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Natural Resources, Industrialization and Standards of Living in Perú 1950 to 1997

In document VALUE AND QUALITY CREATION - ESAN (página 37-56)

105

esan-cuadernos de difusión 106

107 Value and quality creation Annex 1

GRAHAM´S MODEL1

In an initial situation of autarchy (case 1), Country A produces and consumes 800 units of wheat and 800 units of watches. Average productivity of both activities is 4 units per worker-day and the labor used in each activity is 200 worker-days.

Country B produces and consumes 800 units of wheat and 600 units of watches. Wheat productivity is 4 units per worker-day and that of watches is 3 units per worker-day. Each activity employs 200 worker-days.

Based on these assumptions, the world’s wheat production would be 1.600 units and 1.400 watches or a total production of 3.200 units in wheat terms, given the relative price of the two products.

Country A’s product is 54% of the world’s production (or 1.714 wheat units) while Country B accounts for 46% of the total (or 1.486 wheat units).

When opening trade (case 2), and given their respective comparative advantages, Country A specializes partially in watch making while Country B turns to wheat production. Presumably, Country A will transfer 100 worker-days from wheat cropping to watch making, while country B transfers labor in the opposite direction, i.e. from watches to wheat.

Since both activities show constant returns, world’s watch output should increase by 100 units while wheat’s remains stable. Consequently, global world production in wheat terms grows by 114 units, or 3,6%.

1 Based on Reinert, 1996. p. 133.

Country A Country B World Man-days Output-man Product Man-days Output-man Product Product

Wheat 200 4 800 200 4 800 1.600

Watches 200 4 800 200 3 600 1.400

Total 400 400

Price: 1 wheat = 0,875 watches.

Product** (%)

Country A: 1.714 54%

Country B: 1.486 46%

World: 3.200 100%

** In wheat terms.

Case 1: Without trade

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esan-cuadernos de difusión 108

Increased world production (equivalent to the added balance of commerce between the two countries) is distributed equally, thus demonstrating that the specialization through trade, given each nation’s comparative advantages, is beneficial for both countries, to the extent both activities show constant returns.

Case 2: With trade

+ Specialization by comparative advantage.

Country A transfers workers from wheat to watches.

Country B transfers workers from watches to wheat.

+ Constant returns in both activities.

However, if wheat has diminishing returns and watches, increasing returns (case 3), international trade, based on comparative advantages, will be beneficial only for Country A, i.e. product will grow by 16,3% when compared to the autarchic situation, while B will hurt from a 13,9% production fall.

In this example, the world’s wheat production drops by 100 units, and that of watches grows by 150 units. Consequently, product and world trade, in wheat terms, will grow in 2,2% (or 71 units).

Graham’s model predicts that the country specializing in production of goods with diminishing returns will experience both, a drop in its GDP and a trade gap. Just the opposite will happen to the country specializing in goods with increasing returns.

Wheat 800 400 (400) 800 1.200 400 0

Watches 800 1.200 400 600 300 (300) 100

Total** 1.714 1.771 57 1.486 1.543 57 114

* Production before trade.

** In wheat terms.

Country A Country B World

Man-days Output-man Product Man-days Output-man Product Product

Country A Country B World Domestic Product Trade Domestic Product Trade Trade demand* balance demand* balance balance

Wheat 100 4 400 300 4 1.200 1.600

Watches 300 4 1.200 100 3 300 1.500

Total 400 400

Price: 1 wheat = 0,875 watches

Product** (%) (+/–) (+/–)%var

Country A: 1.771 53% 57 3,3%

Country B: 1.543 47% 57 3,8%

World: 3.314 100% 114 3,6%

109 Value and quality creation

Case 3: With trade

+ Specialization by comparative advantage.

Country A transfers workers from wheat to watches.

Country B transfers workers from watches to wheat.

+ Increasing returns in watches and diminishing returns in wheat.

That is, if one of the activities shows either increasing or diminishing returns, trade will hurt one of the two countries. Otherwise said, trade will not be equal if there are differences in returns.

Should wheat have diminishing returns and watches constant returns (case 4), trade specialization reduces Country B’s GDP leading to a trade gap. To wit, trade will adversely impact the nation with comparative advantages in the good with diminishing returns.

The world’s production would grow very slightly, and so would commercial exchanges, and, in general, the gain in Country A almost equals Country B’s loss.

Wheat 800 450 (350) 800 1.050 250 (100)

Watches 800 1.350 550 600 200 (400) 150

Total** 1.714 1.993 279 1.486 1.279 (207) 71

* Production before trade.

** In wheat terms.

Country A Country B World Domestic Product Trade Domestic Product Trade Trade demand* balance demand* balance balance Product** (%) (+/–) (+/–) % var

Country A: 1.993 61% 279 16,3%

Country B: 1.279 39% (207) –13,9%

World: 3.271 100% 71 2,2%

Price: 1 wheat = 0,875 watches

Wheat 100 4,5 450 300 3,5 1.050 1.500

Watches 300 4,5 1.350 100 2 200 1.550

Total** 400 400

Country A Country B World Man-days Output-man Product Man-days Output-man Product Product

esan-cuadernos de difusión 110

Case 4: With trade

+ Specialization by comparative advantage.

Country a transfers workers from wheat to watches.

Country B transfers workers from watches to wheat.

+ Constant returns in watches and diminishing returns wheat.

If watch production shows increasing returns and that of wheat, constant returns (case 5), the final solution would be quite similar to the previous example, since the production in Country B would fall and in Country A it would grow. A’s trade balance would show a surplus while B’s would be negative.

In spite of this similarity, the world’s product and commercial trade would grow more than in the previous case.

Case 5: With trade

+ Specialization by comparative advantage.

Country A transfers workers from wheat to watches.

Country B transfers workers from watches to wheat.

+ Increasing returns in watches and Constant returns in wheat.

Wheat 100 4,5 450 300 3,5 1.050 1.500

Watches 300 4 1.200 100 3 300 1.500

Total 400 400

Country A Country B World Man-days Output-man Product Man-days Output-man Product

Product** (%) (+/–) (+/–) %var

Country A: 1.821 57% 107 6,3%

Country B: 1.393 43% (93) –6,2%

World: 3.214 100% 14 0,4%

Price: 1 wheat = 0,875 watches.

Country A Country B World Domestic Product Trade Domestic Product Trade Trade demand* balance demand* balance balance

Wheat 800 450 (350) 800 1.050 250 (100)

Watches 800 1.200 400 600 300 (300) 100

Total** 1.714 1.821 107 1.486 1.393 (93) 14

* Production before trade.

** In wheat terms.

111 Value and quality creation

Wheat 100 4 400 300 4 1.200 1.600

Watches 300 4,5 1.350 100 2 200 1.550

Total 400 400

Price: 1 wheat = 0,875 watches.

Product** (%) (+/–) (+/–)% var

Country A: 1.943 58% 229 13,3%

Country B: 1.429 42% (57) –3,8%

World: 3.371 100% 171 5,4%

Wheat 800 400 (400) 800 1.200 400 0

Watches 800 1.350 550 600 200 (400) 150

Total** 1.714 1.943 229 1.486 1.429 (57) 171

* Production before trade.

** In wheat terms.

Country A Country B World

Man-day s Output-man Product Man-days Output-man Product Product

Country A Country B World

Domestic Product Trade Domestic Product Trade Trade demand* balance demand* balance balance

esan-cuadernos de difusión

112 Annex 2

IMPACT OF PRODUCTIVE SPECIALIZATION ON STANDARDS OF LIVING

Primary sector

LS // Dependent Variable is SER37VP Date: 11/20/98 Time: 19:31

Sample (adjusted): 1952 1997

Included observations: 46 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 6 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0,463026 0,883386 0,524149 0,6029

D(SER33) –2,580097 0,619951 –4,161778 0,0001

AR(1) 0,293809 0,148946 1,972585 0,0550

R-squared 0,414515 Mean dependent var 0,928309

Adjusted R-squared 0,387283 S.D. dependent var 5,370544 S.E. of regression 4,203861 Akaike info criterion 2,935000 Sum squared resid 759,9152 Schwarz criterion 3,054259

Log likelihood –129,7762 F-statistic 15,22167

Durbin-Watson stat 1,854775 Prob (F-statistic) 0,000010 Inverted AR Roots 0,29

Manufacture

LS // Dependent Variable is SER37VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:05

Sample (adjusted): 1952 1997

Included observations: 46 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 7 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0,664635 0,986129 0,673984 0,5039

D(SER41) 4,221452 0,975329 4,328234 0,0001

AR(1) 0,378628 0,139948 2,705492 0,0097

R-squared 0,429092 Mean dependent var 0,928309

Adjusted R-squared 0,402538 S.D. dependent var 5,370544 S.E. of regression 4,151198 Akaike info criterion 2,909787 Sum squared resid 740,9950 Schwarz criterion 3,029046

Log likelihood –129,1963 F-statistic 16,15931

Durbin-Watson stat 1,825283 Prob(F-statistic) 0,000006 Inverted AR Roots 0,38

IMPACT ON CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA

112

113 Value and quality creation

113 Construction

LS // Dependent Variable is SER37VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:06

Sample (adjusted): 1952 1997

Included observations: 46 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 4 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0,680856 1,194115 0,570177 0,5715

D(SER42A) 3,122543 1,277982 2,443339 0,0187

AR(1) 0,423645 0,137006 3,092160 0,0035

R-squared 0,282018 Mean dependent var 0,928309

Adjusted R-squared 0,248623 S.D. dependent var 5,370544 S.E. of regression 4,655295 Akaike info criterion 3,139004 Sum squared resid 931,8863 Schwarz criterion 3,258263

Log likelihood –134,4683 F-statistic 8,445025

Durbin-Watson stat 1,654441 Prob(F-statistic) 0,000806 Inverted AR Roots 0,42

Services

LS // Dependent Variable is SER37VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:07

Sample (adjusted): 1952 1997

Included observations: 46 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 5 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0,859997 1,265832 0,679393 0,5005

D(SER44) 0,048174 0,832208 0,057887 0,9541

AR(1) 0,420857 0,140083 3,004335 0,0044

R-squared 0,182393 Mean dependent var 0,928309

Adjusted R-squared 0,144364 S.D. dependent var 5,370544 S.E. of regression 4,967784 Akaike info criterion 3,268941 Sum squared resid 1061,192 Schwarz criterion 3,388201

Log likelihood –137,4568 F-statistic 4,796240

Durbin-Watson stat 1,644385 Prob(F-statistic) 0,013174 Inverted AR Roots 0,42

Variables

SER37VP Private consumption per capita (%) SER33 Primary sector (% of GDP)

SER41 Manufacture sector (% of GDP) SER42A Construction sector (% of GDP) SER44 Services sector (% of GDP)

D(X) X(t)–X(t–1)

AR(1) Correction of autocorrelation

esan-cuadernos de difusión 114

IMPACT ON WHITE COLLAR WAGES

Primary sector

LS // Dependent Variable is SER6VP Date: 11/20/98 Time: 19:43 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 5 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –3,161690 2,704991 –1,168836 0,2508

D(SER33) –5,413849 1,736494 –3,117690 0,0038

AR(1) 0,358559 0,167481 2,140894 0,0398

R-squared 0,393680 Mean dependent var –2,280831

Adjusted R-squared 0,356934 S.D. dependent var 12,91490 S.E. of regression 10,35664 Akaike info criterion 4,754912 Sum squared resid 3539,583 Schwarz criterion 4,886872

Log likelihood –133,6702 F-statistic 10,71337

Durbin-Watson stat 1,893578 Prob(F-statistic) 0,000260 Inverted AR Roots 0,36

Manufacture

LS // Dependent Variable is SER6VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:09 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 6 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –1,663838 3,293716 –0,505155 0,6168

D(SER41) 10,59519 2,649683 3,998662 0,0003

AR(1) 0,509155 0,150606 3,380714 0,0019

R-squared 0,469500 Mean dependent var –2,280831

Adjusted R-squared 0,437349 S.D. dependent var 12,91490 S.E. of regression 9,687482 Akaike info criterion 4,621324 Sum squared resid 3096,961 Schwarz criterion 4,753284

Log likelihood –131,2656 F-statistic 14,60274

Durbin-Watson stat 1,782727 Prob(F-statistic) 0,000029 Inverted AR Roots 0,51

115 Value and quality creationConstruction

LS // Dependent Variable is SER6VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:11 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 4 iterations

Variable CoefficientStd. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –2,707635 3,313459 –0,817163 0,4197

D(SER42A) 5,788838 3,949948 1,465548 0,1522

AR(1) 0,424074 0,163881 2,587691 0,0143

R-squared 0,264485 Mean dependent var –2,280831

Adjusted R-squared 0,219909 S.D. dependent var 12,91490 S.E. of regression 11,40680 Akaike info criterion 4,948075 Sum squared resid 4293,799 Schwarz criterion 5,080035

Log likelihood –137,1471 F-statistic 5,933271

Durbin-Watson stat 1,779658 Prob(F-statistic) 0,006292 Inverted AR Roots 0,42

Services

LS // Dependent Variable is SER6VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:11 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 6 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –2,327721 3,644633 –0,638671 0,5274

D(SER44) 0,280807 2,195485 0,127902 0,8990

AR(1) 0,458819 0,156451 2,932663 0,0061

R-squared 0,214649 Mean dependent var –2,280831

Adjusted R-squared 0,167052 S.D. dependent var 12,91490 S.E. of regression 11,78692 Akaike info criterion 5,013635 Sum squared resid 4584,735 Schwarz criterion 5,145595

Log likelihood –138,3272 F-statistic 4,509711

Durbin-Watson stat 1,705693 Prob(F-statistic) 0,018559 Inverted AR Roots 0,46

Variables

SER6VP White-collar wages (%) SER33 Primary sector (% of GDP) SER41 Manufacture sector (% of GDP) SER42A Construction sector (% of GDP) SER44 Services sector (% of GDP)

D(X) X(t)–X(t–1)

AR(1) Correction of autocorrelation 115

esan-cuadernos de difusión 116

IMPACT ON BLUE COLLAR SALARIES

Primary

LS // Dependent Variable is SER7VP Date: 11/20/98 Time: 19:46 Sample (adjusted): 1961 1997

Included observations: 37 after adjusting endpoints

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –3,220570 1,790782 –1,798416 0,0807

D(SER33) –7,359915 1,677699 –4,386911 0,0001

R-squared 0,354779 Mean dependent var –2,059666

Adjusted R-squared 0,336344 S.D. dependent var 13,22445 S.E. of regression 10,77331 Akaike info criterion 4,806682 Sum squared resid 4062,248 Schwarz criterion 4,893759

Log likelihood –139,4243 F-statistic 19,24498

Durbin-Watson stat 2,127444 Prob(F-statistic) 0,000101

Manufacture

LS // Dependent Variable is SER7VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:12 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 5 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –1,435903 2,114486 –0,679079 0,5018

D(SER41) 15,51529 2,841962 5,459360 0,0000

AR(1) 0,229994 0,170252 1,350901 0,1859

R-squared 0,499829 Mean dependent var –2,207953

Adjusted R-squared 0,469516 S.D. dependent var 13,38081 S.E. of regression 9,745828 Akaike info criterion 4,633334 Sum squared resid 3134,378 Schwarz criterion 4,765294

Log likelihood –131,4818 F-statistic 16,48871

Durbin-Watson stat 1,971463 Prob(F-statistic) 0,000011 Inverted AR Roots 0,23

117 Value and quality creation

Construction

LS // Dependent Variable is SER7VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:13 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 5 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –2,731320 2,636522 –1,035956 0,3078

D(SER42A) 6,966229 4,584695 1,519453 0,1382

AR(1) 0,171557 0,176170 0,973812 0,3372

R-squared 0,109188 Mean dependent var –2,207953

Adjusted R-squared 0,055199 S.D. dependent var 13,38081 S.E. of regression 13,00626 Akaike info criterion 5,210517 Sum squared resid 5582,375 Schwarz criterion 5,342477

Log likelihood –141,8711 F-statistic 2,022421

Durbin-Watson stat 1,920602 Prob(F-statistic) 0,148413 Inverted AR Roots 0,17

Services

LS // Dependent Variable is SER7VP Date: 12/01/98 Time: 11:13 Sample (adjusted): 1962 1997

Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 6 iterations

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C –2,309896 2,824288 –0,817868 0,4193

D(SER44) 0,537742 2,953857 0,182048 0,8567

AR(1) 0,197867 0,184338 1,073392 0,2909

R-squared 0,046205 Mean dependent var –2,207953

Adjusted R-squared –0,011600 S.D. dependent var 13,38081 S.E. of regression 13,45820 Akaike info criterion 5,278832 Sum squared resid 5977,060 Schwarz criterion 5,410792

Log likelihood –143,1008 F-statistic 0,799324

Durbin-Watson stat 1,895026 Prob(F-statistic) 0,458147 Inverted AR Roots 0,20

Variables

SER7VP Blue-collar salaries (%) SER33 Primary ector (% of GDP) SER41 Manufacture sector (% of GDP) SER42A Construction sector (% of GDP) SER44 Services sector (% of GDP)

D(X) X(t)–X(t–1)

AR(1) Correction of autocorrelation 117

esan-cuadernos de difusión 118

GDP BY ACTIVITIES* 1950865,58205,552,1065,56164,74 2,9050,92 35,39 51,09287,34 1951936,45211,722,1770,73181,173,0059,8236,0253,48318,34 1952994,86217,862,3573,07190,903,1273,8936,7855,96340,94 19531.047,95222,872,0468,83215,623,9377,8837,6658,54360,58 19541.115,56227,322,6891,96236,004,0087,4639,0261,21365,90 19551.168,84225,513,1292,60253,744,3692,6240,4264,18392,30 19561.218,97214,683,90102,42261,514,65103,7441,9667,33418,79 19571.301,27215,544,36112,25288,265,24106,5443,8170,67454,60 19581.293,88230,416,53101,70280,545,9396,7445,6574,30452,10 19591.341,45241,7010,51103,93306,775,9785,2347,3478,02461,98 19601.504,74257,1714,31155,38355,796,8681,8249,2382,03502,16 19611.615,81264,8920,16169,83383,478,52100,5550,7692,70524,95 19621.750,84271,2426,00161,51414,998,87109,7052,3399,31606,88 19631.815,55275,3127,09171,85438,399,4394,7853,95106,67638,08 19641.935,37288,8034,90180,44469,1710,08104,8355,62114,57676,95 19652.030,90294,5828,86183,14500,0410,91118,4657,35120,95716,61 19662.201,56310,4934,05201,09538,7411,89129,0059,12128,32788,85 19672.284,92322,6038,89203,51559,9713,00128,2360,96132,68825,09 19682.293,03311,6339,59216,12570,6113,74109,7662,85135,73832,99 19692.379,35332,1935,55214,61577,0614,43117,1264,80138,45885,15 19702.518,57358,1047,25229,85626,7415,09133,0464,93144,41899,16 19712.623,78365,2732,60215,89662,4016,74145,3167,38151,16967,04 19722.699,22356,5017,34229,41676,1318,23160,9370,16162,051.008,47 19732.844,33357,9312,55238,09720,1420,31176,2973,44169,621.075,96 19743.107,39371,1717,54251,34780,8222,22211,9377,11177,761.197,50

Global Agriculture Fisheries Mining Manufacture Electricity, Cons- Housing Government Other GDP Gas & Water truction Continue...

118

Annex 3: TABLES

119 Value and quality creation

Global Agriculture Fisheries Mining Manufacture Electricity, Cons- Housing Government Other GDP Gas & Water truction

Continue...

119

19753.213,06371,0515,56231,85805,2023,92216,43 79,48 191,111.278,46 19763.276,07376,6118,33245,68834,3527,18216,5981,10204,451.271,78 19773.289,33376,2316,00296,96820,2630,65192,2482,18213,291.261,52 19783.298,58370,5920,20389,94787,1531,95172,4483,03213,251.230,04 19793.490,13385,0422,67459,11819,7934,26181,4484,15214,511.289,17 19803.646,73362,6318,88468,79866,7639,02202,2988,58233,491.366,29 19813.807,70395,4220,60454,28872,6141,87224,9990,61239,791.467,54 19823.815,76404,1624,19459,87862,3645,29229,5092,18241,731.456,48 19833.334,32365,2317,00414,73705,8938,04181,6993,18257,941.260,61 19843.494,78402,6024,86434,54746,3338,15183,1594,50277,621.293,03 19853.573,92414,3329,10453,22779,9040,50163,9695,31279,041.318,57 19863.904,23432,2938,45432,92901,5447,64199,0498,11302,461.451,78 19874.234,70460,7733,88420,011.017,0851,32234,33101,51316,851.598,95 19883.881,52493,3940,13357,05903,0851,59218,49101,60288,451.427,74 19893.428,62465,7642,24339,67761,6150,91186,40102,58247,481.231,97 19903.243,58433,4441,96326,84717,4451,10192,29103,59217,431.159,50 19913.334,52447,1337,48316,76761,7253,12195,58104,30202,651.215,78 19923.287,20412,7142,31308,53743,6754,27204,14104,52205,101.211,95 19933.497,23450,9651,20333,65779,4360,14233,42105,47211,171.271,79 19943.953,93513,0666,02348,42902,1965,59308,44106,54217,611.426,07 19954.240,31554,1553,43356,15943,0969,46361,50107,43222,941.572,16 1996**4.350,84584,9053,10365,43966,4370,64344,87109,21218,381.637,88 1997**4.664,10613,5647,90386,621.024,4282,01410,05117,07214,551.767,92 * Nuevos soles of 1979. ** Estimate. Source: INEI.

esan-cuadernos de difusión 120

1950865,58608,0353,02158,10168,08121,65 1951936,45664,0854,56217,45164,72164,35 1952994,86677,0260,70250,15189,26182,27 19531.047,95705,3461,94271,20207,24197,76 19541.115,56759,8673,45234,55221,33173,64 19551.168,84813,8173,41271,60232,27222,25 19561.218,97828,2577,71322,62251,39261,00 19571.301,27874,0289,94365,52258,68286,89 19581.293,88876,9589,86319,81260,46253,21 19591.341,45885,58100,69272,47294,58211,87 19601.504,74926,61118,34334,58378,60253,39 19611.615,81989,40136,74351,07446,75308,14 19621.750,841.092,34143,66385,54476,87347,58 19631.815,551.200,98152,05378,62468,29384,38 19641.935,371.274,22171,10400,00500,60410,56 19652.030,901.371,07182,66442,00515,12479,94 19662.201,561.490,97182,90532,46539,21543,97 19672.284,921.609,15189,24518,78570,95603,19 19682.293,031.625,76201,32387,01627,29548,36 19692.379,351.683,05212,44412,59616,22544,95 19702.518,601.785,39222,98441,01651,43582,23 19712.623,881.848,78238,37512,93632,35608,55 19722.699,221,908,83254,13452,00691,14606,88 19732.844,351.987,14269,44706,16563,18681,57 19743.107,392.122,12285,60973,85592,48866,66 Global Consumption Government Investment Exports Imports Expenditure

GDP BY TYPE OF EXPENDITURE* Continue...

121 Value and quality creation

19753.213,042.209,67317,25921,92606,11841,91 19763.276,072.249,32332,49803,25626,88735,87 19773.289,342.254,32380,43684,95708,08738,45 19783.298,592.081,67332,20643,50799,69558,46 19793.490,142.130,72300,68756,81968,16666,22 19803.646,642.236,39367,831.030,81879,34867,72 19813.807,722.355,77362,031.242,24853,501.005,82 19823.815,752.376,39410,181.151,48905,741.028,04 19833.334,222.167,11374,20704,19812,09723,37 19843.494,782.209,01357,09634,37886,13591,83 19853.573,932.255,69369,70564,06925,08540,60 19863.904,222.592,61382,28748,97831,08650,72 19874.234,712.847,16404,79959,42770,70747,35 19883.881,282.636,46340,70869,54714,97680,38 19893.428,612.185,85315,74586,57848,82508,36 19903.243,762.132,61285,75672,08722,04568,72 19913.334,502.173,17291,18747,87805,09682,80 19923.287,202.212,50299,62739,73811,50776,15 19933.497,232.312,50309,03821,29840,42786,01 19943.953,932.542,60335,601.052,34997,57974,18 19954.240,312.767,17368,661.247,501.074,211.217,22 1996**4.350,842.837,66361,661.183,171.195,891.227,53 1997**4.664,102.951,17378,291.346.651.351.351.366,24

Global Consumption Government Investment Exports Imports Expenditure *Nuevos soles of 1979. ** Estimate. Source: INEI.

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esan-cuadernos de difusión 122

Population White C. Blue C. Traditional Non Non Financ. Imports Non Banking Terms of Real 1/ Wages Salaries Exports 3/ Traditional Services 3/ Financ. System Nir Trade Exchange 2/ 2/ Exports 3/ Exports 3/ Services 3/ 4/ Rate 5/ Imports 3/ 4/ Continue...

OTHER INDICATORS

122

19507.632,51692917513933,3103,8 19517.826,32144526214636,0100,5 19528.025,72083828814435,597,4 19538.232,21913729313836,697,8 19548.447,02094624914541,1109,7 19558.671,52394230014152,6101,8 19568.904,92714938415657,898,0 19579.146,12815045012260,493,4 19589.396,72484438410953,0108,9 19599.657,827944317126101,2111,4 19609.931,0473,0338,64034137315698,2106,4 196110.217,5480,7349,645654467190107,8100,0 196210.516,5476,0356,749660542222109,194,6 196310.825,8482,2369,85035257925799,990,6 196411.143,5495,5379,662956587300132,083,3 196511.467,3453,5362,864045718308125,772,9 196611.796,4430,4367,874543818264146,869,0 196712.132,2426,6356,471725819107154,472,8 196812.476,0431,9379,281030631133203,181,4 196912.829,1447,0355,084634601166186,180,7 197013.192,8465,0374,21.00034178700260423188,081,3 197113.568,3495,8409,285831179730286347179,179,4 197213.954,7534,5442,889550208812291397218,076,7 197314.350,3544,3486,19981142351.033367411112,174,3 197414.753,1521,2479,41.3521513251.908553693117,370,5

123 Value and quality creation

Population White C. Blue C. Traditional Non Non Financ. Imports Non Banking Terms of Real 1/ Wages Salaries Exports 3/ Traditional Services 3/ Financ. System Nir Trade Exchange 2/ 2/ Exports 3/ Exports 3/ Services 3/ 4/ Rate 5/ Imports 3/ 4/ 1/Thousands 2/ Real, base 1990 = 100 3/ US$ millions 4/ Base 1979 = 100 5/ Include other exports of good * Estimate. Source: INEI, BCRP.

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123

197515.161,2504,4431,31.234964122.42764311680,965,1 197615.577,7433,7440,81.2041373752.016479(752)91,271,2 197716.003,5377,2372,81.5022243772.148403(1.101)93,383,0 197816.434,6323,9335,91.6193534341.668386(1.025)75,8105,1 197916.866,6295,8336,22,8668105221.954512554100.0100,0 198017.324,1317,7355,73.0718457143.0908801.276110,291,8 198117.758,9323,9348,12.5487017703.8021.08877190,384,4 198218.195,4348,5351,92.5317627843.7221.09889674,489,9 198318.631,4299,0291,52.4605557112.72296485679,9102,7 198419.064,5275,4248,12.4217266702.1408911.10372,9108,5 198519.492,4253,7214,22.2647148141.8069841.38365,5135,0 198619.915.5316,6287,71.8866458362.5961.01386648,098,2 198720.335,2332,0311,31.8897167933.1821.1648148,366,2 198820.751,2229,8195,31.9447478312.7901.164(317)52,369,2 198921.162,7145,2136,82.5099798362.2911.14354650,542,9 199021.569,3100,0100,02.2659667992.8851.16468245,642,1 199121.966,4105,9115,22.3789518263.4951.2391.93343,435,3 199222.354.4109,0111,12.4721.0138364.0511.4112.42542,634,0 199322.740,2127,3110,12.3341.1898374.1231.4122.91039,137,5 199423.130,3153,0127,43.1531.4201.0645.5951.5656.02543,234,4 199523.531,7146,1116,73.9811.5951.1317.7611.9046.69346,032,6 199623.931,7147,5111,24.2131.6851.4147.8662.0998.86243,632,6 1997*24.338,5149,6110,34.6922.1221.5408.5522.2887.98245,932,2

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