2 is 0.24, suggesting that 24% of the likelihood can be explained by the
model. The chi-squared test is 66.38 with the degree of freedom of 13, and showed that there is an evidence to reject hypothesis of no explanatory power.
Table 4.9 Estimated Logit Results of First Time Homeowners
Number of observation = 251 Log Likelihood function= -105.9997 Restricted likelihood function= -139.1908 McFadden Pseudo R-squared= 0.23845802 Chi Squared= 66.38231
Degree of freedom= 13
Prob[ChiSqd> value]= 0.0000000 Percentage of Right Prediction= 80.876%
Variables Coefficient Standard
Error T-statistics P-value
Marginal Effects
Gender 0.73282 ** 0.34856 2.10 0.0355 0.11571
Young age 0.33810 0.40271 0.84 0.4011 0.05170
Marital status: Single 0.10528 0.61769 0.17 0.8647 0.01521
Education attainment: Bachelor 0.72653 ** 0.36131 2.01 0.0443 0.11386
Occupation: Middle professional -0.79085 ** 0.37222 -2.13 0.0336 -0.12555
Household status: Couple with children -0.37407 0.53994 -0.69 0.4884 -0.05517
Size of household: Three -0.40900 0.58625 -0.70 0.4854 -0.05946
No. of dependents: Less than two -0.51850 0.52585 -0.99 0.3241 -0.07759
High Price of house -1.43601 *** 0.37438 -3.84 0.0001 -0.21762
Annual household income: Low range 0.22230 0.55811 0.40 0.6904 0.03106
Turndown housing loan 1.68817 ** 0.68348 2.47 0.0135 0.16780
Received help for loan payment 0.15301 0.12995 1.18 0.2390 0.02250
Other loans: Vehicle loan -0.15534 *** 0.05164 -3.01 0.0026 -0.02284
Credit card ownership 0.31721 0.47072 0.67 0.5004 0.05018
** denotes statistically significant at the 0.05 level of significance *** denotes statistically significant at the 0.01 level of significance
The estimated coefficients of gender, educational attainment, occupation, high price of house,
turndown a housing loan and other loans are statistically significant the 5% level and have the correct hypothesized signs. The model successfully distinguishes between first time homeowners
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using housing financing and non-first time homeowners using housing financing. The results show
a total of 251 financed homeowners, where 75.7% of them are first time homeowners and 24.3%
are non first time homeowners. For the first time homeowners who financed their homeownership,
most of them are males and have a bachelor degree. Previous records of turndown a housing loan is also is positively related to the first time homeowners; however, a relative high level of
occupation and high price of a house are negatively related to the first time homeowners who
access their homeownership through housing loans. Meanwhile, other loans is negatively related
to the first time homeowners; hence, it indicates that first time homeowners, who are currently
users of housing loans, are less likely to have other types of loans at the same time.
Other explanatory variable such as young age, single, a couple with children, size of household of three, less than two dependents in a family, low level of annual household income, received help
for loan payment and credit card ownership are statistically insignificant at 5% level of
significance and have the correct hypothesized signs. The possible explanation could be that first
time homeowners were almost from the young age group, and they funded their house purchase
through parental supports and personal savings, because young age homeowners earned a relative low income, they cannot afford to purchase houses alone. In China, the structure of household is
unique and simple; there is only one child in a family. Hence, the number of dependents or
children cannot be a factor affecting the decision of purchasing houses for first time homeowner in
China. Most Chinese people are reluctant to have debts; therefore, most credit card holders would
like to pay off their debts immediately. Meanwhile, the use of credit card in China is not well developed as most of developed countries, so the ownership of the credit card can not affect the
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decision of purchasing houses for the first time homeowners. In summary, Hypotheses 21 are
summarized in the following table.
Table 4.9.1 Test Results of Hypothesis 21
Hypothesis Support Not
Support Gender has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time
home owners
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Young age has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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Marital status has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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Education attainment has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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Occupation has a negative effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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Household status has a negative effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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No. of dependents has a negative effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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High Price of house has a negative effect on the decision to purchase a house for first home owners
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Annual household income has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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Turndown housing loan has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
√
Received help for loan payment has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
√
Other loans has a negative effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
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Credit card ownership has a positive effect on the decision to purchase a house for first time home owners
√