structure and in the cross-border traffic flow
5.1.1 Economic structure
The potential of the economic structure of the studied region is estimated with the follow- ing overview based on the examination of the existing infrastructure and by assessing the strengths-weaknesses profile. The potential is estimated in the form of a five-stage matrix and when forming the results is at least seen on a national scale (spatial economic struc- ture of the Federal Republic of Germany and the Republic of Poland).
The results show a comparably low market potential of the economic region, increased in- centives for development through location policies and business promotion and relatively good possibilities for existing industrial locations with reference to the settlement of goods traffic services. The ETTC in Frankfurt (Oder) has the potential to distinguish itself more clearly as logistics centre with the focus on regional and local goods fine distribution for the domiciled and developing industry and trade enterprises. A development to become a goods traffic centre with excellent intermodal or hub function is on the other hand not to be expected.
Fig. 80: Estimate of potential economic structure
POTENTIAL FEATURE
DEVELOPMENT CRITERION LOW < --- > HIGH
significance and market position of the economic area seen on a na-
tional and international comparison o
incentives for development (location policies, business promotion)
on the German and the Polish side o
share of goods traffic services of the economic volume o
suitability of existing industrial parks and special economic zones
for the settlement of goods traffic services o
Development of the ETTC in Frankfurt (Oder)...
to a significant goods traffic centre with the focus on the transport carrier
change road-rail in the international traffic o
to a significant goods traffic centre with the focus hub in international rail
haulage o
to a significant logistics centre with the focus on cross-border regional
Cross-border goods traffic –
results, potentials and problems in the Frankfurt (Oder) / Slubice region
5.1.2 Transport infrastructure
Based on the examination and evaluation of the existing infrastructures and by assessing the strengths-weaknesses profile the potential of the transport infrastructure of the studied region is estimated with the following overview. The potential is estimated in the form of a five-stage matrix and when forming the results is seen on a national (transport infrastruc- ture system of the Federal Republic of Germany and the Republic of Poland) and a Cen- tral European comparison.
The results show the great potential of the transport infrastructure of the studied region based on the European significance, scope and quality of projects being implemented and in particular the reserves in the field of interoperability.
Owing to the under-developed north-south relation of which there are no indications that it will be efficient in the long-term, the studied region will not develop to become a hub of in- ternational goods traffic, however into a central connection of nationally important trans- port routes to the axis Berlin – Warszawa which is continuing to gain in importance for goods traffic.
Fig. 81: Estimate of potential transport infrastructure
POTENTIAL FEATURE
DEVELOPMENT CRITERION LOW < --- > HIGH
significant of the transport infrastructure of the region for the processing
of cross-border transport D/PL and with Eastern Europe o scope and quality of other infrastructure projects being implemented or
firmly planned for strengthening rail haulage o
scope and quality of other infrastructure projects being implemented or
firmly planned for strengthening road haulage o
harmonisation of the possible uses of the railway infrastructure (interop-
erability) o
Development of the transport function of the region...
to a hub of international goods traffic by reinforcing relevant north-south
routes of international significance o
to a central connection of nationally important transport routes to the
axis Berlin - Warszawa o
to a connection of nationally and regionally important transport routes to
Cross-border goods traffic –
results, potentials and problems in the Frankfurt (Oder) / Slubice region
5.1.3 Traffic flow
An estimate of the development possibilities is also carried out for the field of traffic flow. The basis is the results of the examination of the existing transport infrastructure, the as- sessment in particular of the border crossing facilities and the thus ensuing strengths- weaknesses profile. The potential is estimated in the form of a five-stage matrix and is ori- ented to further border zones characterised by goods traffic, both on a bilateral and Euro- pean scale.
The results illustrate a large potential with important features of the cross-border goods traffic. A significantly higher quality of the traffic flow can be achieved in rail haulage through the reduction of deficits with the use of vehicles and with the freight and vehicle controls. With regard to road transport on the other hand substantial improvements are above all possible through developments in the field of transport monitoring and control.
It is estimated that border goods traffic in the studied region can increasingly develop free of administrative and technical transport barriers. However, there is the risk of capacity problems through a continued sharply growing traffic load, particularly in road haulage. This risk will be even more clear the slower the reduction of administrative and traffic in- sufficiences develops.
Fig. 82: Estimate of potential traffic flow
POTENTIAL FEATURE
DEVELOPMENT CRITERION LOW < --- > HIGH
development of the vehicle assignment in rail haulage
(multi-system ability) o
development in the field of freight and vehicle controls
(harmonisation, digitalisation, liberalisation) o
development in the field of traffic monitoring and steering o The traffic flow in the border area is determined in a long-term per-
spective...
through continued problematic flows owing to coordination problems of
the administrative authorities / companies o
through increasing barrier-free flows, however very sharp increase in
traffic volumes and consequently capacity problems o
Cross-border goods traffic –
results, potentials and problems in the Frankfurt (Oder) / Slubice region