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Causas por las que PEMEX importa petróleo

2 EL PETRÓLEO EN EL SEXENIO DEL PRESIDENTE LUIS ECHEVERRÍA ÁLVAREZ ( 1970–1976 )

2.2 Modelo Económico Sexenal

2.3.1 Causas por las que PEMEX importa petróleo

The methods of assessing and calculating the accommodation needs of Gypsies and Travellers are still developing. In 2003 a crude estimation of additional pitch provision was made at a national level based predominantly on information contained within the Caravan Count. 25 The Guidance on Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessments also contains an

illustration of how need for Gypsy and Traveller accommodation might best be calculated.26 In addition, guidance for Regional Planning Bodies has been produced, which outlines a systematic checklist for helping to ensure that GTAAs are accurate in their estimation of accommodation need based upon a

24

Niner, P. (2003) Local Authority Gypsy/Traveller Sites in England, London: ODPM.

25

Niner, P. (2003) Local Authority Gypsy/Traveller Sites in England, London: ODPM.

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range of factors.27 It is from combining these guides that our estimation of supply and need is drawn. In particular, residential accommodation need is considered by carefully exploring the following factors:

Current residential supply

• Socially rented pitches

• Private authorised pitches Residential need 2007-2012

• Temporary planning permissions, which will end over the assessment period.

• Allowance for family growth over the assessment period.

• Need for authorised pitches from families on unauthorised developments.

• Allowance for net movement over the assessment period between sites and housing.

• Allowance for potential closure of existing sites.

• Potential need for residential pitches in the area from families on unauthorised encampments.

Pitch supply 2007-2012

• Vacant pitches over the assessment period.

• Unused pitches, which are to be brought back into use over the assessment period.

• Known planned site developments.

Each one of these factors is taken in turn, and illustrated at a Merseyside sub- regional area level initially. This is then applied to each district and broken- down by local authority.

Within the guidance for producing GTAAs there is also the consideration of ‘new households likely to arrive from elsewhere’. It remains unclear from the findings if movement between the Study Area and elsewhere will affect the numbers of Gypsies and Travellers requiring residential accommodation across the Study Area. It is understood that generally speaking, the Study Area is a popular area for Gypsies and Travellers looking for both residential and short-stay/transit accommodation. Gypsies and Travellers spoke about the ‘draw’ of major urban areas such as Lancashire, Manchester, Birmingham and London; the possibility of short-term employment opportunities in the area; family links in the area; and, the route through Liverpool is noted for its links to transport networks (roads and seaports).

As this accommodation assessment (in line with other accommodation assessments) only included Gypsies and Travellers within the boundaries of the Study Area, it is impossible to present a reliable estimation on the need for accommodation for Gypsies and Travellers currently living elsewhere. In considering the large number of rented pitches available in the area it is felt

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http://www.communities.gov.uk/pub/209/PreparingRegionalSpatialStrategyreviewsonGypsie sandTravellersbyregionalplannings_id1508209.pdf

that those Gypsies and Travellers who arrive from elsewhere will probably be balanced by those Gypsies and Travellers who move on from the area and leave vacancies. For simplicity, both elements (new households and private site vacancies) are omitted.

Although it is not possible to provide an evidence-based numerical

assessment of need arising from outside the Study Area to be met within, or vice versa, drawing upon the findings of the existing regional and sub-regional GTAAs it is possible to provide some comment upon how this need might be influenced by populations outside the area. None of these reports provided any firm indication that there was a desire for movement from other sub- regions to the Merseyside Study Area. However, the pattern of existing provision and identified need on areas surrounding the Merseyside Study Area highlights that there may be evidence of displaced demand for pitch accommodation within other neighbouring local authorities. The table below highlights the authorities which border the Study Area authorities with their current provision and their estimated need for additional residential pitch provision.

Table 36: Neighbouring local authorities existing pitch provision and estimated pitch need (2006-2011)

Neighbouring LA Current provision Estimated pitch need

(2006-2011)

West Lancashire 8 14 (+ 3 pitches for

Travelling Showpeople)

St Helens 70 15-19

Halton 36 28-31

Ellesmere Port & Neston 0 5-9

As can be seen the main need is arising in those LAs where existing provision is already made. It is possible that these areas (particularly St Helens and Halton) are home to a certain level of displaced demand from households who would rather live in the Merseyside authorities.28 If this is the case it is

possible that the numbers of pitches required in the Merseyside Study Area, as outlined below, would increase. Please see the recommendation section which outlines suggestions for ways in which this could be resolved.

The assessment period referred to above relates to the 2007-2012 period with an alternative approach taken to making estimates beyond this point for 2012- 2016. As a result of the impact that the creation of more authorised pitches may have on the Gypsy and Traveller community (in terms of households characteristics, travelling patterns, settlement patterns) it is unwise to consider each of the above factors beyond the initial assessment period. Instead we use a simple estimate of family/household growth to illustrate likely natural increase in the Gypsy and Traveller population. This is applied to both a Merseyside sub-regional area and local authority level.

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