El proceso de racionalización como factor del cambio social

conditions observed at time although, each

liaa once.-again tîi© "saa© ' a pt'iOï»;V,,sï‘ot>-aMa,lty» Stoatoting tl-tii. this , #m#Gmtole a'b t-irâf';-tg, ,to m#y. ,&gaiti\ pre#ot a

negative, valttP' tlï#-';gg .,.#*4#^^ later

' time trt ■ ôJioûld-; 1)'0 ;lèv8s 'ttoan' .;gÿ« - .-'0,çntinulïïgv:lîi rthis.; way

'J . i ' M J > 1.1

w# can % highly probable bhat the valuoe

of E cqrrÇ0pon#hg41 obaoryatiqnG oh the '

' . . . . ' : ' ' ' ' 4

syatam beôdmé omalléV . . ; . . . . . r eiid -W. y - aller#, . : Thla method'of ;approaoh is open -to tho

grouhde that ^ hithqugh 1 %4:l m c:or re ht, to oon atruo t the " ; oneemhlo oorréopoh#hgytôT% 4;' --' ■■-- ■ V < • J - \ > , 'Jj

, ' : .' ' ' ' .4% : ; - ' ' . ' 1

/legitim_{' '} ate to;db t_{.4 ' . : ' " ; '} hO-B for the l_{' - 'T'} ater ^tlmé_{' t '} .^t/_''hèoauee ;c; 'We now-:-h(urë khW&h%h" thè^ pk^ëvlâûe'%îëtorÿ the T-,,, . - ' ' ' ' . : ^ ' :4' ' ' ' ' 4% 11:./ : - . ^ ' .

eyatem# -: Thé 0hêG#l#: M^ Ih prlaolple be built

up Ih êù%h a /way holtq thè .Information that ,wo ' J

hâ\^é of : the slthatIph at t^# 11 wqhld be he^eBsary to - J

0X01^^/^%% -; eheémhlè: the î^ëproëehtàtlvé/^ of ' <

^ 1 aÿstWé : whlî^h tbâûld hot (heyâ: %' /

' : ' ;., ' I / . ' ' ; -.. .... _,' ' ' »i'' ' . T3 althatioh at t/lto/t % Ih' t W time Oho

ImaglhW'thë oômplloatléhè'lhvolW a '

oorreqtlohÿ ahd/thé amoûht o tho ^ /'

orbite of thè rëgfë)àëntatlŸè pôlhtà % would oeem

tq put It oatéldé th# f tlie Btatletloal moohanloul,

' ' ' ^4 ; ' , . ' , , ^ .. /*

mêthbd*. Wë may cdholude with Tbl&w It j

. : . ' ' - (4;

::lë roaaohable-td^w the reproeentativo pointe -

/ ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' . - ' ' ' . " ' ' ^ ryj

of Buqh

' ■■ ■ ■

.;0nec#l0/pah:W-#garded.a#"#^^^^ ,

' : . _{members bf Athe'%fét;àr i h ' W} , ' - ' ; '. . '. ' ' - ' - - - _{thoy ^}^ . - •' T .-5 I ••»•*..!• I - r , «. i .. 3«..t » ■ . > % g'. * '-k;. -»% •'?' ■ »T I * • , '♦ * .V, ' i; ■•■' 1"' i - * ' V.- .^r . - F . . ,, J.. « . . . % g *, • . 7 . / ' ' . '.. » ' .:,"'i.;t... ' t

dq o4 ü-ij/at ,

\ .on. âyëragé'dYër':thë;% bf^the- Wéemhlç#' , . . -

88

The JLn

qonaêètiqù with thé df \fi^ëthèr^

prqqoBB lé a markpvlan oho* W# maÿ flnd' thë- ^

pf a Btàte as in seotlon 2^ as t%m product of the initial prohèblllty ând of the tranMiioû grbbahllitloa.

The traaÈltion prbbhbllltiea appear to

satlafy the requirements for tha elemehte of a Markoff Chain matrix In {much ' qsl they depehd only upoh. % and

thè preceding state #lng it v/lir 1

hâ rpdplleated to introduce the fluetaaLiono !

; ; . - . . _ / . ■ s ^ ^ I

about the Btopeaahiahsaté values we aspüméd that the stpohastio

about thé Btoeefhhia^^ as a"4iéëh» Ho%vevér thé

g 7 r5?v« i

‘V .

méàh Value' éyyify(t) (eéé equutioh/%# 11 in ;/ générai changé af ter, the ëxpiry~df :hào^ elèmeht-of time "j-

- ' ' : : ' / ;/. r ' ' ' .. ' T. '5

T * Wé have théréforé uBomiéd that it le; poaeiblé to f: nogléét à_' hy ihfluëWpë: th^ thé diéti^ibutiohv 6f thé _-2'% _L prevlOTis M m e eïëiWëïït might'îiave on'itfe Mçéà'ssoi’j apart from- thé".dîiaûge in the niean. pifAPh _{'givfl'the, new-taluè}

0y.y,fy(t+ T ), tkq; pçocédu'fë ;â,s ; a' i’èïiéxioW'i» %ihiatj»‘c , , of that one;,[email protected] j u a ti W q u # # # G o n # p * W H. Fop ' 4

here-we; qouia, t a # thq, flU0tn#lon,.mri.#l'@; %yy* as. . : < forminç, 'a; 'kind qf ;. hnsemtolo.^ f|ltîi, a#pagG':? ,, ~; • i #A, 3#$ a?- atoofë-;#, could- '8e-t,toP4a';h'e\y,,m8^ ths :. ^

- , ~ '. '■ ï

start' ôi'. Q'aoh lûtèp#l t , The ■aôslMaptioû that'no

. , /

■v-ÿ' t''ivÿï■ _{__ '_____ h - Ü ___h _ i __________ ,_______________________________ ' '...-}..-f'.7.'-".',: i , 4 4^ '% r , _

.41

1 i'«:

allowance heed "be m W e / f oh: th# of the

. . . ... - \\ / *. ' , - _ '

prooesB ie equ&y&lèùt adtlbhrof r%%mizing tho y

.- : . . ' . - ; ' . ' .

^YY* afresh for éàoh-^ # FurtWhji thé aegwptidh of ^

equal a p%46rl, pr6Wbli'i#e# fb^ memWra of the , enBemble jUetlflè^lthë ' ueè' of t W Berhoullf- etrlbuti on -

for%yyy(#ûa#^^ , ^

It has t_{. . ' - ' '} hug beW' eWwh" th_t at./alt_{\ - ...} hough the prooeaa _{' y ;}j le not aùtu#ly iwrWyldh' to 'th^ each ll3# /!_;

1

in UH'a .eliaia Is '•-aeptondqa-’b auly. ' Won- 'i.ts'.'prèdëAëes'qp» :

- ' - ' ■ ' ' ' ' » r, it Hiay plaU0itolÿ"-to%,7atoëUm&a :b6 tooIxaVë'.lilÈe orie, to a 4,1

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