BOLETÍN OFICIAL DEL ESTADO
MÓDULO FORMATIVO 5
One of the main motivations for studying how habitat associations change in response to climate change is to better understand leading-edge range expansion. I have
demonstrated a change in habitat associations in response to climate change for the brown argus and speckled wood butterflies, but I have not established the effect this has on rates of range expansion. Observed rates of range expansion in these species could be compared with a scenario where habitat or host plant associations had remained the same (as in Wilson et al. 2010) to determine the magnitude of the effect.
Conservation resources are limited and so risk assessments are beginning to be developed to identify species most at threat from climate change (Williams et al. 2008, Rowland et al. 2011, Thomas et al. 2011). Part of a species’ vulnerability is its ability to shift its distribution to keep pace with climate change. Thus developing methods of predicting whether species will alter their habitat associations and the effect of this on rates of range expansion will help in informing risk assessments of species under climate change.
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