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CAPITULO 5 DESARROLLO DE LA SOLUCIÓN

5.1 M ARCO TEÓRICO

5.1.2 Terminología fundamental en el desarrollo del proyecto

This strategy is to add additional Transbay buses to both expand service and increase capacity. This tactic is also recommended by BATA’s “San Francisco Bay Crossings Study Update,” outlined in the literature review. To expand on these recommendations, perhaps WestCAT Lynx could expand service to Contra Costa County cities that are unserved by BART other than Hercules, such as San Pablo, Pinole, and Martinez. As well, perhaps SolTrans could expand their Vallejo-San Francisco (Route 200) service to Fairfield and possibly Vacaville. This incentive was first proposed by MTC as Element 2 in their presentation, “West Grand Avenue On-Ramp and Immediate Transbay Mobility Improvement Projects,” outlined in the literature review and included in Appendix D.

4.1.4.1 AC Transit

AC Transit currently carries 17,549 riders per day across the Bay Bridge, including 2,492 into San Francisco during the AM peak hour and 2,849 out of San Francisco during the PM peak hour. This alone replaces a lane of private vehicle usage on the Bay Bridge using average rush hour private vehicle throughput and occupancy, which comes out to around 2,880 persons per hour per

lane. While this is great, additional capacity could take things further. MTC proposes replacing 20 buses and adding 8 buses on two pilot services, at a cost of $27,800,000 (MTC, 2011). The replacement buses will increase attractiveness and ridership, and the new services will attract new markets of riders

4.1.4.2 WestCAT Lynx

Currently, Contra Costa County’s only transbay service, the WestCAT Lynx, connects a variety of stops in Hercules directly to San Francisco. It carries around 580 passengers per weekday, including 190 during the morning rush and 250 during the evening rush. One stop is the Hercules Transit Center, where the Lynx connects with local WestCAT services, creating an easy transfer for San Francisco-bound riders. However, several local routes do not connect to the Hercules Transit Center, but rather the Richmond Parkway Transit Center. The Lynx misses out on these potential transfers to instead provide local service to Hercules.

Rather than spending time circulating around Hercules, the Lynx service should instead focus on intercity connectivity, leaving the local circulation to local routes. This will allow the Lynx to improve travel time reliability by avoiding surface traffic in Hercules and instead stick to freeways. Additionally, it will allow the Lynx to connect to more transit centers and bring on additional riders.

One such transit center is the Martinez Amtrak Station, which is currently connected to the Lynx via WestCAT Route 30Z between the station and the Hercules Transit Center. By having the Lynx take over this service, it will free Route 30Z rolling stock and overhead to provide the local Hercules service that the Lynx would be dropping. Adding on the Richmond Parkway Transit Center would connect the Lynx to the remaining WestCAT routes that do not serve the Hercules Transit Center.

In summary, the Lynx should convert to a route serving only the Martinez Amtrak Station, Hercules Transit Center, Richmond Parkway Center, and San Francisco Transbay Terminal, and Route 30Z should be repurposed to serve the lost local Hercules service. This will boost service to

areas of Contra Costa County not served by BART and pull additional riders out of their cars and onto the Lynx. A diagram of these proposed changes is provided in Figure 4.11.

As part of these changes, local service provided by the 30Z in Martinez would be eliminated, including a spur to Muir Road and the VA Medical Center in Martinez. This is acceptable, however, as the local Martinez service would still be provided by Central Contra Costa Transit Authority’s (CCCTA’s) Routes 16 and 98X. Additionally, lost Muir Road and VA Medical Center service would still be provided by CCCTA’s Route 28, and to an extent, Route 3.

At present, the Lynx directly connects to WestCAT Routes 10, 11, 12, 15, 19, 30Z, C3, JR, JL, JX, and JPX. Through this realignment, the Lynx will also directly connect to WestCAT Routes 16, 17, 18, 19, as well as gaining a second connection to JR and JPX. Additionally, this realignment will directly connect the WestCAT Lynx at the Martinez Amtrak Station to CCCTA’s Routes 3, 16, 18, 19, 28, and 98X, as well as Tri Delta Transit’s Route 200. At the Richmond Parkway Transit Center, the WestCAT Lynx will gain connections to AC Transit’s Routes 70, 71, 376, LA, and LC. In total, this will bring the number of East Bay routes connecting to the WestCAT Lynx from 11 to 27.

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4.1.4.3 SolTrans Route 200

Currently, the only direct bus service from Solano County to San Francisco is SolTrans Route 200. While operated by SolTrans, this service is actually administered by WETA as a supplement to the ferry. One possible improvement to this service would be to extend it from the Vallejo Ferry Building to transit centers in Fairfield and Vacaville.

However, a study of Solano County bus riders found that just over 11% of current riders ultimately reach San Francisco (Solano Transportation Authority, 2014). These riders overwhelmingly take Fairfield and Suisun Transit’s (FAST’s) Routes 40 and 90, and SolTrans’s Routes 78 and 80, which provide service between Solano County cities and the El Cerrito del Norte and Walnut Creek BART stations. Still, most of the riders of these services are only traveling within Solano County between Vallejo and Fairfield.

A study commissioned by STA recommends reconfiguring intercity service to a “BART- like service design” (Arup, 2014, p. 2). This will provide many of the same service improvements as expanding Route 200. Additionally, there are plans to eliminate Route 200 service in favor of increased ferry service, as the buses dedicated to Route 200 are aging and will need to be retired soon (P. Kamhi, personal communication, September 29, 2016). Only 6.5% of Vallejo-San Francisco passengers use the bus versus the ferry (Transportation Analytics, 2016, p. 4.3). Lastly, the US Census’s American Community Survey estimates that around 9,854 daily commuters travel from Solano County to San Francisco (Employment Devlopment Department, 2013). Of these, around 1,700 take WETA’s Vallejo and Route 200 services, and 490 ride other SolTrans routes to the East Bay before transferring to another service (mostly BART) that connects to San Francisco (Solano Transportation Authority, 2014, p. 11). This means that around 22% of Solano County commuters to San Francisco already use public transit, which is relatively fairly high considering the lack of frequent metro-like service provided by BART or other such operators.

4.1.4.4 Transbay Terminal

While not a part of this thesis, it is important to note that the new Transbay Terminal, slated for revenue operations in late 2017, will drastically improve operations over the current Temporary Transbay Terminal. At present, transbay buses need to negotiate several congested blocks of downtown San Francisco between the freeway and the terminal. While SFMTA has done great work with dedicated bus lanes and movements to and from the terminal, buses still get caught up by the intersections, their queues, and confused (or just ignorant) private vehicle drivers. With the new grade-separated ramps between the Bay Bridge and Transbay Terminal, transbay services will be able to shave precious minutes off of travel times, increasing attractiveness and ridership.

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