View of Characterization of municipalities with high road traffic fatality rates using macro level data and the CART algorithm

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Journal of Applied Research and Technology

www.jart.ccadet.unam.mx

Journal of Applied Research and Technology 16 (2018) 79-94

Cintia Isabel de Campos^a,*, Murilo Castanho dos Santos ^b, Cira Souza Pitombo ^a

Received dd mm aaaa; accepted dd mm aaaa Available online dd mm aaaa

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≥ ≥



 𝑖(𝑡) = ∑𝑘≠1𝑝(𝑘|𝑡)𝑝(𝑙|𝑡)

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

Δ𝐼(𝑠^∗, 𝑡) = 𝑝 (𝑡)Δ𝑖 (𝑠^∗, 𝑡)

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Sources DATASUS DENATRAN IBGE DER ATLAS BRASIL

Discrete variable processing

Absolute values to index form by population Number of road

traffic fatalities Vehicle fleet data Population Population, income, Highway network number of employed

people Data

Estimation of the number of annual trips

Class definition of variables by cluster analysis

Discrete variables

CART algorithm application

Extract decision rules Decision Tree Application

Data processing

Mean of 3 years

GDP Area

Classification Municipal Human Development Index

𝐵𝐼𝐶(𝐽) = −2 ∑^𝐽_𝑗=1𝜉𝑗 + 𝑚_𝑗log(𝑁)

𝑚𝐽= 𝐽 {2𝐾^𝐴+ ∑^𝐾_𝐾=1^𝐵 (𝐿𝐾− 1)}

𝑑𝐵𝐼𝐶(𝐽)

𝑑𝐵𝐼𝐶(𝐽) = 𝐵𝐼𝐶 (𝐽) − 𝐵𝐼𝐶 (𝑗 + 1)

𝑅1(𝐽) =^{𝑑𝐵𝐼𝐶 (𝐽)}

𝑑𝐵𝐼𝐶 (1)

𝑑𝐵𝐼𝐶(1) < 0

𝑅₁(𝐽) < 0.04

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ln(𝑉𝑖𝑗) = 0.65 ∙ ln(𝑃𝑂𝑃𝑖∙ 𝑃𝑂𝑃𝑗) − 0.267 ∙ ln(𝑂𝐶𝑈𝑃𝑖∙ 𝑂𝐶𝑈𝑃𝑗) −

0.528 ∙ ln(𝑑) + 0.289 ∙ ln (𝑅𝐸𝑁𝐷𝐴_𝐼∗ 𝑅𝐸𝑁𝐷𝐴_𝐽) (6)

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

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0

1

3 4

7

13 14

23 24

8

2

5

9

15

25 26

16

27 28

10

17

29 30

18

31 32

6

11

19 20

33 34

12

21

35 36

22

37 38

Highway networks

GDP value

Microbus fleet

Car Fleet

Motorcycle fleet GDP value

GDP value GDP value

GDP value

Truck fleet

Car Fleet

Bus Fleet Area

GDP value

GDP value Bus Fleet Area

Truck fleet

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≤

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

eet influence the occurrence of high mortality rates due to traffic accidents.

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≤ ≤

≤ ≤ ≤

≤

≤ ≤

≤

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