4.4 Propuesta 3: Plan Ahorro Generacional
4.4.1 Producto: Plan Ahorro Generacional
To reduce the risks of credit derivative hedges, regulation
could also seek to decrease the level of activity associated with these
types of transactions. One way to accomplish this would be to limit
recognition of certain CDS and CDO transactions as hedges. As a
starting point, regulators could classify as a hedge only cleared or
exchange-traded credit derivatives. This would deny preferential
regulatory treatment for OTC credit derivative hedges, encouraging
firms to move as many of their hedges to clearinghouses or central
exchanges. This classification would comport with the goals of the
Dodd-Frank Act of moving as much derivatives trading as possible
to exchanges. Another approach would be to deny hedge recognition
to illiquid credit derivatives and/or credit derivatives used for
portfolio hedges. This approach creates a narrower category of
transactions that would not qualify for the hedge exemption,
focusing on those that are on balance most likely to be more risky
than beneficial.
Either proposal would enhance regulatory oversight of the
types of hedging transactions that are most likely to be accompanied
by hidden risks. Such limitations would not prevent firms from
hedging—either with illiquid credit derivatives or with credit
derivatives for portfolio hedging. Firms can choose to use a more
liquid credit derivatives or hedge risks on a micro, rather than macro,
level in order to have the transaction classified as a hedge.
Alternately, they could use these transactions to hedge, but these
transactions would not be deemed a hedge for regulatory purposes.
This alternative places the need for market stability above the firms’
individual needs to use certain instruments or strategies to address
their risk exposure.
Yet another alternative to restrict credit derivative hedge
activity is to impose position limits on credit derivative hedges.
Position limits have been considered solely in terms of their ability to
minimize market manipulation by speculators.
340However, position
limits may also have a useful role in limiting the reach of a failed
credit derivative hedge transaction. Through position limits,
regulators can address the risks that arise from using credit
derivatives to hedge.
341By employing position limits in this manner,
the fallout of a failed hedge would be cabined significantly, as it
would reduce the exposure of hedgers and other market participants
to certain hedge transactions.
Notably, hedge position limits would limit the exposure of a
firm to codependent risk, particularly with portfolio hedges, by
limiting the size of an outstanding position in credit derivatives used
to hedge. Further, if limitations were imposed on these instruments
used to hedge, in the event that a firm falls victim to codependent
risk, the resulting negative consequences would be minimized. This
limitation is similar to the Dodd Frank Act’s requirement that banks
maintain a portion of mortgages they have originated on their
books.
342Moreover, imposing limitations on credit derivative-based
hedges would minimize the negative consequences in the event a
firm falls victim to codependent risk. Similarly, position limits would
also limit the consequences of a hedge that exposes a firm to
counterparty credit risk and convergence risk.
Given that hedging is beneficial, position limits should not
apply across the board to all hedge transactions. Instead, position
limits for hedgers should be higher than position limits for
speculators. This would respect the fact that the reasons for imposing
hedge position limits are not the same as the reasons for imposing
speculative position limits. Also, this would recognize that hedging
can be beneficial and should be encouraged. Finally, hedge position
limits should not apply to one-to-one credit derivative hedges and
CDS or CDO hedges traded on an exchange or cleared. These types
are less likely to have systemic implications or raise the concerns
pertaining to credit derivative hedging discussed throughout this
Article.
However, position limits, even for speculative positions, face
strong market objections and may be politically impossible for
340
Seesupra Part II.B.
341